on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

UPDATED for 6/23/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 95-5-0; Profit: +75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 65-35; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-18; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 13-5; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
20-15-22-15
x-38-39-14
x-10-18-34

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) TB -153 to win 35
(A) SF -157 to win 37

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

UPDATED for 6/24/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 95-5-0; Profit: +75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 65-37; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-18; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 13-5; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
20-44-22-42
x-65-59-23
x-10-18-34

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) TB -133 to win 65
(B) SF -151 to win 59

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

LAA will also be a play tonight. They are currently at -176 starting a three game series with MIN. Not sure what ON3 would bet using the labby but it is a play.

Originally Posted by md3324

LAA will also be a play tonight. They are currently at -176 starting a three game series with MIN. Not sure what ON3 would bet using the labby but it is a play.

Yeah I was thinking the same thing.

Early game, (C) TB -165 to win 81

UPDATED for 6/25/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 96-5-0; Profit: +76 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 66-37; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-20; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 13-5; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
20-44-22-42
53-65-59-53
45-63-18-34

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(C) TB -165 to win 81
(C) SF -115 to win 79

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

Originally Posted by md3324

LAA will also be a play tonight. They are currently at -176 starting a three game series with MIN. Not sure what ON3 would bet using the labby but it is a play.

sorry for missing the LAA post, but yes it was a play. for future reference if i forget to post a play, the default 'to win' would be 1 unit, or $20.

Finally!!! Tb comes through. Starting to flat bet all games -1.5 rl. if team wins by 1 i don't continue the chase. Hitting above 50% with plus odds this season. looks promising over short sample. ill try and back test a couple years for next season.

last season was worse season anyone know? Be a good season for a backtest

Originally Posted by on3

sorry for missing the LAA post, but yes it was a play. for future reference if i forget to post a play, the default 'to win' would be 1 unit, or $20.

Hey On3 you don't need to apologize to anyone for missing a post man. I'm just glad I came across your thread at the start of this season. Although I gave up on using or understanding the labby lines and started a martingale, it's been all gravy.... Thanks for putting the time in. Bol the rest of the way.

Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple

Finally!!! Tb comes through. Starting to flat bet all games -1.5 rl. if team wins by 1 i don't continue the chase. Hitting above 50% with plus odds this season. looks promising over short sample. ill try and back test a couple years for next season.

last season was worse season anyone know? Be a good season for a backtest

i play my (C) bets on the RL for 70% of my wager. it also seems to be working out well. that +180 on SF today was nice.

UPDATED for 6/26/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 98-5-0; Profit: +78 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 66-37; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-20; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 15-5; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
20-44-22-42
53-65-59-53
x-x-x-x

shuffle

32-32-32-32
43-40-39-38
20-20-20-20

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) TOR -165 to win 32
(A) PIT -149 to win 32
(A) MIL -195/+115 to win 32

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) TOR -165 to win 43
*MIL is at 8.5 right now, if it moves to 9, it becomes a play to win 40

5/2
none

Shaping up to be a real nice day.

Great day yesterday. This morning I thought the O's would be a play (and potentially a filtered play), but the line has taken a dive. Stay tuned. That said, I may play the series anyway as I don't see TB taking a 4 game sweep.

Congratulations on passing the 100 win mark. Next stop +100 units.

UPDATED for 6/27/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 101-5-0; Profit: +82.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units, CLE -7 units)
Filtered System: 13-1-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 69-37; 11-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-20; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 15-5; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
15-15-15-15
28-25-24-23
20-20-20-20

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) TEX -142 to win 30 **potential play

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) TEX -142 to win 20 **potential play

5/2
none

btw, this is the best the system has performed in the last 3 years. truly remarkable especially with this type of volume.