2014 mlb

Pirates ML-115 (1.00 to win .87)
Getting the Gerrit Cole @ home at this price versus the 4th best pitcher in the Cards rotation seems like a good bet here.
Despite playing in one of the toughest environments for a right handed pitcher in the playoffs last year, Cole pitched a couple of solid games winning and posting a W in one of those. Miller on the other hand has not fared well versus the Pirates and hasn't received any run support either, it won't help him either that his pitches end in quite a few flyballs (above league average last year) and the wind will be blowing 15mph out to left field tonight. Factor one of the leagues better bullpens working behind Cole, and I think it's worth a unit.

Cards pen no slouches themselves, in fact I'd argue it better than pit's. also miller isn't cards 4th best pitcher, he better than Lynn so I'd say he 3rd out of the starters.. I agree cards prob won't score much, not sure buccos do either tho, gl

first 5 innings better bet. cards got much better pen

Fade the jays!
GL

Saturday, April 5th
Twins FF @ +135 (0.35 to win 0.50)
As bad as Gibson is, Carrasco could very well, be worse and he didn't fare well against the Twinkies in his two starts last year. Indians may have edge at home, but it seemed like a coin flip type play, so I'll take the 35 points.

Originally Posted by 2daBank

Cards pen no slouches themselves, in fact I'd argue it better than pit's. also miller isn't cards 4th best pitcher, he better than Lynn so I'd say he 3rd out of the starters.. I agree cards prob won't score much, not sure buccos do either tho, gl

Ahhh, I thought the Cards still had Kelly. I agree with that.

Giants FF +125 (0.40 to win 0.50)
Giants going for four straight have a good chance of doing it versus lefty Maholm. Like Ryu, Maholm has not pitched against this Giants lineup. Bumgarner on the other side has been solid against this Giants ball club and definitely has the edge in this pitching matchup. At least the stats say he does.

I like the CHW/KC Under, but four straight over's by the White Sox scare me some. So I'll be staying away from that, even if regression to mean is pretty high IMO.

Rockies -1 @ +108
Rockies ML -125 (0.63 to win 0.50)
Rockies RL +165 (0.30 to win 0.50)
If Ross isn't in the lineup tonight I'll probably add a little more to this.
La Rosa had a great year in home park last year, with Rockies winning 12 of the 14 at Coors field with him on the mound and will be coming of a poor outing in Miami in his season opener, so I expect a better performance tonight. Diamondbacks have lost three straight and down double digits last night, so I really like situational here. Meanwhile D'backs will send McCarthy to the mound, and aside from Cuddyer he hasn't fared that well against these Rockies hitters. The Rockies lit Delgado (A better pitcher in my opinion) and company last night, and have a good chance at putting runs on the board tonight.

MIL/BOS U8.5 @ -105 (1.05 to win 1.00) WIN
Dodgers FF RL-0.5 @ -115 (1.00 to win 0.87) LOSS
Yankees FF -0.5 @ +105 (0.71 to win .75) WIN
Pirates ML-115 (1.00 to win .87) WIN
----------------------------------
Twins FF @ +135 (0.35 to win 0.50) WIN
Giants FF +125 (0.40 to win 0.50) WIN
Rockies -1 @ +108 WIN
Rockies ML -125 (0.63 to win 0.50)
Rockies RL +165 (0.30 to win 0.50)

Really thought Ryu had figured out neutralize that Giants lineup, I guess he forgot.

Otherwise, we'll see if I can keep my perceptions aligned with reality.

Combined Day Total: 6-1 (+3.62)
Overall: 13-6 (+5.12)
TTL Units Risked: 15.15
ROI: 33.86%

huge

Originally Posted by Jayvegas420

huge

Lol. Yeah pretty fukkin great start. Hope you made something of em.

Tuesday, April 8th

PIT/CHC U7.0 -115 (0.65 to win 0.50)
Cold day with a 5-10 mph wind blowing in from left field for a couple of pitchers who have pitched well versus their respective teams. The past three starts for Edwin Jackson have ended in 7 runs or less, and Morton has pitched 13 shutout innings in the past two starts.

Giants -1 -107
Giants RL +150 (0.33 to win 0.50)
Giants ML -147 (0.74 to win 0.50)
Hudson was fabulous in Arizona about a week ago, pitching almost eight innings shutout innings and allowing only three hits, and will be looking to bring that performance back to San Francisco against a struggling Diamondbacks team, who will send Trevor Cahill to the mound. A righty who has does not pitch well against these Giants hitters. Given this is the Giants Home opener, I expect them to play hard today.

HOU/TOR U8.5 @ -105 (0.78 to win 0.75)
The Blue Jays can hit, but Oberholtzer is pretty damn good in his own right and this is a Blue Jays lineup that hasn't seen his stuff yet., taking the Astros ML in this spot is a decent bet I think, but Buerhle will be coming home almost pitching a complete game shutout down in Tampa and he shut down this Astros team last year. Too bad Toronto has the roof because the weather is great for an under, but even then I still like the bet.

Mariners FF +125 (0.80 to win 1.00)
Paxton still continues to recieve such little respect opening at -110 on the ML. He will again face off against Hector Santiago who he outmatched the first time around. Seems like a good bet for the second time.

I like the under in the blue jays game and cubs game. GL

Originally Posted by farmhouse1

I like the under in the blue jays game and cubs game. GL

We'll find out. BOL.