Yeah the Dodgers blew it. I had them ML before the game, then they had man on 2nd, no outs, so i took them live to win by 2, go figure, they stranded that lead off double.
Going to take a look at today's picks shortly, and then I'll share my thoughts.
I was also trying to lock in Under 3.5 Total in the Bruins/Canadians game midway through the 2nd, and the live bet keep locking on me, so I wasn't able to get it in, and sure enough it would have hit.. Annoyed the hell out of me.
Dude. I hate when that happens!Originally Posted by mgoncalves10
Yeah the Dodgers blew it. I had them ML before the game, then they had man on 2nd, no outs, so i took them live to win by 2, go figure, they stranded that lead off double.
Going to take a look at today's picks shortly, and then I'll share my thoughts.
I was also trying to lock in Under 3.5 Total in the Bruins/Canadians game midway through the 2nd, and the live bet keep locking on me, so I wasn't able to get it in, and sure enough it would have hit.. Annoyed the hell out of me.
Same happened to me last night. I did a live bet with LA Kings +1 and a parlay with Ducks ML.
With 5 min. To go there was a TO, but 5 Dimes had stopped doing the game. I wanted to put in Over 4 goals, which would have won.
Twins @ Tigers
First up, I'm taking a look at Verlander at home tonight. At first glance, without even looking at stats, I clearly thought Detroit takes this game.
Detroit is coming off a loss at home against the Astros, while the Twins have lost 7 of their last 10. They were just swept by the Indians, and in their last 10, they've scored 32 runs, an average of 3.2 runs per game. Now they get to go up against one of baseball's best pitchers in Justin Verlander.
Verlander's numbers against the Twins in the last 3 years are ridiculous. At home since 2011, Verlander has gone 7-0 with a 2.01 ERA against the Twins. At Commerica Park since 2011, he's 25-12 with a 2.57 ERA. He has only given up more than 2 ER's once this season, which was in his last outing in Kansas City.
Phil Hughes on the other hand has been better lately, but away from home, he is still 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA. And since 2011, he's 1-2 at Commerica Park with a 4.15 ERA, and against the Tigers where he's been the home side, Hughes is 1-4 with a 5.96 ERA. So as you can see Verlander's numbers against the Twinkies are lights out, while Hughes' stats aren't as impressive, which isn't surprising.
And adding to the Twins' struggles, Mauer is likely going to be out of today's game as well. They had said he could return today, but it looks like tomorrow is more realistic for his return.
I can't find anything that leads me away from taking the Tigers. With the ML at -215 right now, that is a lot of juice, so I will most likely play that in a parlay, but the -1.5 RL at -110 will likely be a straight bet for me.
What are your thoughts on this game?
I don't like juice of any kind over -170.
I did a parlay: Tigers -1 / Texas +1.5
2 great hurlers...just don't see this losing. Bucholz has been shaky and Darvish at home is spectacular. He has struggled a bit vs Boston, but I'll take my chances...and give a little cushion just in case. Boston's bats have been weak all year and don't see them score G more than 4 vs Rangers, while Texas should be able to muster 3 or more vs Buchholz.
What about SF tonight? MadBum has been spectacular at Chavez - Ravine. Great price now at -130. Maholm has seen better days and Giants rip lefties pretty good, while Dodgers struggle last 2 seasons.
What do you use for betting? I use BetOnline & a bookie, and neither offer -1 on BaseballI don't like juice of any kind over -170.
I did a parlay: Tigers -1 / Texas +1.5
2 great hurlers...just don't see this losing. Bucholz has been shaky and Darvish at home is spectacular. He has struggled a bit vs Boston, but I'll take my chances...and give a little cushion just in case. Boston's bats have been weak all year and don't see them score G more than 4 vs Rangers, while Texas should be able to muster 3 or more vs Buchholz.
What about SF tonight? MadBum has been spectacular at Chavez - Ravine. Great price now at -130. Maholm has seen better days and Giants rip lefties pretty good, while Dodgers struggle last 2 seasons.either ML or -1.5 which stinks.. Wish I could get the -1..
Marlins @ Padres
Marlins are -123 ML against the Padres who can't seem to hit a baseball right now, and they have the worst offense, and Fernandez is on the mound...? How can anyone pass up on that?
Yes I know the Marlins are only 3-10 on the road, but they beat the Padres last night, and with Fernandez getting the start today, I think it's going to be VERY difficult for the Padres to break out of their offensive slump.
Fernandez already beat the Padres once this season, and they are collectively batting .128 against him in 39 at bats. Away from home he is just 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA, but I can't convince myself that today is the day that the Padres bats' wake up..
Tyson Ross hasn't been all that bad either, with a 2-1 record at Petco Park and a 1.67 ERA this season at home. His struggles have come away from home (1-2, 5.94) but at night (2-3, 4.25) he hasn't been too great either. Since 2011, he's only faced the Marlins once, he didn't even pitch a full inning, and got tagged with a 108.00 ERA.. Yea you read that right.. In 6 at bats, the Marlins are tagging him with a .333 BA.
So regardless of Miami's struggles, they are on a good streak right now, and with Fernandez taking the mound, -123 is some good value. I may even get adventurous and take the RL depending on how my picks go earlier in the day.
