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on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

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#526

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UPDATED for 7/24/2014
System(s) record Chase:

Regular system: 128-8-0; Profit: +33.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units, DET -10.5 units)
Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 90-47; 12-7
Game 2 (B) win = 22-26; 2-4; 2-3
Game 3 (C) win = 18-8; 2-2; 1-2

Labby -- not relevant to unit count

45-45-23-23
x-25-72-x
x-50-28-x

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

36-39-36-40

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) MIN -150 to win 45
(A) MIL -146 to win 45

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

none

5/2

none
#528

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UPDATED for 7/25/2014
System(s) record Chase:

Regular system: 129-8-0; Profit: +32.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units, DET -10.5 units)
Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 91-48; 12-7
Game 2 (B) win = 22-26; 2-4; 2-3
Game 3 (C) win = 18-8; 2-2; 1-2

Labby -- not relevant to unit count

25-45-23-23
42-35-62-x
x-50-28-x

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

36-39-36-40

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) MIN -120 to win 77
(A) ATL -160 to win 46

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

none

5/2

none
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Points Awarded:

aviator172 gave on3 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

#530

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UPDATED for 7/26/2014
System(s) record Chase:

Regular system: 129-8-0; Profit: +24 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units, DET -10.5 units)
Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 91-49; 12-7
Game 2 (B) win = 22-27; 2-4; 2-3
Game 3 (C) win = 18-8; 2-2; 1-2

Labby -- not relevant to unit count

25-45-23-53
82-41-42-53
x-50-28-56

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

36-39-36-40

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(C) MIN +160 to win 56
(B) ATL -185 to win 82

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

none

5/2

none
#534

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Quote Originally Posted by Icey bets View Post
Oak looks like a play and Was is close to a play
LOL wish I could take my point back... please read the system before posting this. Just seen that both of these teams are on the road!!!! Welcome aboard icey bets. This is a home game chase.
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Points Awarded:

Icey bets gave J.M. Disciple 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

#537

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Quote Originally Posted by swngus44 View Post
On3 did you mention before that this system isn't as solid in the 2nd half of the season as the first? What are your thoughts after the first half so far?
I am pretty sure he said something about having a win percentage above .500 at home and an overall win percentage above .500 as a filter after the all-star break. Personally I use these filters after about halfway through the first half of the season. I just kind of go with my gut and many years of experience wagering on baseball. If it doesn't feel right, I will back off the series. I am often times wrong but I would rather be safe than sorry. These rules are not completely written in stone, and it is still your money and your decisions on what you bet on. However..... overall this system is what I have followed and it has been very profitable despite some of the blind hate people have on betting systems.
#538

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UPDATED for 7/28/2014
System(s) record Chase:

Regular system: 130-9-0; Profit: +26.25 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units, TEX -6.5 units, DET -10.5 units)
Filtered System: 16-2-0; Profit: +5 units (TEX - 7.5 units)
5/2 chase: 3-2-0; profit: -30.30 units (TEX -25.5 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 91-49; 12-7
Game 2 (B) win = 23-27; 2-4; 2-3
Game 3 (C) win = 18-9; 2-2; 1-2

Labby -- not relevant to unit count

20-45-45-53
x-41-42-53
18-50-28-56

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)

36-39-36-40

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) SF -154 to win 45

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

none

5/2

none
#539

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Quote Originally Posted by swngus44 View Post
On3 did you mention before that this system isn't as solid in the 2nd half of the season as the first? What are your thoughts after the first half so far?
I think the 4 game series' are underperforming and I also realized I messed up with that MIN series that ended up being a loser. MIN is below .500 both overall and at home and should have never been a play.