on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

Originally Posted by fitguy67

so, could we say the criterion for official would be based on
*the ML-price at 5dimes as it appears on sbr-odds
*at exactly 10 minutes before the official start of game (as it is registered as sbr-odds)

______________

i'm not trying to be a trouble maker...quite the contrary...Murphy's Law has a way to make something ambiguous arise late in the season on a monster game-C...what would appear clearly a go for some would appear clearly a no-go to others...then the fur and feathers will fly...all unnecessarily

with an additional bold-faced sentence (such as what i've featued above) stating exactly what book(s)' price(s) at exactly what time time relative to the game's official start...all ambiguity evaporates

study the history of Morisson's service and the multiple controversies that have arisen over his lack of clarity as to what qualifiied/disqualified a play (so that he could later classify it apparently-plausibly in whatever way suited him best...)
he left (and probably continues to leave) a few simple-yet-key things deliberately vague...we don't have to...

if *5dimes as the official reference and
*10minutes prior to official game-start
work for you...it's fine by me...but it should NOT be left vague

huh???

Originally Posted by TenCount

huh???

Yeah, Chinese isn't my strong language either.

He's saying the time and site the line should be pulled from should be the same for every close line.

However, if you'll read back the units and W/L are kept quite accurate and aren't skewed with official/unofficial plays. It'd not a betting system he's selling so there's no advantage to skew its results.

my local now has washing @ -145. 5d is still pretty low -132.... hmmm

UPDATED for 5/16/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 53-2-0; Profit: +39 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 37-18; 5-1
Game 2 (B) win = 8-10; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-2; 1-0; 0-0

Labby
15-x-26-10
10-20-26-42
x-10-10-x

Labby filtered
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) TEX -165 to win 25
(A) COL -155 to win 26

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) COL -155 to win 20

5/2
none

Rockies are interesting. If it creeps up a little more, it has filtered criteria.

wash is at -138 right now 5dimes. Might jump right before game start in the next few minutes, keeping a very close eye on it. One of those games where I am pretty iffy about betting it and feels like its a coinflip.

COL looks like a play on3 as well as filtered as mentioned above. -146 right now on covers.

For those of you who are following On3 might not update. It should be COL filtered to win $20, Regular system to win $26 if Washington doesn't qualify. If washington qualifies then would just be 20/20.

Good LUck everyone. I think i will only be on COL and Tex.

Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple

COL looks like a play on3 as well as filtered as mentioned above. -146 right now on covers.

For those of you who are following On3 might not update. It should be COL filtered to win $20, Regular system to win $26 if Washington doesn't qualify. If washington qualifies then would just be 20/20.

Good LUck everyone. I think i will only be on COL and Tex.

updated

is it only Tex today (b)? This game truely worries me as Tex has one of the worst pitchers in MLB on the mound. Tor's pitcher looks better then Darvish. I will be on it, but definitely not going big or checking the score on this game. Hope they pull the pitcher early in the game and texas can provide a ton of run support (not likely).

Think we might be able to get plus odds if we wait before game time. Seems like a pretty one sided bet.

nyy is a possibility but only -132 right now @ 5d. Keep an eye on it as line is rising.

Good luck everyone

UPDATED for 5/17/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 54-2-0; Profit: +40 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 7-0-0; Profit: +7 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 38-19; 6-1
Game 2 (B) win = 8-10; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 8-2; 1-0; 0-0

Labby
15-x-20-10
10-20-36-52
x-10-10-x

Labby filtered
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) TEX -109 to win 62

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

Quick question for this moron trying to get a handle on this labby concenpt. On3 had Tex -165 to win $25 yesterday. That is $41.25 to win $25. But for today's labby he added in 26....... 6 to the top line of the labby and 20 to the second line. Shouldnt he have added 41.25?(the amount that was lost on the texas game) This question is for anybody who knows. (I know people get tired of answering questions and trust me I tried to figure this out on my own lol)

Originally Posted by TenCount

Quick question for this moron trying to get a handle on this labby concenpt. On3 had Tex -165 to win $25 yesterday. That is $41.25 to win $25. But for today's labby he added in 26....... 6 to the top line of the labby and 20 to the second line. Shouldnt he have added 41.25?(the amount that was lost on the texas game) This question is for anybody who knows. (I know people get tired of answering questions and trust me I tried to figure this out on my own lol)

I am not sure what you are looking at.

starting labby:
Labby
15-x-26-10
10-20-26-42
x-10-10-x

After yesterday
Labby
15-x-20-10
10-20-36-52
x-10-10-x

There were two plays yesterday which COL cleared $26 from line A, Texas lost so he added $20 to line A and $20 to line B over the last two numbers. Notice 26 to 36 and 42 to 52. So He is only like a $1 off at most.

My local has tex -117 now but +1.5. Is this standard?

Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple

I am not sure what you are looking at.

starting labby:
Labby
15-x-26-10
10-20-26-42
x-10-10-x

After yesterday
Labby
15-x-20-10
10-20-36-52
x-10-10-x

There were two plays yesterday which COL cleared $26 from line A, Texas lost so he added $20 to line A and $20 to line B over the last two numbers. Notice 26 to 36 and 42 to 52. So He is only like a $1 off at most.

O ok I see he cleared off the 26. Thanks