Hey stifler bol this season!
one question, the records on your pics are differents of your last thread records, why is that?
i think last season winnins were 130 units aprox, and you have200+in the pic
Hey stifler bol this season!
one question, the records on your pics are differents of your last thread records, why is that?
i think last season winnins were 130 units aprox, and you have200+in the pic
If I'm reading the records from the other thread correctly, the least you made in a season is 117 units, yes?
Records:
2006: 309-5 (+ 196,53 units)
2007: 337-9 (+ 127,63 units)
2008: 327-8 (+ 117,16 units)
2009: 348-2 (+ 315,54 units)
2010: 335-5 (+ 184,09 units)
2011: 334-6 (+ 222,65 units)
2012: W 295 | L 9 (+129,084 units
Last edited by w@lt; 03-25-13 at 04:55 PM.
I'm in! best sport for gambling because the juice is FREAKISHLY low. Plus the higher the line the less juice you pay!
And the wonderful thing is that we play dogs so probably not many 40 unit games!
BASICALLY - just like the NBA system (for those that were in The Chase - NBA)• S3 - shows the system (divided in S1, S2, S3, P1, P2, P3)
• B Bet - current bet stage (in this case stage 2)
• Cin - The team to be played (fade means to play against this team)
• Cincinnati 1,725 1,38u - the red marked game shows the previous stages of the series (in this case the lost A bet)
• Cincinnati 1,625 3,808u - the bold marked game always shows the team which is going to be played on the day
• 1,625 - i will always post european lines (for american odds use an odds calculator if needed)
• 3,808u - is the same like 3.808 units, i just use a decimal point instead
Last edited by Grinder12000; 03-25-13 at 07:07 PM.
Teams changed + 1 more year. So the records were adapted to that.
same as above, those records were for the teams i played last year. A few teams changed (not much), but that had an impact on the new records.If I'm reading the records from the other thread correctly, the least you made in a season is 117 units, yes?
this varies based on the odds ur playing within a series. 4x -200 odds will be very juicy. Lost series backtested cost from 6 to 50 units. always depends on the lines.I'm in! best sport for gambling because the juice is FREAKISHLY low. Plus the higher the line the less juice you pay!
And the wonderful thing is that we play dogs so probably not many 40 unit games!
So Stifler. 6 systems. Got some time on your hands? May I suggest a number system like Wallco? Going to be tough looking back searching for what games go with what chases.
Just sayin.
Whew That is a ton of work you put in Stifler thanks a bundle. Looking forward to a successful season!
this is wat i been waiting for!
Stifler, for the pitchers streaks does the streak need to be broken to start the chase or does it start straight away.
ie. Price goes WWW do I play the win game 4 or do I wait for a loss to start a chase?
Also, for a streak I assume it is referred to the teams result when the pitcher starts rather than whether the pitcher is awarded a win/loss/no result?
Think twice last year, one series with Detroit and one with Yankees, they were playing "bad" teams, juice on a couple of the games in the series, (that went to 'd' and 'c' respectively) were -280 and -300. Verlander and Sabathia were starters, you get risking A LOT for that 1 unit win. They worked out, system last year was very hot to start, which helped eat some losses later on in season. Look forward to profitable season this year again!
checking in
What I meant was juice that we need to pay the books. In the NBA or the NFL paying -110 for a game you are paying 4.76% over the implied odds. But in baseball it's much easier to make money because you're paying much less.juice on a couple of the games in the series
The average line in baseball is -142 / +132 so the amount you are paying to play is only 1.78% over the implied odds.
-142 you need to win 58.7%
+132 you need to win 43.1%
58.7+43.1=101.8 - 100 = juice of 1.8%
In fact the higher the line the less you have to pay the bookie to play
-300 = 75%
+280 = 26.3% (they raised it to a 20 cent line) your juice is now only 1.3% even with a 20 cent line.
bad way to think about it - I never ever do because you already have your money lost - you can't lose it twice. Once you win or lose it's over. Yea you bet more but it's one game you are playing not the last two also.you get risking A LOT for that 1 unit win
If you think of it like that you will go nuts and it's counter productive. Play one game at a time with different size bets. If you think of all three then you are only worrying about NOT losing which is wrong for sports betting.
Seriously - the only people I know that worry about completing a chase are the ones that are worried about losing. if you are sports wagering you only think about winning.
Last edited by Grinder12000; 03-26-13 at 05:32 PM.
[quote=Grinder12000;18218112]
What I meant was juice that we need to pay the books. In the NBA or the NFL paying -110 for a game you are paying 4.76% over the implied odds. But in baseball it's much easier to make money because you're paying much less.
The average line in baseball is -142 / +132 so the amount you are paying to play is only 1.78% over the implied odds.
-142 you need to win 58.7%
+132 you need to win 43.1%
58.7+43.1=101.8 - 100 = juice of 1.8%
In fact the higher the line the less you have to pay the bookie to play
-300 = 75%
+280 = 26.3% (they raised it to a 20 cent line) your juice is now only 1.3% even with a 20 cent line.
Joe Peta would be proud Grinder.