on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

Originally Posted by Wallco99

How come the 13.25 unit loss for Boston was never subtracted from the overall profits once that sixth loss was added in? Instead of going down 13.25, it went up 4.5 units, from +85.5 to +90.

On3 keeps track only by adding the wins to the profit when the series is over. If you want the total profit you have to subtract what is on the lines above $10 from the profit he has recorded.

27-27-27-26
33-30-29-31
30-25-30-34

Each number starts at $10 making the total starting labby lines at $120 ($10 x 12#s). There is $349 in play minus the $120 starting which is $229 subtracted from the profit total. 11.45 units. For those following on3's labby numbers and getting the same juice you should be up +78.55 units for the regular system. The filtered system should be accuract since it has a fresh starting labby line. Its a theory that all losses will eventually be recovered by the labby, so its easier for on3 to keep track I suppose by only adding the wins in the mean time.

I personally prefer keeping track of the overall profit day to day, but this is not my thread or my system and just thankful for the plays being posted. Besides that I have been flatting betting 2u on every play via RL last couple weeks and it has been doing quite well.

Also On3 didn't list washington as a play, but it was a play and $20 should be added to the lines after today; as $20 is the standard bet for plays not listed when on3 is not here.

Isn't Bos a play too??

Yes the y should be. Maybe a filtered One too

(B) WAS -190/+115 tw 45 -- play RL. If line dips below -190, play ML

BOS looks like it is below -145, no play

Originally Posted by Wallco99

How come the 13.25 unit loss for Boston was never subtracted from the overall profits once that sixth loss was added in? Instead of going down 13.25, it went up 4.5 units, from +85.5 to +90.

Same methodology as all previous losses. Losses stay on the line, but will be accounted for when I true it up (as I have done before, several times this year), once we hit the all-star break. The 4.5 units was from the wins on 7/3. 3 wins at 30 each (1.5 units each).

UPDATED for 7/7/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 111-6-0; Profit: +96 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units)
Filtered System: 13-1-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 78-38; 11-3
Game 2 (B) win = 18-21; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 15-6; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
x-x-x-14
33-30-29-x
30-25-30-34

shuffle

20-20-20-20-20-20
22-10-10-x
20-10-10-23

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) CLE -146 to win 20
(A) CIN -165 to win 20
(A) BOS -191/+100 to win 20 -- play RL
(A) STL -160 to win 20
(A) LAA -165 to win 20
(A) SEA -215/-105 to win 20 -- play RL

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) CLE -146 to win 20
(A) BOS -191/+100 to win 20 -- play RL

5/2
none

Holy Shnikes!

huge steam move on TEX, now at -150 with o/u 9.5. play to win 20 regular and play to win 20 filtered.

Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple

Also On3 didn't list washington as a play, but it was a play and $20 should be added to the lines after today; as $20 is the standard bet for plays not listed when on3 is not here.

Pts for a comment made in Umps.

Ali

Very pricey day today. If your bankroll cant handle it, please lay off. I'm splitting my bet 50/50 on the CLE ML and RL.


UPDATED for 7/8/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 115-6-0; Profit: +100 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units)
Filtered System: 13-1-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-41; 11-7
Game 2 (B) win = 18-21; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 15-6; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
x-x-x-x-30-30
12-10-25-20-35
20-10-10-13

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-10-10-29-30-30

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) CLE +141 to win 32
(B) BOS -161 to win 35
(B) TEX -140 to win 35

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(B) CLE +141 to win 40
(B) BOS -161 to win 39
(B) TEX -140 to win 40

5/2
(B) CLE +141 to win 100
(B) BOS -161 to win 100
(B) TEX -140 to win 100

If you roll with Cleveland tonight, you have bigger huevos than I. Best of luck everyone.

Originally Posted by Primet76

If you roll with Cleveland tonight, you have bigger huevos than I. Best of luck everyone.

LOL well said. GL all

Originally Posted by on3

Very pricey day today. If your bankroll cant handle it, please lay off. I'm splitting my bet 50/50 on the CLE ML and RL.


UPDATED for 7/8/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 115-6-0; Profit: +100 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units. BOS -13.25 units)
Filtered System: 13-1-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-41; 11-7
Game 2 (B) win = 18-21; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 15-6; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
x-x-x-x-30-30
12-10-25-20-35
20-10-10-13

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-10-10-29-30-30

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) CLE +141 to win 32
(B) BOS -161 to win 35
(B) TEX -140 to win 35

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(B) CLE +141 to win 40
(B) BOS -161 to win 39
(B) TEX -140 to win 40

5/2
(B) CLE +141 to win 100
(B) BOS -161 to win 100
(B) TEX -140 to win 100

If you lose 30, then the next day win 30, you would be even. Yet in these situations you chalk up +1 1/2 units of win. Losses are never accounted for anywhere. A few days ago, TB lost 35 @ -153 and 65 at another high line on the A and B bets. The C bet won 81, yet you chalked up +4 units of profit for that. This +100 units for system isn't even close to accurate. Most of the monies being won back on these labby wins are amounts of monies that were lost on previous bets, yet every game that wins gets counted as +money profits instead of just money that was won back. If all the numbers start at 10, and you find yourself betting 60 or 70 on a game, the majority of that money was previous loss amounts. How can recouping them be counted as +units for the system?