way to go Coin...
Coin you see the craziness with this Cin/SD line? Yesterday opened around -160-170 for the Reds. Went as low wasv- -138. Gsme gets canceled...now its -118. Whaa?
Seeing Reds at -155 on 5Dimes I'd like the -118 please where is that?Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3
Coin you see the craziness with this Cin/SD line? Yesterday opened around -160-170 for the Reds. Went as low wasv- -138. Gsme gets canceled...now its -118. Whaa?
lol grow your unit and then let it shrink back downI'm sure you've thought of this but why not take advantage when your red hot and grow your unit temporarily to cash in and then shrink your unit back down to its original size?
You're probably right re: average bet size. It would be interesting to see what that # actually is. I almost never go above 4U, though I have had an occasional "big" play. Of course for me, a 10U play is only $200, where to someone tailing me at $100 per unit would be investing a grand in that play. Again, those plays can be counted on two hands during the last two years, but I have made a few of them. So in actuality, my amount invested is probably closer to $200,000 total in the last two years than $100,000.Keep up the good work coin but I think ur 1.5 unit per bet estimate is a little generously low...keeping accurate records of bet sizes is of utmost importance in handicapping....I'd much rather tail someone +20 units that's betting 1 unit a game and a max bet of 2 units then someone up +50 units but with a much higher bet size average of 5 including some large chase max bets of 20+ units....its all about money management and in my opinion even if you really really love an edge it shouldn't be more than 3 x your average bet size ….
Because no one really knows when they'll get "hot" vs. when variance starts kicking them in the teeth. You can chase your streak either way, but that's not a very sound betting strategy long term -- whether your winning or losing. At least to me.I'm sure you've thought of this but why not take advantage when your red hot and grow your unit temporarily to cash in and then shrink your unit back down to its original size?
Points Awarded:
Smutbucket gave No coincidences 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
-145 now. The linemovement these past 2 days for this game have been weirdSeeing Reds at -155 on 5Dimes I'd like the -118 please where is that?
Keep killing it coiner.Thanks, fellas.way to go Coin...
I don't generally like to bet doubleheaders. Never really know re: lineups, motivation, etc. I tend to just leave them alone.-145 now. The linemovement these past 2 days for this game have been weird
Coin thanks for all the insight.
When I see someone wagering 5-10u that normally wagers one or two units, I say to myself, I say "Self, this person really likes this play and sees a good angle, let's look at it and see what we think." I'm not automatically matching unit size, if it seems a strong play I'll decide how many units to wager.You're probably right re: average bet size. It would be interesting to see what that # actually is. I almost never go above 4U, though I have had an occasional "big" play. Of course for me, a 10U play is only $200, where to someone tailing me at $100 per unit would be investing a grand in that play. Again, those plays can be counted on two hands during the last two years, but I have made a few of them. So in actuality, my amount invested is probably closer to $200,000 total in the last two years than $100,000.
Keep up the good work, sir.
Agree that it's all relative to your comfort level. For me, putting $200 on a single game is a lot -- especially as a high volume, recreational bettor. I suppose that if you are used to $100 per unit, having a grand on a strong play may not seem that absurd.When I see someone wagering 5-10u that normally wagers one or two units, I say to myself, I say "Self, this person really likes this play and sees a good angle, let's look at it and see what we think." I'm not automatically matching unit size, if it seems a strong play I'll decide how many units to wager.
Keep up the good work, sir.
That's what we're all here for. I just wish 2DaBank, ExHoosier, italianbandit, tat, t-bone, etc. posted more around here these days -- I'm an amateur compared to their ability to break down a game or spot a great bet. This thread would really take off if/when they start showing up more often.Coin thanks for all the insight.
That guy used to always be around. Did he get banned or something?2DaBank
Great stuff nocoin. I always check in here before making my plays. Very helpful.
I had a question regarding the cubbies. If wacha is a -200+ fav, why is the TT difference only 1/2 a run. Waino was the same high priced fav but had a full run difference in TT's. Cubs RL has to be the play right?
