mlb chase 2013

- S3 NYY fade & SD fade series added.

28.06.2013

S1

(A Bet) Col fade: San Francisco 2,36 0,735u

S2

(A Bet) Ari fade: Atlanta 1,699 1,43u

S3

(D Bet) LAA fade: Det 1,704 1,42u | Det 1,704 3,438u | Det 1,725 8,08u | Houston 2,20 11,615u
(A Bet) Tex: Texas 1,962 1,04u
(A Bet) Pit: Pittsburgh 1,595 1,68u
(A Bet) NYY fade: Baltimore 1,917 1,09u
(A Bet) SD fade: Miami 1,82 1,22u

P1

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs -1,5 2,54 0,649u | LA Angels -1,5 2,23 1,341u

P2

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs 1,662 1,51u | LA Angels 1,787 3,189u


potential plays:
- S3 Det fade, if line +100 or more


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

Otherwise a successful day. I didn't betHouston ..just 2 units

Laa should be revoked from the system .. Not because of the superstition
But because they prove ti be too chaotic, they will lose 4 games straight ez. I'll write more about it later but stiff please consider they have proven to have fallen our of the system

Originally Posted by Stifler

28.06.2013

S1

(A Bet) Col fade: San Francisco 2,36 0,735u

S2

(A Bet) Ari fade: Atlanta 1,699 1,43u

S3

(D Bet) LAA fade: Det 1,704 1,42u | Det 1,704 3,438u | Det 1,725 8,08u | Houston 2,20 11,615u
(A Bet) Tex: Texas 1,962 1,04u
(A Bet) Pit: Pittsburgh 1,595 1,68u
(A Bet) NYY fade: Baltimore 1,917 1,09u
(A Bet) SD fade: Miami 1,82 1,22u

P1

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs -1,5 2,54 0,649u | LA Angels -1,5 2,23 1,341u

P2

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs 1,662 1,51u | LA Angels 1,787 3,189u

S3 LAA fade series lost = -24,553 units

records:
S1: W 25 | L 0 (+25,00 units)
S2: W 22 | L 3 (-11,001 units)
S3: W 128 | L 5 (-17,655 units)
P1: W 15 | L 1 (+6,971 units)
P2: W 21 | L 1 (+8,676 units)
P3: W 31 | L 0 (+31,00 units)


pending:
- P2 J.Guthrie, D Bet on next start
- P2 CJ Wilson fade, D Bet on next start
- P3 Z.Greinke fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- P1 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P2 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P3 G.Gonzalez fade, B Bet on next start @home
- S1 Col fade, B Bet on 29.06.2013
- S3 SD fade , B Bet on 29.06.2013

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

Originally Posted by illisdre

Otherwise a successful day. I didn't betHouston ..just 2 units

Laa should be revoked from the system .. Not because of the superstition
But because they prove ti be too chaotic, they will lose 4 games straight ez. I'll write more about it later but stiff please consider they have proven to have fallen our of the system

everyone can consider skipping those LAA series, so do i when it comes up to their next series. I probably will still post the series, maybe with a small note on how this team is the only one doing damage to the system so far.

29.06.2013

S1

(B Bet) Col fade: San Francisco 2,36 0,735u | San Francisco - waiting on line movement

S2

(A Bet) KC fade: Minnesota 1,87 1,15u

S3

(B Bet) SD fade: Miami 1,82 1,22u | Miami - waiting on line movement

P1

(A Bet) U.Jimenez: Cleveland -1,5 2,46 0,685u

P2

(A Bet) U.Jimenez: Cleveland 1,909 1,10u


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

- SF & Miami line added.

29.06.2013

S1

(B Bet) Col fade: San Francisco 2,36 0,735u | San Francisco 1,962 1,804u

S2

(A Bet) KC fade: Minnesota 1,87 1,15u

S3

(B Bet) SD fade: Miami 1,82 1,22u | Miami 2,06 2,094u

P1

(A Bet) U.Jimenez: Cleveland -1,5 2,46 0,685u

P2

(A Bet) U.Jimenez: Cleveland 1,909 1,10u


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

Why would anyone even consider skipping LAA!! There are better series to skip if if people are stressed. LAA was an anomaly!!

