13.06.2013
S1
(B Bet) Stl: St.louis 1,599 1,67u | St.Louis 1,725 3,683u
P3
H.Kuroda fade: Oakland 1,87 1,15u
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all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
Lakey gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Brunborg gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
records:Originally Posted by Stifler
13.06.2013
S1
(B Bet) Stl: St.louis 1,599 1,67u | St.Louis 1,725 3,683u
P3
H.Kuroda fade: Oakland 1,87 1,15u
S1: W 21 | L 0 (+21,00 units)
S2: W 16 | L 2 (-10,639 units)
S3: W 105 | L 4 (-16,102 units)
P1: W 13 | L 1 (+4,971 units)
P2: W 16 | L 1 (+3,676 units)
P3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
pending:
- P2 J.Guthrie fade, D Bet on next start
- P3 G.Gonzalez, B Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Bumgarner fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- S2 Phil fade, D Bet on 17.06.2013
- S1 Col fade, B Bet on 17.06.2013
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 24.06.2013
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14.06.2013
S2
(A Bet) Phil fade: Colorado 1,752 1,33u
S3
(A Bet) Cubs fade: NY Mets 1,787 1,27u
(A Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,69 1,45u
(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,709 1,41u
P2
(A Bet) CJ Wilson fade: NY Yankees 2,30 0,769u
(A Bet) G.Gonzalez fade: Cleveland 1,741 1,35u
P3
(B Bet) M.Bumgarner fade: Arizona 1,917 1,09u | Atlanta 1,735 2,844u
(B Bet) G.Gonzalez: Washington 2,26 0,794u | Washington 2,25 1,435u
(A Bet) J.Saunders fade: Oakland 1,503 1,988u
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Why are you playing the LAA under S3, but your playing the NYY under P2.. They are playing each other.. Why would you cough up juice?
records:14.06.2013
S2
(A Bet) Phil fade: Colorado 1,752 1,33u
S3
(A Bet) Cubs fade: NY Mets 1,787 1,27u
(A Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,69 1,45u
(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,709 1,41u
P2
(A Bet) CJ Wilson fade: NY Yankees 2,30 0,769u
(A Bet) G.Gonzalez fade: Cleveland 1,741 1,35u
P3
(B Bet) M.Bumgarner fade: Arizona 1,917 1,09u | Atlanta 1,735 2,844u
(B Bet) G.Gonzalez: Washington 2,26 0,794u | Washington 2,25 1,435u
(A Bet) J.Saunders fade: Oakland 1,503 1,988u
S1: W 21 | L 0 (+21,00 units)
S2: W 16 | L 2 (-10,639 units)
S3: W 107 | L 4 (-14,102 units)
P1: W 13 | L 1 (+4,971 units)
P2: W 17 | L 1 (+4,676 units)
P3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
pending:
- P2 J.Guthrie fade, D Bet on next start
- P3 G.Gonzalez, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Bumgarner fade, C Bet on next start on the road
- P2 CJ Wilson fade, B Bet on next start
- P3 J.Saunders fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- S2 Phil fade, D Bet on 17.06.2013
- S1 Col fade, B Bet on 17.06.2013
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 24.06.2013
- S2 Phil fade, B Bet on 15.06.2013
- S3 Cubs fade, B Bet on 15.06.2013
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Just skip if u want to. NYY were dogs, so im not fully playing the B Bet on CJ Wilson fade to win 2 units like u would be doing now. Im going to play the B Bet to win 1,769 units, while u should play the next B Bet to win 2 units. If NYY would have won ur version would be the better one. In the end juice just gets important for the losing series, u dont pay juice on winning series.Why are you playing the LAA under S3, but your playing the NYY under P2.. They are playing each other.. Why would you cough up juice?
15.06.2013
S2
(B Bet) Phil fade: Colorado 1,752 1,33u | Colorado 1,704 3,31u
S3
(B Bet) Cubs fade: NY Mets 1,787 1,27u | NY Mets 1,826 2,748u
P2
(D Bet) J.Guthrie fade: Stl 1,61 1,64u | Min 2,35 1,956u | Det 1,725 6,339u| Tampa 1,606 18,045u
(A Bet) J.Guthrie:Kansas City 2,52 0,658u
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Hi Stiff,
Long time follower and fan. System did great last year and ... obviously not as strong this year. hopefully it turns around.
