(#2 GM)Padres ML +110 (0.50 to win 0.60)
I don't think I would get much argument when saying that Erlin is clearly the better pitcher in this matchup, as Bauer has been brought up from the minors, only to be sent back down due to poor performance. Erlin however seemed to have found his stride at the end of the year, with Padres winning 4 of the last 5 he started in. Bauer is getting the slight advantage in this game because he's @ home with the Indians lineup backing him up, but I'll wager he can't get the run support today with the Indians going up against the Lefty in the cold.
Brewers ML -120 (1.20 to win 1.00)
Would like to go -1 in this but there doesn't seem to be any reward in it. Garza was solid in his first start of the year against the Braves, and he has done very well against the Phillies in his career. The only potential batter that has done well against him is Dominic Brown and that's a small sample size. Meanwhile Roberto pitched suprisingly well in his first outing, though I think if it was a team other than the Cubs it would have ended differently. Cubbies so far this year are again in the bottom third against batting versus righties. I think the Brew crew should fare better against this mediocre righty. Add the sizeable advantage for the Brewers in the Bullpen and I think you are getting the Brewers at a discount here.
MIL/PHI U7.5 @ -110 (0.60 to win 0.50)
A bit of a hedge, just in case Hernandez somehow outpitches Garza. I do think I'll win this and the moneyline though.