BTW - Toronto is a nice play in my chase at +135 - people are so fixated on the Sox winning 4 in a row they forget Toronto has won 10 of the last 15 but lost 2 in a row.



OH - I see - the LAA fade. sorry - didn't play that one! I understand now! My bad.

Originally Posted by Stifler

everyone can consider skipping those LAA series, so do i when it comes up to their next series. I probably will still post the series, maybe with a small note on how this team is the only one doing damage to the system so far.

to keep the losses small, it makes sense to play each bet with minimum -110 without / with runline. most wins, just by favos, end up with space 2 or more runs. have you checked higher odds for all systems?

if im reading that right you going to a c bet on sf today? based of fading rox? man that can be rough when you get a team come in that on a serious cold streak, i hope rox play someone better for yo next gm cause i think there a good shot yo going d there..

Originally Posted by Stifler

29.06.2013

S1

(B Bet) Col fade: San Francisco 2,36 0,735u | San Francisco 1,962 1,804u

S2

(A Bet) KC fade: Minnesota 1,87 1,15u

S3

(B Bet) SD fade: Miami 1,82 1,22u | Miami 2,06 2,094u

P1

(A Bet) U.Jimenez: Cleveland -1,5 2,46 0,685u

P2

(A Bet) U.Jimenez: Cleveland 1,909 1,10u

records:
S1: W 25 | L 0 (+25,00 units)
S2: W 23 | L 3 (-10,001 units)
S3: W 129 | L 5 (-16,655 units)
P1: W 15 | L 1 (+6,971 units)
P2: W 22 | L 1 (+9,676 units)
P3: W 31 | L 0 (+31,00 units)


pending:
- P2 J.Guthrie, D Bet on next start
- P2 CJ Wilson fade, D Bet on next start
- P3 Z.Greinke fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- P1 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P2 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P3 G.Gonzalez fade, B Bet on next start @home
- P1 U.Jimenez, B Bet on next start
- S1 Col fade, C Bet on 30.06.2013


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

30.06.2013

S1

(C Bet) Col fade: SF 2,36 0,735u | SF 1,962 1,804u | San Francisco 1,893 3,963u

P1

(B Bet) M.Buerhle: Toronto 2,20 0,833u | Toronto - waiting on line movement

P2

(D Bet) CJ Wilson fade: NYY 2,30 0,769u | Sea 3,08 0,851u | Det 1,704 3,722u| Houston 2,67 3,798u
(B Bet) M.Buerhle: Toronto 2,20 0,833u| Toronto - waiting on line movement
(A Bet) CJ Wilson: LA Angels 1,549 1,821u


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

- Toronto line added.

30.06.2013

S1

(C Bet) Col fade: SF 2,36 0,735u | SF 1,962 1,804u | San Francisco 1,893 3,963u

P1

(B Bet) M.Buerhle: Toronto 2,20 0,833u | Toronto 2,27 1,443u

P2

(D Bet) CJ Wilson fade: NYY 2,30 0,769u | Sea 3,08 0,851u | Det 1,704 3,722u| Houston 2,67 3,798u
(B Bet) M.Buerhle: Toronto 2,20 0,833u| Toronto 2,27 1,443u
(A Bet) CJ Wilson: LA Angels 1,549 1,821u


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

Originally Posted by TidesRoln

You are missing this: Historical record: S-1 +207 units, S-2 +177 units. P-1 +161 units, P-2 +242 units, P-3 +200 units. Total of +987 units.

Yes I see that.
Looking at just the S series, the sum of S1 and S2 is +385 units and S3 on its own is +969.
Is it too simple to say due to S3 being much more efficient than the other 2, with your starting BR of ,say, 100 units, instead of betting to make 1 unit on each of S1,S2,S3 bet the equivalent of 3 units on S3 for a historical profit 969*3=2907 ?
I'm not being 'smart', I just think it would be better, but is there a catch I'm not seeing?. tx
barryt

Hi. I have a question: Did we skip fade LAA in the S1...why aren't they a play there? They lost 4 in a row on the road, streak over, skip 2....looks like it should be a "D" bet today. I looked back and saw something about skipping LAA but wasn't clear because also saw you may put it up with asterisk. Please advise. Sorry if this issue was already addressed (I look back but didn't see anything about it)

Why is anyone following this road to ruin?