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mlb chase 2013

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#1291

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Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
26.06.2013

S1

(A Bet) Col fade: Boston 1,578 1,32u

S2

(A Bet) Phil fade: San Diego 2,08 0,926u

S3

(B Bet) LAA fade: Detroit 1,704 1,42u | Detroit 1,704 3,438u
records:
S1: W 25 | L 0 (+25,00 units)
S2: W 20 | L 3 (-13,001 units)
S3: W 125 | L 4 (+3,898 units)
P1: W 14 | L 1 (+5,971 units)
P2: W 20 | L 1 (+7,676 units)
P3: W 29 | L 0 (+29,00 units)


pending:

- P2 J.Guthrie, C Bet on next start
- P2 CJ Wilson fade, D Bet on next start
- P3 Z.Greinke fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- P1 B.Norris fade, B Bet on next start
- P2 B.Norris fade, B Bet on next start
- P1 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P2 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P3 G.Gonzalez fade, B Bet on next start @home
- S3 LAA fade, C Bet on 27.06.2013
- S2 Phil fade, B Bet on 27.06.2013


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
#1292

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27.06.2013

S2

(B Bet) Phil fade: San Diego 2,08 0,926u | LA Dodgers 1,595 3,237u

S3

(C Bet) LAA fade: Detroit 1,704 1,42u | Detroit 1,704 3,438u | Detroit 1,725 8,08u

P2

(C Bet) J.Guthrie: KC 2,52 0,658u | KC 1,758 2,187u | Kansas City 2,16 3,315u

P3

(A Bet) D.Fister fade: LA Angels 2,27 0,787u
(A Bet) P.Hughes fade: Texas 1,725 1,38u


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
Give Points

Points Awarded:

Lakey gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

GeorgeLynch gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

#1296

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Quote Originally Posted by skyscrapers View Post
Ya but 6 of those 8 are played at Angel Stadium. DET haven't been swept in a 3 or 4 game series at Comerica Park this season at all and only happened once last season.
Just stirring the statistics pot. Those games are over so its irrelevant. DET -1 was my spot play, not chasing.
#1299

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Quote Originally Posted by whtsox13 View Post
Just stirring the statistics pot. Those games are over so its irrelevant. DET -1 was my spot play, not chasing.

Those games are very Relevant. Just about Each game we've played on the the Angels where they are a heavy favorite they lose. And when playing against them with a heavy favourite we also lose.

It means a few things. 1- value is not to be found on the heavy favorite here. Infact, think about how much money would have been won if it were vice versa. One thing is for sure, I'll pick the side that has +150 on a game between these two because the lines aren't accurate and are being fueled by ...who knows what.

2- Strip LAA from the chase model. Personal move here.


I had DET -1 . I figure if they win, they'll win by two runs. I was wrong, but didn't wanna lay the heavy juice on a fake favourite.
#1300

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Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
27.06.2013

S2

(B Bet) Phil fade: San Diego 2,08 0,926u | LA Dodgers 1,595 3,237u

S3

(C Bet) LAA fade: Detroit 1,704 1,42u | Detroit 1,704 3,438u | Detroit 1,725 8,08u

P2

(C Bet) J.Guthrie: KC 2,52 0,658u | KC 1,758 2,187u | Kansas City 2,16 3,315u

P3

(A Bet) D.Fister fade: LA Angels 2,27 0,787u
(A Bet) P.Hughes fade: Texas 1,725 1,38u

records:
S1: W 25 | L 0 (+25,00 units)
S2: W 21 | L 3 (-12,001 units)
S3: W 125 | L 4 (+3,898 units)
P1: W 14 | L 1 (+5,971 units)
P2: W 20 | L 1 (+7,676 units)
P3: W 31 | L 0 (+31,00 units)


pending:

- P2 J.Guthrie, D Bet on next start
- P2 CJ Wilson fade, D Bet on next start
- P3 Z.Greinke fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- P1 B.Norris fade, B Bet on next start
- P2 B.Norris fade, B Bet on next start
- P1 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P2 M.Buehrle, B Bet on next start
- P3 G.Gonzalez fade, B Bet on next start @home
- S3 LAA fade, D Bet on 28.06.2013

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
#1301

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28.06.2013

S1

(A Bet) Col fade: San Francisco 2,36 0,735u

S2

(A Bet) Ari fade: Atlanta 1,699 1,43u

S3

(D Bet) LAA fade: Det 1,704 1,42u | Det 1,704 3,438u | Det 1,725 8,08u | Houston - waiting on lm
(A Bet) Tex: Texas 1,962 1,04u
(A Bet) Pit: Pittsburgh 1,595 1,68u

P1

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs -1,5 2,54 0,649u | LA Angels -1,5 2,23 1,341u

P2

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs 1,662 1,51u | LA Angels 1,787 3,189u


potential plays:
- S3 NYY fade, if line +100 or more
- S3 SD fade, if line +100 or more
- S3 Det fade, if line +100 or more

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
Give Points

Points Awarded:

BOA12 gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

shysta gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

#1302

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- Houston line added.

28.06.2013

S1

(A Bet) Col fade: San Francisco 2,36 0,735u

S2

(A Bet) Ari fade: Atlanta 1,699 1,43u

S3

(D Bet) LAA fade: Det 1,704 1,42u | Det 1,704 3,438u | Det 1,725 8,08u | Houston 2,20 11,615u
(A Bet) Tex: Texas 1,962 1,04u
(A Bet) Pit: Pittsburgh 1,595 1,68u

P1

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs -1,5 2,54 0,649u | LA Angels -1,5 2,23 1,341u

P2

(B Bet) B.Norris fade: Cubs 1,662 1,51u | LA Angels 1,787 3,189u


potential plays:
- S3 NYY fade, if line +100 or more
- S3 SD fade, if line +100 or more
- S3 Det fade, if line +100 or more


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
#1303

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HI STIFFLER


I'm a newbie around here and I usually gamble on Hockey and Football and hardly ever on baseball.
To fill in some summer hours and have some fun, I am looking to 'tail someone [some people ]on Baseball. Your selectins look pretty good , regular and consistent. So I'm going to tail you.


However looking at your historical records, wouldn't one be best off just playing the S3 system and using an appropriate unit value, rather than spreading one's time and money over 6 systems? Or am I missing soething?
[ And I like system s3 as its easier to implement].
Tx for doing this
barryt
#1304

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Quote Originally Posted by barryt View Post
HI STIFFLER

However looking at your historical records, wouldn't one be best off just playing the S3 system and using an appropriate unit value, rather than spreading one's time and money over 6 systems? Or am I missing something?
[ And I like system s3 as its easier to implement].
Tx for doing this
barryt
You are missing this: Historical record: S-1 +207 units, S-2 +177 units. P-1 +161 units, P-2 +242 units, P-3 +200 units. Total of +987 units.