Like Em !!! THX ANDY
Player Name Pos Team Opp HR RBI Aaron Judge OF NYY @TOR 0.42965 0.72679 Giancarlo Stanton OF NYY @TOR 0.42113 0.74777 Juan Soto OF NYY @TOR 0.35902 0.60541 Mookie Betts OF LAD vs WSH 0.343 0.80397 Kyle Schwarber OF PHI vs COL 0.33744 0.61029 Pete Alonso 1B NYM vs PIT 0.33163 0.84089 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B KC @CWS 0.32896 0.74502 Shohei Ohtani DH LAD vs WSH 0.32877 0.73762 Shea Langeliers C OAK vs STL 0.32773 0.64107 Max Muncy 3B LAD vs WSH 0.32435 0.81388 Bobby Witt SS KC @CWS 0.31347 0.72832 Nelson Velazquez OF KC @CWS 0.31297 0.67393 Cal Raleigh C SEA vs CIN 0.29622 0.5394 Lane Thomas OF WSH @LAD 0.27984 0.61197 Matt Olson 1B ATL @HOU 0.27895 0.6956 Salvador Perez C KC @CWS 0.27523 0.77797 Mike Trout OF LAA @TB 0.27497 0.53877 Teoscar Hernandez OF LAD vs WSH 0.27466 0.78016 Marcell Ozuna DH ATL @HOU 0.27457 0.67165
Points Awarded:
SBR Andy gave stevenash 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.
Thanks for sharing. Are those HR percentages projections?Originally Posted by stevenash
Player Name Pos Team Opp HR RBI Aaron Judge OF NYY @TOR 0.42965 0.72679 Giancarlo Stanton OF NYY @TOR 0.42113 0.74777 Juan Soto OF NYY @TOR 0.35902 0.60541 Mookie Betts OF LAD vs WSH 0.343 0.80397 Kyle Schwarber OF PHI vs COL 0.33744 0.61029 Pete Alonso 1B NYM vs PIT 0.33163 0.84089 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B KC @CWS 0.32896 0.74502 Shohei Ohtani DH LAD vs WSH 0.32877 0.73762 Shea Langeliers C OAK vs STL 0.32773 0.64107 Max Muncy 3B LAD vs WSH 0.32435 0.81388 Bobby Witt SS KC @CWS 0.31347 0.72832 Nelson Velazquez OF KC @CWS 0.31297 0.67393 Cal Raleigh C SEA vs CIN 0.29622 0.5394 Lane Thomas OF WSH @LAD 0.27984 0.61197 Matt Olson 1B ATL @HOU 0.27895 0.6956 Salvador Perez C KC @CWS 0.27523 0.77797 Mike Trout OF LAA @TB 0.27497 0.53877 Teoscar Hernandez OF LAD vs WSH 0.27466 0.78016 Marcell Ozuna DH ATL @HOU 0.27457 0.67165
Yes, based on analytics.Thanks for sharing. Are those HR percentages projections?
I just gave you guys the top twenty.
I don't mind posting the top twenty on a daily basis.
When I was a teen in HS, number nerds were considered geeks for the most part.
Now it's considered normal.
Great stuff. Ya they're a key part of handicapping these days. Can use to compare against FD odds to find some value.
Yes, based on analytics.
I just gave you guys the top twenty.
I don't mind posting the top twenty on a daily basis.
When I was a teen in HS, number nerds were considered geeks for the most part.
Now it's considered normal.
Ian Happ gets on the board!Going to start targeting some positive regression candidates for Dinger Tuesday the next couple weeks. Cubs/Dbacks is a game that jumps out here with the 10.5 total.
AZ - Corbin Carroll only 1 home run in 16 games, had 25 last season. He's +520 to hit a HR tonight, FanDuel has the best odds.
CHC - Ian Happ 0 home runs in 16 games, had 21 last season & 25 in 2021. He's +560 to hit a HR tonight, only BetRivers (+575) has slightly better odds.
What game/hitters are the ones to circle tonight?
