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on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

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#271

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(C) TEX +105 to win 79 (since the B line is a little heavy, taking last night's loss and putting the entire amount on the C line 69+10)
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#273

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UPDATED for 5/19/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 55-2-0; Profit: +41 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 7-0-0; Profit: +7 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 38-19; 6-1 ~ 67%, 86%
Game 2 (B) win = 8-11; 0-1; 0-0 ~ 43%, 0%
Game 3 (C) win = 9-2; 1-0; 0-0 ~ 82%, 100%

Labby
15-x-20-10
10-20-36-52
x-x-10-x
reshuffle +3.5 units added to the line
20-20-20-20
20-20-20-20
20-20-20-20

Labby filtered
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) WSH -175 to win 40
(A) KC -190/+110 to win 40 -- play RL
(A) LAA -185 to win 40

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none
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#276

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great night last night...let's not do that again


UPDATED for 5/20/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 55-2-0; Profit: +41 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 7-0-0; Profit: +7 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 38-22; 6-1
Game 2 (B) win = 8-11; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 9-2; 1-0; 0-0

Labby
20-47-45-30
20-67-65-50
20-20-20-20

Labby filtered
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) BOS -142 to win 47*** do not bet until it is officially a play
(A) STL -178 to win 45
(B) WSH -107 to win 70
(B) KC -187 to win 65
(B) LAA -165 to win 67

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) BOS -142 to win 20***do not bet until it is officially a play

5/2
none
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#278

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UPDATED for 5/21/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 58-2-0; Profit: +45.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 7-0-0; Profit: +7 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 39-22; 6-1
Game 2 (B) win = 10-12; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 9-2; 1-0; 0-0

Labby
20-47-x-30
x-x-65-60
20-20-20-82

Labby filtered
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(C) KC -116 to win 102

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none
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#279

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a word to anyone who has (but isn't in the habit of using) or can get a Matchbook.com account...

their MLB prices (AFTER commissions are removed) are outstanding...

best price anywhere right now on Royals is -114

at matchy it's -112.2 = posted -110 adjusted for their microscopic 1% tax on either winnings or losses (meaning, in effect it worsens the price by 2% over what you see, since it's 2-sided...so, multiply the neg-prices by 1.02, and the pos-prices by 0.98...to see how it stacks up vs. the other...usually very well!)

line-shopping is especially important on chases/line-clearing systems...as a good price on A leaves lower additional $overhang that carries over into B...and if it comes to a game C...a few points "saved" on your entries into A and B mean mucho dinero less you need to risk on the dreaded C (if we're talking flat-out chasing...but even if you're using lab-lines...lower prices at any stage mean less $ showing up in your cells as a result of any loss...and a lighter labby is a happier labby)

apart from the requirement for the A game to meet or exceed -145...once you're in a series, you're in, meaning you should be looking to get in as cheaply as possible for any B's and C's you must play...a stable of good books, and a good odds-comparison site (such as the freeby http://www.sportsbookreview.com/bett.../mlb-baseball/) are indispensible in minimizing the painful $-drawdowns that must be endured over a season
Last edited by fitguy67; 05-21-14 at 02:37 PM.
#281

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Quote Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple View Post
I would like to point out we need an actual unit count instead of just banking the wins. Just in case the labby does get heavy and we create a stop loss. I believe this happened once last year.
= +45.5 units - 17.5 units sitting on the line + 3.5 units added this week + 3 units added previously = +34.5 units
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#285

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UPDATED for 5/22/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 59-2-0; Profit: +46.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 7-0-0; Profit: +7 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 39-22; 6-1
Game 2 (B) win = 10-12; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 10-2; 1-0; 0-0

Labby
32-33-x-32
x-x-65-60
x-20-20-x

Labby filtered
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) SD -149 to win 32
(A) CWS -150 to win 33
(A) SEA -154 to win 32

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play

none

5/2
none
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