Thanks, On3. I knew that would sound reactionary, but it was just a thought.
As far as another thought, has anyone ever thought to back test chasing series favorites? For instance, chasing a series favorite as -200 or better (which in the case of the upcoming slate is SF and Cincy)?
Yes, YOU just thought of it.Originally Posted by Primet76
Thanks, On3. I knew that would sound reactionary, but it was just a thought.
As far as another thought, has anyone ever thought to back test chasing series favorites? For instance, chasing a series favorite as -200 or better (which in the case of the upcoming slate is SF and Cincy)?
Let's not forget Detroit. They are currently there as well.toronto just got steamed, looks like it'll be a play. just updated the post. 3 possible plays as well.
Thanks for the update. Freaking AMAZED how TB, TOR, and DET all get boosted up really high like that. Lots of action today. I am playing everything RL at my on accord of course. Just hoping to hit 50% and stay in the green.
Yeah sorry. Honestly never saw JMs post before making mine.
Your thought was a little different then mine as yours was based on series prices. Mine was just based on game1 price. Series price might have a bigger impact on winning I would think. I am not sure how you would test that out though. Is the series price only based on 3 game stands or is it based on 2 game and 4 game stands as well? I am not sure if the books differentiate the three.Yeah sorry. Honestly never saw JMs post before making mine.
5-1 TODAY penetrating AWSOME! GREAT BOUNCE BACK. I had fresh labby lines after making a big live bet on spurs yesterday. Decided to place 1u on every RL today to get +odds on all of them. I would of been ok with an even day at 2-3 or better yet 3-2 but 5-1 is just awsome after that brutal coloardo series. Only brutal caused i played them 9 times! I would of been ok with playing them 3 times. Either way back up around 10 units this week thanks to this system.
Great JOB on3 and thanks wallco and others for extra contributions making sure all the plays like det and tor are accounted for. Banked me an extra 2.8u with those plays, which i would of never seen if people didn't post.
Thanks everyone. Lets get that CINCI bet tomorrow. Freaking PHILLY hahaha. I am confident in this series, way more then I was in COL.
By my count it was 6-0, LAA, SF, TOR, TB, DET, TEX. Cin closed at -133, so no play there. No plays for the weekend. Correct me if I'm wrong.
Wallco99 gave on3 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
7-0 counting the double bet on Toronto. Great job.By my count it was 6-0, LAA, SF, TOR, TB, DET, TEX. Cin closed at -133, so no play there. No plays for the weekend. Correct me if I'm wrong.
You are correct. It's interesting seeing the roller coaster of emotions in the comments from day to day. Gambling is a sick mother*er man. Like crazy sick.By my count it was 6-0, LAA, SF, TOR, TB, DET, TEX. Cin closed at -133, so no play there. No plays for the weekend. Correct me if I'm wrong.
ahh, I didn't pay attention to the closing line. Had a unit on cinci.
It's all good now JM. Cincy came through today, and as an aside, the -200 series filter is 2-0
Only pit and tor tomorrow. I thought Arz at first, but its just a 2 game series. Tor also a filtered play. The line has moved 20c down since it opened already, so might have to wait until game time.
Last edited by J.M. Disciple; 06-09-14 at 09:41 AM.
UPDATED for 6/9/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 77-4-0; Profit: +54.75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 8-1-0; Profit: +1.25 units
5/2 chase: 0-1-0; profit: -16.80 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 54-27; 7-1
Game 2 (B) win = 12-15; 0-2; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-4; 1-1; 0-1
Labby
30-x-x-30
25-25-28-22
30-30-38-45
Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
x-18-35-35-35-33-x
Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) TOR -168 to win 30
(A) PIT -147 to win 30
Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) TOR -168 to win 51
5/2
none
analyzer gave on3 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
UPDATED for 6/10/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 79-4-0; Profit: +57.75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 9-1-0; Profit: +3.75 units
5/2 chase: 0-1-0; profit: -16.80 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 56-27; 8-2
Game 2 (B) win = 12-15; 0-2; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-4; 1-1; 0-1
Labby
x-x-x-x
25-25-28-22
30-30-38-45
shuffle
25-x-25-x
25-25-23-22
25-25-28-20
Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
x-x-35-35-35-x-x
shuffle
25-25-28-27
Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) SEA -142 to win 25** not official as of this post
Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none
5/2
none
analyzer gave on3 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