Red Sox @ Rangers
Red Sox are road underdogs at +130 ML, with the RL at -160. Clay Buchholz gets the ball for Boston and although he has a 2-2 record with a 5.63 ERA, he actually hasn't been all that bad. He's had two bad outings, which have hurt his ERA. He gave up 6 ER's at home against Baltimore in 2.1 IP. And he gave up 6 ER's in his season debut at home against the Brewers in 4.1 IP. In his four other outings, he's given up 8 ER's in 25.1 IP. Both the games he got lit up, you would have expected him to have a good outing. In his games at Toronto, at New York Yankees, I would have expected him to get lit up because he has been hit or miss lately, but he had a decent outing.
I feel like tonight is another one of those situations where everyone expects Buchholz to implode against a Rangers team that can hit the ball, and shutout the Rockies last night 5-0. Clay is o-1 against Texas since 2011, and they are hitting .133 against him in 75 at bats.
Yu Darvish on the other hand has pitched well this season, but he hasn't done so well against the Red Sox. He's 0-1 against them since 2011, with a 5.93 ERA. In 27 at bats, the Red Sox are hitting .222 against him.
As a Red Sox fan, and someone who lives just outside Beantown, my opinion may not matter, but I could see the +1.5 for the Red Sox at -160 as a good choice. This is one of those that can go either way, and I may take my chances with the Sox RL, just going by Darvish's numbers against the Red SOx, which leads me to believe that if Buchholz can avoid a horrific inning, the Sox can keep this close.
Can make your own -1RL with two wagers: risk amt on the RL equal to win amt on the ML. Theres a calculator too that makes it easy I'll post a link when I find it.What do you use for betting? I use BetOnline & a bookie, and neither offer -1 on Baseball
http://www.bangthebook.com/picks/wag...sk/league/MLB/
Last edited by whtsox13; 05-09-14 at 12:44 PM. Reason: add link
I'm taking a look at the Angels/Blue Jays game.. as well as the Phillies/Mets game..
McGowan's numbers this season at home are terrifying.. While Richards has pitched well, but his numbers at the Rogers Centre aren't flattering either... Any thoughts on this game..?
And the Phillies/Mets game.. Mejia and Hernandez haven't seen much of eachother. Hernandez pitched 0.1 IP against the mets this season, striking out the batter he faced. Mejia has only faced the Mets' bats 14 times, but they are hitting him with a .500 BA.The Phillies pitching let them down against the Blue Jays, but they still put runs 12 runs in three games, despite getting blanked in the 2nd game. New York has lost 6 of their last 7, and they aren't scoring much. Mejia is also coming off two terrible games, giving up 14 ER in 10 innings pitched. He's 2-0 at home with a 3.44 ERA, and Hernandez is 1-1 away from home with a 7.04 ERA. Is Hernandez the most dominant pitcher? Absolutely not, but given the Phillies offensive weapons, if they are even remotely swinging the bat decently, they could do damage against the Mets. And not to mention the Phillies are underdogs at +104... +1.5 RL is at -200...
Thoughts?
I think I may hop on...but be advised I am a major streak breaker! Only 1 time in 5 tries have I hopped on board the wagon and the team wins when a team had a streak of 6+ games...I don't think Marlins are at 6 yet, but am I hopping on too late?Marlins are -123 ML against the Padres who can't seem to hit a baseball right now, and they have the worst offense, and Fernandez is on the mound...? How can anyone pass up on that?
Yes I know the Marlins are only 3-10 on the road, but they beat the Padres last night, and with Fernandez getting the start today, I think it's going to be VERY difficult for the Padres to break out of their offensive slump.
Fernandez already beat the Padres once this season, and they are collectively batting .128 against him in 39 at bats. Away from home he is just 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA, but I can't convince myself that today is the day that the Padres bats' wake up..
Tyson Ross hasn't been all that bad either, with a 2-1 record at Petco Park and a 1.67 ERA this season at home. His struggles have come away from home (1-2, 5.94) but at night (2-3, 4.25) he hasn't been too great either. Since 2011, he's only faced the Marlins once, he didn't even pitch a full inning, and got tagged with a 108.00 ERA.. Yea you read that right.. In 6 at bats, the Marlins are tagging him with a .333 BA.
So regardless of Miami's struggles, they are on a good streak right now, and with Fernandez taking the mound, -123 is some good value. I may even get adventurous and take the RL depending on how my picks go earlier in the day.
I think BOTH Reds ML and Rockies +1.5 have a good shot at hitting. Cueto is a beast at home so I don't see Rockies getting more than 3. At the same time, I think Reds can get a few off Nicasio, but their bats haven't been on fire lately.
I may go with Reds -1 and Rockies +1.5.
Another option is a parlay: Red Sox +1.5 / Rockies +2.5
This is about +100 payout I believe.
Check out this parlay:
Rockies +2.5 / Red Sox +1.5 / Marlins +1.5
+200 payout
What do you guys think?
I like that one.. Surprised it pays out +200.. What's the line on the Rockies +2.5?Check out this parlay:
Rockies +2.5 / Red Sox +1.5 / Marlins +1.5
+200 payout
What do you guys think?
In hockey tonight. I like for the Penguins to put an end to the series today at home. Might take them straight up in regulation in the 3-way (-125). May also take them straight up ML as well (-175) and I'm also exploring the Rangers U2.5 at (-150)
Marlins lines have moved..
ML was -123, now it's at -134
RL was +150, and it's now at +135