22 Home runs hit yesterday.
Home Run Tracker - OnlyHomers
Player Name Pos Team Opp HR RBI Mike Trout OF LAA @TB 0.34 0.525 Triston Casas 1B BOS vs CLE 0.29 0.68 Christopher Morel OF CHC vs MIA 0.27 0.629 Rene Pinto C TB vs LAA 0.26 0.529 Jose Siri OF TB vs LAA 0.26 0.494 Jazz Chisholm OF MIA @CHC 0.25 0.609 Miguel Sano 1B LAA @TB 0.24 0.438 Alexander Canario DH CHC vs MIA 0.24 0.608 Adolis Garcia OF TEX @DET 0.23 0.653 Jorge Soler OF SF vs ARI 0.23 0.479 Corey Seager SS TEX @DET 0.22 0.603 Kerry Carpenter OF DET vs TEX 0.22 0.54 Cody Bellinger OF CHC vs MIA 0.21 0.595 Taylor Ward OF LAA @TB 0.21 0.502 Mickey Moniak OF LAA @TB 0.2 0.456 Jesus Sanchez OF MIA @CHC 0.2 0.534 Bryan De La Cruz OF MIA @CHC 0.2 0.592 Spencer Torkelson 1B DET vs TEX 0.2 0.519 Josh Naylor 1B CLE @BOS 0.2 0.83 Jose Ramirez 3B CLE @BOS 0.19 0.7 Dansby Swanson SS CHC vs MIA 0.19 0.539 Miguel Amaya C CHC vs MIA 0.18 0.465 Matt Chapman 3B SF vs ARI 0.18 0.429 LaMonte Wade OF SF vs ARI 0.18 0.44
Texas is playing HR derby with the Tigers in a wild one.
Tied at seven and seven through four innings, both teams have eight hits apiece. Rangers have hit three home runs.
Another Dinger Tuesday is upon us. Astros/Cubs looks like a game to target with 16 MPH winds blowing out and a total set at 10. Coors Field always a strong option as well with the Rockies hosting the Padres.
The 'positive regression' target worked last week with Ian Happ +560, so we'll try the same strategy on a struggling Astro tonight:
Alex Bregman - 0 home runs in 20 games, has had seasons of 41, 31, 25 & 23. He's +460 to hit a HR tonight at FanDuel, next best price is +425. Hopefully he ends the drought tonight.
What games/hitters are you guys looking at tonight?
Smart left field thinking strategy Andy.Another Dinger Tuesday is upon us. Astros/Cubs looks like a game to target with 16 MPH winds blowing out and a total set at 10. Coors Field always a strong option as well with the Rockies hosting the Padres.
The 'positive regression' target worked last week with Ian Happ +560, so we'll try the same strategy on a struggling Astro tonight:
Alex Bregman - 0 home runs in 20 games, has had seasons of 41, 31, 25 & 23. He's +460 to hit a HR tonight at FanDuel, next best price is +425. Hopefully he ends the drought tonight.
What games/hitters are you guys looking at tonight?
Looking at the Yankees/Orioles game today for Dinger Tuesday. Two high powered offenses with a bit of wind blowing out. We'll go with the positive regression target one more time on the final day of April.
Gleyber Torres - 0 home runs in 30 games. Had 25 last year, 24 in 2022 and 38 in 2019. He's +600 to go deep at FanDuel tonight! Can he get on the board before the calendar flips to May?
Dodgers/Dbacks another game to look at with a 9.5 total.
Going to take a swing at a longshot today because why the hell not.
Giants vs Rockies at Coors Field with a 10 run total and a struggling Dakota Hudson on the mound for COL.
Give me Thairo Estrada +750 to go yard at FanDuel - 5 dingers on the season and a 3/30 BB/K ratio so I know he'll get his swings in.
Player Name Pos Team Opp HR RBI Shohei Ohtani DH LAD vs MIA 0.39 0.613 Brent Rooker OF OAK vs TEX 0.35 0.737 Kyle Schwarber OF PHI vs TOR 0.34 0.601 Isaac Paredes 3B TB vs CWS 0.31 0.749 Shea Langeliers C OAK vs TEX 0.3 0.734 Gunnar Henderson SS BAL @WSH 0.3 0.561 Max Muncy 3B LAD vs MIA 0.3 0.621 Jose Siri OF TB vs CWS 0.3 0.602 Christian Walker 1B ARI @CIN 0.28 0.627 Cal Raleigh C SEA @MIN 0.27 0.508 Matt Olson 1B ATL vs BOS 0.26 0.601 Mookie Betts OF LAD vs MIA 0.26 0.62 Seth Brown OF OAK vs TEX 0.26 0.695 Anthony Santander OF BAL @WSH 0.25 0.636 Bobby Witt SS KC vs MIL 0.25 0.506 Fernando Tatis OF SD @CHC 0.25 0.489 Wenceel Perez 2B DET @CLE 0.25 0.508 Bryce Harper 1B PHI vs TOR 0.25 0.624 Yordan Alvarez OF HOU @NYY 0.25 0.689 Jake Rogers C DET @CLE 0.25 0.583 JJ Bleday OF OAK vs TEX 0.24 0.603
Points Awarded:
SBR Andy gave stevenash 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.
Top 12 Home Run Leaders For May In 2023
Aaron Judge 12
Jorge Soler 12
Pete Alonso 11
Christopher Morel 9
Marcell Ozuna 9
Salvador Perez 9
Mookie Betts 9
Matt Olsen 9
J.D. Martinez 8
Shohei Ohtani 8
Jose Siri 8
Christian Walker 8.
Points Awarded:
SBR Andy gave Getch13 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.
