on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

Originally Posted by TenCount

I get tired of reading through the ?'s myself boys, sorry but I gotta clarify sumthin. I get the betting pattern for filtered plays, yins covered that well. But what is the bets for just regular plays? A loses, so you bet B at what you lost on A + 1 unit? And C is same? B losses + 1 unit?

Let's use dollars instead of units in this explanation. Each series is to win a set amount, in this example, $10.

If (A) Team XX -150 (bet 15 to win 10) loses. Then the (B) Team XX -170 bet is (15 loss carryover, so 17 to win 10 essentially becomes 32 to win 10 because you have to recover the carryover). You follow me so far? If (B) loses, then that means (C) Team XX -125 is (15 loss carryover + 32 loss carryover + the current bet (12.50) = 59.50 to win 10).

So if A loses, you bet B + A carryover. If B loses, you bet C + B carryover + A carryover.

Once I start running the labby lines, all the amounts will be spelled out.

UPDATED for 4/9/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 17-1-0; Profit: +6.28 units
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +4 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 14-4; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 0-4; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

Originally Posted by on3

Let's use dollars instead of units in this explanation. Each series is to win a set amount, in this example, $10.

If (A) Team XX -150 (bet 15 to win 10) loses. Then the (B) Team XX -170 bet is (15 loss carryover, so 17 to win 10 essentially becomes 32 to win 10 because you have to recover the carryover). You follow me so far? If (B) loses, then that means (C) Team XX -125 is (15 loss carryover + 32 loss carryover + the current bet (12.50) = 59.50 to win 10).

So if A loses, you bet B + A carryover. If B loses, you bet C + B carryover + A carryover.

Perfect description my man. Appreciate u taking the time even though I'm sure you have been asked these ?'s way too many times over the last few years. I will be tailing all year good and bad with $50 units. BOL

Originally Posted by on3

Let's use dollars instead of units in this explanation. Each series is to win a set amount, in this example, $10.

If (A) Team XX -150 (bet 15 to win 10) loses. Then the (B) Team XX -170 bet is (15 loss carryover, so 17 to win 10 essentially becomes 32 to win 10 because you have to recover the carryover). You follow me so far? If (B) loses, then that means (C) Team XX -125 is (15 loss carryover + 32 loss carryover + the current bet (12.50) = 59.50 to win 10).

So if A loses, you bet B + A carryover. If B loses, you bet C + B carryover + A carryover.

On3: Not that i dont understand your explanation or question it, im just wondering what you mean with this qoute :

"Until then, I am playing (A) bets as a half unit, (B) bets as one unit, (C) bets as 2 units. Filtered wil be doubled."


I interpreted these amounts as the ones to gain in NET profit from each bet. But your explanation states 1 unit net profit for each bet. Am i missing something?

Only if you feel you have time to answer. I really appreciate this thread and your effort. I will be giving you all the points i can through the season.
Regards.

Originally Posted by Linkan

On3: Not that i dont understand your explanation or question it, im just wondering what you mean with this qoute :

"Until then, I am playing (A) bets as a half unit, (B) bets as one unit, (C) bets as 2 units. Filtered wil be doubled."


I interpreted these amounts as the ones to gain in NET profit from each bet. But your explanation states 1 unit net profit for each bet. Am i missing something?

Only if you feel you have time to answer. I really appreciate this thread and your effort. I will be giving you all the points i can through the season.
Regards.

He's talking about just the first few weeks of the season. Then it will bump up to that description just given.

Originally Posted by Linkan

On3: Not that i dont understand your explanation or question it, im just wondering what you mean with this qoute :

"Until then, I am playing (A) bets as a half unit, (B) bets as one unit, (C) bets as 2 units. Filtered wil be doubled."


I interpreted these amounts as the ones to gain in NET profit from each bet. But your explanation states 1 unit net profit for each bet. Am i missing something?

Only if you feel you have time to answer. I really appreciate this thread and your effort. I will be giving you all the points i can through the season.
Regards.

That's just me limiting my action for the first couple weeks. And it was supposed to be interpreted as "each series is to win a .5 unit" as opposed to winning a full unit. The A, B, C progression were just my ballpark estimates of my bet amounts (my RISK amounts), not amounts to win. Hopefully that makes sense.

It wasnt meant to be an official declaration, I was giving my two cents on how I'm playing the first couple weeks.

Any plays today?

UPDATED for 4/10/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 17-1-0; Profit: +6.28 units
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +4 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 14-4; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 0-4; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

UPDATED for 4/11/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 17-1-0; Profit: +6.28 units
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +4 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 14-4; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 0-4; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular -- all plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) SEA -148
(A) BAL -148
(A) TEX -220/-106 play RL
(A) STL -147
(A) SF -168
(A) LAA -160

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) BAL -148

5/2
none

Nerver mind

What happens when you take runline and team only wins by one? Chase ends?

UPDATED for 4/12/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 20-1-0; Profit: +9.28 units
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +4 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 17-6; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 0-4; 0-1; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-1; 1-0; 0-0

Regular -- all plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) BAL -113
(B) TEX -159

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(B) BAL -113

5/2
none

Baltimore closed at o/u 8.5.

STL?