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mlb chase 2013

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#856

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Quote Originally Posted by Swarles View Post
Well I'm hoping for some bullshit Ws because I'm already on the jays. Haha
I already won the Buehrle chases back in game 2 so I'm in the clear on that. I was at work for those bets and bet both Toronto game 2 against the Yankees, forgetting it was a pitcher chase. Luckily for me, Toronto won. But I still don't see why they were plays anyway.
#857

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Quote Originally Posted by Swarles View Post
But when was he ever winning? Haha
covers.com

covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/players/logs/pitcher/2013/log41057.html

...same list was backtested the years before
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Swarles gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

tar_baby gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

#859

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Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
covers.com

covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/players/logs/pitcher/2013/log41057.html

...same list was backtested the years before
Well then you have to change your rules to state that if a team wins/loses three games in a row that the pitcher STARTS, then it is a play, apparently the pitcher doesn't have to be the pitcher of record as you state in the system rules in the opening posts. Buerhle is 1-2 on the season. He would have to be at least 3-3 for these two plays to be official as specified by system rules. Can you please clarify this, because this is a major discrepancy. Covers.com lists the starting pitchers, not the pitchers of record. I am not arguing whichever way you wish to do it, I just want to know which way it is because now it is very confusing.
#860

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Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
Well then you have to change your rules to state that if a team wins/loses three games in a row that the pitcher STARTS, then it is a play, apparently the pitcher doesn't have to be the pitcher of record as you state in the system rules in the opening posts. Buerhle is 1-2 on the season. He would have to be at least 3-3 for these two plays to be official as specified by system rules. Can you please clarify this, because this is a major discrepancy. Covers.com lists the starting pitchers, not the pitchers of record. I am not arguing whichever way you wish to do it, I just want to know which way it is because now it is very confusing.
Maybe I'm wrong but my understanding is if the pitcher starts even though he may not be credited with the W or L that is how Stifler is basing the pitcher chase, I agree it does say that when he has a streak of 3 in a row but after the 1st chase started that's how I interpeted it......His first 3 starts he has 1 win and 2 ND that they won hence starting the chase....his last 3 starts they have lost starting the fade
Last edited by chound; 05-06-13 at 03:25 PM.
#861

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In general it's the same as the sportsbooks do...If you play a certain pitcher to start and he does and say he comes out in the 8th inning with them winning but they eventually lose you still lose the bet....it doesn't end when the closer comes in....he's basing his pitcher chase on the starting pitcher listed....not the credited winning or losing pitcher
#863

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- S2 Phil line added.

06.05.2013

S2

(B Bet) Phil: Phillies 1,769 1,30u | Phillies 2,28 1,80u

S3

(A Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,833 1,20u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,50 2,00u
(A Bet) Tor fade: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u
(A Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u

P1

(D Bet) M.Buehrle: Tor 2,00 1,00u | Tor 2,30 1,538u| Tor 2,24 2,853u | Toronto 2,38 4,631u
(A Bet) M.Buehrle fade: Tampa Bay -1,5 2,40 0,714u

P2

(D Bet) M.Buehrle: Tor2,00 1,00u | Tor 2,30 1,538u | Tor 2,24 2,853u | Toronto 2,38 4,631u
(A Bet) M.Buehrle fade: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
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jakejd82 gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

#864

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WELL being out of touch all day, I'm catching up. HOWEVER on one hand I agree with Wallco and I could have given bad advice. I've been working it out with no good way. Ill read Wallcos advice further.

i did a truth table and my brain got clogged up. Sorry. I theory it seem so simple until I worked it out and then I just got confused.

so Wallco. Just play as posted?
Last edited by Grinder12000; 05-06-13 at 05:46 PM.
#869

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Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
06.05.2013

S2

(B Bet) Phil: Phillies 1,769 1,30u | Phillies 2,28 1,80u

S3

(A Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,833 1,20u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,50 2,00u
(A Bet) Tor fade: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u
(A Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u

P1

(D Bet) M.Buehrle: Tor 2,00 1,00u | Tor 2,30 1,538u| Tor 2,24 2,853u | Toronto 2,38 4,631u
(A Bet) M.Buehrle fade: Tampa Bay -1,5 2,40 0,714u

P2

(D Bet) M.Buehrle: Tor2,00 1,00u | Tor 2,30 1,538u | Tor 2,24 2,853u | Toronto 2,38 4,631u
(A Bet) M.Buehrle fade: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u
records:
S1: W 9 | L 0 (+9,00 units)
S2: W 7 | L 0 (+7,00 units)
S3: W 53 | L 1 (+16,497 units)
P1: W 6 | L 0 (+6,00 units)
P2: W 6 | L 0 (+6,00 units)
P3: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)


pending:

- S1 NYY, B Bet on 07.05.2013
- S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 10.05.2013
- P3 M.Cain fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- P3 J.Lester, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 C.Sabathia, B Bet on next start @home
- P1 M.Buehrle fade, B Bet on next start
- P2 M.Buehrle fade, B Bet on next start
- S3 Cin, B Bet on 07.05.2013
- S3 TB, B Bet on 07.05.2013
- S3 Tor fade, B Bet on 07.05.2013

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
#870

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07.05.2013

S1

(B Bet) NYY: NY Yankees 2,10 0,909u | Yankees 2,04 1,836u

S3

(B Bet) Cin: Cincinnati 1,833 1,20u | Cincinnati 1,8332,641u
(B Bet) Tor fade: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u | Tampa Bay 1,781 3,201u
(B Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,667 1,50u | Tampa Bay 1,781 3,201u

P1

(A Bet) K.Kendrick: Phillies 2,19 0,84u


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3
Give Points

Points Awarded:

Lakey gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Grinder12000 gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

GeorgeLynch gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.