Think Braves & Harang should be the play after just getting swept at home, and the cards on a back to back road after last night's win.
Baseball's a very complicated grind. A lot of ebbs and flows, obviously. I agree with your pre- and post-ASB analysis. The key is to not pigeonhole yourself, and make sure you are constantly staying as informed as possible and not backing yourself into a corner with your strategy. You can't always fade the pubic. You can't always take dogs. You can't "always" do anything. It may look, at times, like I'm doing both, but I truly make bets based on numbers and my line vs. the posted line; if I see value, I bet a game. Of course, I do have a hard time laying heavy juice, but every once in a while, I will. The key is to remain open to discussion and possibilities. That, and doing your homework constantly. No shortcuts in MLB.Originally Posted by EVfollower
Been following you NoCoin for last year or so but haven't said much. We usually are on opposite sides, I notice you tend to think you find value in fading general public opinion. As a long time sports bettor, when it comes to baseball I'm somewhat of a square but I don't bet higher than -130 favs. Anyways, I wanted to share my experiences, the last 3 years during the months of April, May and early June, looking at pitching matchups often made me have a lot of success. The whole "public is wrong" idea was not true in the early months of the past 3 seasons. I do more research then just pitching matchups obviously but in past 3 years when I've made plays it generally follows public opinion for MLB. All 3 years I made 20+ units by mid June, one year as much as 60 units for $12,000. The problem I always ran into, and thus last year I bet half my unit size, was the all star break. I'd come back from all star break and lose every bet, and the public did too. So my guess is you will turn it around after the all star break and those value plays will finally start hitting for you. Good luck regardless!
Harang and Miller are very hittable. Their numbers are borderline flukish. Only thing that worries me is how cold bold offenses have been.What makes you think the STL/ATL Over "outstanding" Coin?
Yep now is def the time to play faves.Been following you NoCoin for last year or so but haven't said much. We usually are on opposite sides, I notice you tend to think you find value in fading general public opinion. As a long time sports bettor, when it comes to baseball I'm somewhat of a square but I don't bet higher than -130 favs. Anyways, I wanted to share my experiences, the last 3 years during the months of April, May and early June, looking at pitching matchups often made me have a lot of success. The whole "public is wrong" idea was not true in the early months of the past 3 seasons. I do more research then just pitching matchups obviously but in past 3 years when I've made plays it generally follows public opinion for MLB. All 3 years I made 20+ units by mid June, one year as much as 60 units for $12,000. The problem I always ran into, and thus last year I bet half my unit size, was the all star break. I'd come back from all star break and lose every bet, and the public did too. So my guess is you will turn it around after the all star break and those value plays will finally start hitting for you. Good luck regardless!
After all-star break the dogs will start barking loud.
Aaron Harang batting in the 8-spot will jumpstart the Braves offense.Harang and Miller are very hittable. Their numbers are borderline flukish. Only thing that worries me is how cold bold offenses have been.
3 brock plays tonight
12)LA Dodgers -110
Greinke and Dodgers have been better on the road than home
13)St Louis/Atlanta UNDER 7 1/2 -110
Simply put, both teams bats are in the freezer right now, wouldn't want that OVER with a 10 foot pole
14)Washington Wizards +4
Indiana was lucky to survive Atlanta...they are due for a letdown after the series they got thru by the skin of their teeth, Wizards can easily win outright here
curious in the steps/factors you go about for creating your lines for mlb coin..always like to pick up some other views/ways of interpreting thingsBaseball's a very complicated grind. A lot of ebbs and flows, obviously. I agree with your pre- and post-ASB analysis. The key is to not pigeonhole yourself, and make sure you are constantly staying as informed as possible and not backing yourself into a corner with your strategy. You can't always fade the pubic. You can't always take dogs. You can't "always" do anything. It may look, at times, like I'm doing both, but I truly make bets based on numbers and my line vs. the posted line; if I see value, I bet a game. Of course, I do have a hard time laying heavy juice, but every once in a while, I will. The key is to remain open to discussion and possibilities. That, and doing your homework constantly. No shortcuts in MLB.
Fvking Mauer out...damn.
and there goes my wizards ticket.3 brock plays tonight
12)LA Dodgers -110
Greinke and Dodgers have been better on the road than home
13)St Louis/Atlanta UNDER 7 1/2 -110
Simply put, both teams bats are in the freezer right now, wouldn't want that OVER with a 10 foot pole
14)Washington Wizards +4
Indiana was lucky to survive Atlanta...they are due for a letdown after the series they got thru by the skin of their teeth, Wizards can easily win outright here
Thanks!3 brock plays tonight
12)LA Dodgers -110
Greinke and Dodgers have been better on the road than home
13)St Louis/Atlanta UNDER 7 1/2 -110
Simply put, both teams bats are in the freezer right now, wouldn't want that OVER with a 10 foot pole
14)Washington Wizards +4
Indiana was lucky to survive Atlanta...they are due for a letdown after the series they got thru by the skin of their teeth, Wizards can easily win outright here
StL/ATL over 7.5 (1.1U to win 1)
WAS +100 (1U to win 1)
Just saw that. Shit.Fvking Mauer out...damn.
u blindly fading Landers or did you put any handicapping into that game?
PIT -102 (1.02U to win 1)
in Jeff Locke we trust. I know thats your boy coin.PIT -102 (1.02U to win 1)
Adding a unit to Pittsburgh and the ATL/StL over.
