on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

UPDATED for 5/14/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 52-2-0; Profit: +37.4 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 37-18; 5-1
Game 2 (B) win = 8-10; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 1-0; 0-0

Labby
x-x-26-25
10-20-26-42
10-10-10-46

Labby filtered
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(C) STL -185 to win 56

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

Just a fun fact provided by http://mlbsweeps.com/

ROAD TEAM SWEEPS HOME TEAM:
3 game series is (927/9278;9.9%) and a 4 game series drops to only (127/2208; 5.7%) for a combined total of 3 and 4 game series (1054 / 11486; 9.1%)

I am not sure if that extra 4.2% chasing 4 games is worth a D bet or not, but something to consider going further or for next season. Overall when combining the series only adds .8%, so hard to argue you should wager extra 10 units (via martingale) on a D bet.

Just a fun fact for the day.

STL becomes a C today since yesterday was PPD?

Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple

Just a fun fact provided by http://mlbsweeps.com/

ROAD TEAM SWEEPS HOME TEAM:
3 game series is (927/9278;9.9%) and a 4 game series drops to only (127/2208; 5.7%) for a combined total of 3 and 4 game series (1054 / 11486; 9.1%)

I am not sure if that extra 4.2% chasing 4 games is worth a D bet or not, but something to consider going further or for next season. Overall when combining the series only adds .8%, so hard to argue you should wager extra 10 units (via martingale) on a D bet.

Just a fun fact for the day.

STL becomes a C today since yesterday was PPD?

yup STL (C) today game 1

These systems for baseball are always super confusing to me, probably because I didn't grow up an avid baseball fan and haven't been betting it long..

Would it be possible on3 to include how much YOU'RE betting per game? Maybe that will help clarify how the system works to me, thanks!

Originally Posted by trustandfall

These systems for baseball are always super confusing to me, probably because I didn't grow up an avid baseball fan and haven't been betting it long..

Would it be possible on3 to include how much YOU'RE betting per game? Maybe that will help clarify how the system works to me, thanks!

He does, he states his line and the amount to win. just do some basicm math and youre there. If he would give the wagered amount anyone betting a different line would not get the same profit/loss..

UPDATED for 5/15/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 52-2-0; Profit: +37.4 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units)
Filtered System: 6-0-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 37-18; 5-1
Game 2 (B) win = 8-10; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 7-2; 1-0; 0-0

Labby
15-x-26-10
10-20-26-42
10-10-10-46

Labby filtered
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(C) STL -188 to win 56
(A) LAA -145 to win 36

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) LAA -145 to win 20

5/2
none

Originally Posted by trustandfall

These systems for baseball are always super confusing to me, probably because I didn't grow up an avid baseball fan and haven't been betting it long..

Would it be possible on3 to include how much YOU'RE betting per game? Maybe that will help clarify how the system works to me, thanks!

Seriously? Can it be easier to follow.. you have everything served. Just copy his labbylines and bet exactly what On3 bet

Originally Posted by trustandfall

These systems for baseball are always super confusing to me, probably because I didn't grow up an avid baseball fan and haven't been betting it long..

Would it be possible on3 to include how much YOU'RE betting per game? Maybe that will help clarify how the system works to me, thanks!

Just google the labby. He does a hybrid of it with a $20 unit size. So when he is betting STL today to win 56 he is betting to win 2.8u on this game. If you have a $10 unit size then bet to win half of whatever he post. If you have bigger unit size, say $100 bet to win 5x the amount he post. Spend the night reading through the thread, most of the rules and stuff have already been explained.

Good Luck. Losing bettors refuse to read remember that.

good hit on STL, both ML and RL

stl

One more game to go. Hope no one got canceled with that pitching change.

That LAA line has been rising all day! Is worth taking a risk and putting it in now or wait til game time?

i usually wait until closer to game time. if the line hits -155, i'd place. im seeing -147 right now.

Originally Posted by on3

i usually wait until closer to game time. if the line hits -155, i'd place. im seeing -147 right now.

Heya on3.. What do you mean you'd place?

Appreciate your work here.

Originally Posted by Trivial

Heya on3.. What do you mean you'd place?

Appreciate your work here.

he'd place the bet!

Originally Posted by mantorras77

he'd place the bet!

Maybe, I'm just not understanding. I thought he did place the bet when he listed it as -145 to win 36 ?