Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich Prediction, Pick & UCL Odds: Vinícius Júnior Exposes Dire
With Bayern Munich and Real Madrid a victory away from landing a spot in the Champions League final, the stakes couldn't be higher for the second leg of their semifinal, as we offer our prop pick and match prediction based on the best Champions League odds.
Real Madrid celebrated their third La Liga title in five seasons this past Saturday, marking a significant accomplishment that starkly contrasts Bayern Munich's failure to secure the Bundesliga for the first time in 12 years.
Despite their divergent paths in their domestic leagues, these European football powerhouses are now set to clash in Madrid on Wednesday. Following a thrilling 2-2 draw in Munich last week, a spot in the Champions League finals hangs in the balance.
According to the Champions League odds across our best sports betting sites, Real Madrid are the clear favorites. Their most recent triumph in the prestigious club tournament came in 2022, while Bayern Munich last claimed victory in 2020.
Here are our best Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich predictions and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich game info
- Date: Wednesday, May 8
- TV: Fubo, Paramount+
- Location: Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
- Weather: 75 Fahrenheit, sunny
- Favorite: Real Madrid (-105 via DraftKings)
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | -105 | -0.5 (-115) | Over 2.5 (-170) |
| Bayern Munich | +285 | +0.5 (-115) | Under 2.5 (+135) |
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Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich prediction
Real Madrid ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Carlo Ancelotti is two victories away from securing his third Champions League crown with Real Madrid and fifth overall. The most decorated manager in the competition's history will look forward to playing at home with a place in the final at stake. Vinícius Júnior's 83rd-minute equalizer in Munich put Madrid in pole position to advance. Los Blancos hasn't tasted defeat at the Bernabeu in 22 La Liga and Champions League matches this season.
While anything can happen in a one-off match featuring elite teams, Bayern Munich's inconsistencies cannot be overlooked. They won three of five away matches in the Champions League but lost at Lazio in the group stage. Overcoming a team that hasn't lost in 20 matches in one of Europe's most oppressive and formidable venues will probably be too tall of a hurdle for Bayern to overcome. At -105, DraftKings offers the best value. A winning $10 bet pays a profit of $9.52 and implies a 51.22% probability.
Best odds: -105 via DraftKings
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Harry Kane anytime goal ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Harry Kane moved from Tottenham to Munich with one overarching goal: winning silverware. The Champions League represents his last chance this season to finally get his hands on a trophy, which has thus far eluded him throughout his career. Sufficed to say, he'll be motivated to make an unforgettable impact. He has eight goals in 11 matches, tied atop the goalscorers' chart with Kylian Mbappe.
Kane scored from the penalty spot in the opening leg and should be at his poaching best against a Madrid defense that is vulnerable. While a competent center-back, Antonio Rüdiger has picked the ball out of Madrid's net at least once in his previous six Champions League contests, and Kane knows his weaknesses better than most from their time together in the Premier League. bet365 offers the best value for this prop. At +160, you'll receive a profit of $16 on a $10 winning bet. The odds imply a 38.46% probability.
Best odds: +160 via bet365
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Vinícius Júnior anytime goal ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Vinícius Júnior scored two goals in the opening leg in Munich, one from the spot with seven minutes to play. He has the acceleration of a Red Bull F1 car, which is more than I can say for Eric Dier, whose acceleration and top speed more closely resemble a 1991 Ford Escort. Vinícius Júnior will look to exploit Dier's lack of pace and should reap the rewards of doing so.
He has five goals in eight Champions League starts. At +155, FanDuel offers the best value. A $10 winning bet pays a profit of $15.50 and comes with an implied probability of 39.22%.
Best odds: +155 via FanDuel
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Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich prediction made Monday at 4:30 p.m. ET.
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