That said, I've always been a bit of a critic of risking 20 units to win 1 unit. I've always though, heck if you are throwing 20 units at a game to make 1 unit profit, why not throw 21 units at the game and make 2 units profit. 2 units profit is 100% more profit.
And should you lose, well you lost 21 units instead of 20.
I mean the thought is that the odds are less likely of a C or D loss, so why don't we cater to that. Obviously, to increase the bet sizes extremely will not be beneficial. but i think a certain balance might be efficient at Increasing profit.
Let me explain:
z cashflow.jpg
z chart.jpg
OK I wanted to post it as pictures in my post. I see thats not working, but Stiffler I hope you look at it and tell me your feedback.
(THIS IS actually based off of a recent D bet with SF)
Here you see the Standard bet (what we have been doing) wins you ONE unit for any win.
The Incremental Bet, adjust this ... so that you risk MARGINALLY more, and profit much more. This can be adjusted by a factor.
Last edited by illisdre; 06-16-13 at 12:14 AM.
records:15.06.2013
S2
(B Bet) Phil fade: Colorado 1,752 1,33u | Colorado 1,704 3,31u
S3
(B Bet) Cubs fade: NY Mets 1,787 1,27u | NY Mets 1,826 2,748u
P2
(D Bet) J.Guthrie fade: Stl 1,61 1,64u | Min 2,35 1,956u | Det 1,725 6,339u| Tampa 1,606 18,045u
(A Bet) J.Guthrie:Kansas City 2,52 0,658u
S1: W 21 | L 0 (+21,00 units)
S2: W 17 | L 2 (-9,639 units)
S3: W 107 | L 4 (-14,102 units)
P1: W 13 | L 1 (+4,971 units)
P2: W 18 | L 1 (+5,676 units)
P3: W 22 | L 0 (+22,00 units)
pending:
- P2 J.Guthrie, B Bet on next start
- P3 G.Gonzalez, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Bumgarner fade, C Bet on next start on the road
- P2 CJ Wilson fade, B Bet on next start
- P3 J.Saunders fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- S2 Phil fade, D Bet on 17.06.2013
- S1 Col fade, B Bet on 17.06.2013
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 24.06.2013
- S3 Cubs fade, C Bet on 16.06.2013
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16.06.2013
S3
(C Bet) Cubs fade: NY Mets 1,787 1,27u | NY Mets 1,826 2,748u | NY Mets 1,943 5,338u
P3
(A Bet) J.Lester fade: Baltimore 1,943 1,06u
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Last edited by Stifler; 06-16-13 at 11:23 AM.
So basically we are talking about labbying. Probably something to make more money out of a chase system. Still im not going to play it, not yet. I do like the idea of playing the D bet for 2 units or even 3 units, cause it really doesnt matter playing the D bet for 1-3 units more. I think im going to think about it when the next D bet comes up.Hi Stiff,
Long time follower and fan. System did great last year and ... obviously not as strong this year. hopefully it turns around.
That said, I've always been a bit of a critic of risking 20 units to win 1 unit. I've always though, heck if you are throwing 20 units at a game to make 1 unit profit, why not throw 21 units at the game and make 2 units profit. 2 units profit is 100% more profit.
And should you lose, well you lost 21 units instead of 20.
I mean the thought is that the odds are less likely of a C or D loss, so why don't we cater to that. Obviously, to increase the bet sizes extremely will not be beneficial. but i think a certain balance might be efficient at Increasing profit.
Let me explain:
z cashflow.jpg
z chart.jpg
How do u increase ur winning units from A-D bets? If im seeing this right its A=1 / B=1,5 / C=2 / D=3 units.
How do u come up with those numbers?
Last edited by Stifler; 06-16-13 at 09:36 AM.
Gotta laugh at 5Dimes - they really change their philosophy on weekends. Their lines suck Friday to Sunday if you are playing favorites but are decent during the week.
Hey Stifler, I think you missed adding your "1 unit to win" on the Cubs fade.
thx, edited.Hey Stifler, I think you missed adding your "1 unit to win" on the Cubs fade.
