Olympic Hockey Odds & Favorites: Favorites Canada Ahead of USA, Sweden, Finland for Italy Games

Canada are the Olympic hockey odds favorites to win the gold medal, while bitter rivals USA are just behind.
Olympic Hockey Odds & Predictions: Favorites Canada Ahead of USA, Sweden, Finland
Pictured: Team Canada goaltender Jordan Binnington and defenseman Cale Makar defend against Team USA forward Jake Guentzel. Photo by Winslow Townson via Imagn Images

If you loved the 4 Nations Face-Off (and how could you not), you will go gaga for February's 2026 Winter Olympics tournament in Milano Cortina, Italy.

The world's best from the top hockey nations will battle for international supremacy on the world's biggest stage, and Canada is the Olympic hockey odds favorite.  

Team USA is hot on their heels, while Sweden and Finland are among the favorites ahead of the Winter Olympic Games beginning on Feb. 6. Here are the Olympic hockey odds, along with an AI prediction. 

๐Ÿ’ 2026 Olympic hockey odds

Team Odds (FanDuel) Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Canada +150 40% $15
USA +200 33.33% $20
Sweden  +550 15.38% $55
Finland  +750 11.76% $75
Czechia  +1400 6.25% $140
Switzerland  +5000 1.96% $500
Slovakia  +5000 1.96% $500
Germany  +5000 1.96% $500
Latvia  +14000 0.71% $1,400
Denmark +14000 0.71% $1,400
France  +25000 0.40% $2,500
Italy +25000 0.40% $2,500

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๐Ÿค– 2026 Olympic hockey AI prediction 

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Medal: Canada ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 

Why?

  • Elite core: Connor McDavid, Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, and Sidney Crosby represent a generational mix of speed, vision, leadership, and experience.
  • Depth & versatility: Canada has an unmatched pool of NHL talent. Even their fourth line could contain All-Stars like Brayden Point or Mark Stone.
  • Chemistry & redemption: After losing the 2022 Olympics without NHL participation, Canada is on a revenge tour, as seen in the 4 Nations Face-Off win over the USA. The synergy among McDavid, Marner, and MacKinnon was elite.

๐Ÿ“… 2026 Winter Olympics hockey schedule

Here is the full hockey tournament schedule for the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milan, which will run from Feb. 11 to Feb. 22. 

Round  Dates Times 
Preliminary  Feb. 11 - Feb. 15  6:10am ET/10:40am ET/3:10pm ET/3:10pm ET
Men's qualification playoffs Feb. 17 6:10am ET/6:10am ET/10:40am ET/3:10pm ET
Men's quarterfinals  Feb. 18  6:10am ET/8:10am ET/10:40am ET/3:10pm ET
Menโ€™s semifinals Fri. Feb. 20 10:40am ET/3:10pm ET
Menโ€™s bronze Sat. Feb. 21 2:40 p.m. ET
Men's gold medal game  Sun. Feb. 22. 7:10 a.m. ET

๐Ÿ“ How does the 2026 Winter Olympics hockey tournament work?

The format remains unchanged, mirroring proceedings from the previous three Olympics. 

  • Three groups of four teams start the tournament by playing each team in their group once
  • That round-robin portion will determine the seedings
  • The group winners and the highest ranked nation of the remaining teams receives a bye into the quarterfinals
  • The round-robin portion is followed by four rounds of elimination games, with the bottom eight teams participating
  • The four winners of the elimination games advance to the quarterfinals to play the four teams that previously received a bye
  • The four quarterfinals winners advance into the semifinals
  • The semifinals winner advance to the gold medal game, while the two losers meet in the bronze medal game
  • The winner of the final receives the gold medal

๐Ÿ“ What are the 2026 Winter Olympics hockey groups? 

Group A Group B  Group C
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada  ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland  ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA 
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden  ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany  ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czechia ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovakia
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia 

๐Ÿ“ How does overtime at the 2026 Winter Olympics work? 

(These rules apply to the men's and women's tournament)

Group stage (round robin):

  • If a game is tied at the end of regulation in the group stage, the teams will play a five-minute, 3-on-3 overtime period. It's sudden death, so the first team to score wins
  • If no team scores at the end of the five minutes, a shootout will decide the winner
  • Five players on each team will be selected to shoot
  • If it's still tied at the end of those five rounds, any player can shoot as many times as they want in sudden death
  • Sudden death in the shootout consists of one shot for each team. If the first team scores, the second team must score on their attempt. If they don't, the first team wins
  • If the first team doesn't score and the second team does, the second team wins

Knockout stage (playoff games, quarterfinals, semifinals):

  • If a game is tied at the end of regulation, the teams will play a 10-minute, 3-on-3 overtime period. It's sudden death, so the first team to score wins
  • If the game is still tied after overtime, the teams will move to a shootout with the same rules as the group stage

Bronze and gold medal game

  • If a game is tied at the end of regulation, the teams will play a 20-minute, 3-on-3 overtime period. It's sudden death, so the first team to score wins
  • If the game is tied after the initial 20-minute overtime, the teams will keep playing until somebody scores
  • There is no shootout
  • Between each period, there will be a 15-minute intermission during which the ice is resurfaced

โ›ธ๏ธ Olympic hockey past winners

Here are the past 10 winners for the Winter Olympics hockey tournament dating back to 1988.

Olympics Gold medal Silver medal Bronze medal
Beijing 2022 Finland Athletes from Russia Slovakia
Pyeongchang 2018  Athletes from Russia Germany Canada
***Sochi 2014 Canada Sweden  Finland 
***Vancouver 2010 Canada USA Finland
***Turin 2006 Sweden  Finland Czechia 
***Salt Lake City 2002 Canada United States  Athletes from Russia
***Nagano 1998 Czechia  Athletes from Russia Finland 
Lillehammer 1994 Sweden  Canada Finland 
Albertville 1992 Unified Team Canada Czechoslovakia
Calgary 1988 Soviet Union Finland Sweden

***best-on-best tournament 

โ“2026 Winter Olympics hockey FAQs

Who is favored to win the 2026 Winter Olympics?

With +150 odds, Canada is favored to win the 2026 Winter Olympics. Those odds imply a 40% probability, according to our odds calculator

Who won the last Olympic hockey tournament?

Finland won the Beijing 2022 Olympic tournament. However, it wasn't a best-on-best tournament, with NHL players prohibited from participating. 

When is the 2026 Winter Olympic hockey tournament?

The 2026 Winter Olympic hockey tournament takes place from Feb. 11 to Feb. 22.

When is the 2026 Winter Olympic hockey gold medal game?

The gold medal game occurs on Sunday, Feb. 22 at 7:10am ET. 

Who won the last best-on-best Olympic hockey tournament? 

Canada won the last best-on-best Olympic hockey tournament in 2014 at the Sochi Olympics. 

How many players are on an Olympic hockey roster? 

The maximum number of players on an Olympic men's hockey roster is 25, and the maximum number for an Olympic women's hockey roster is 23. However, each team can only dress 20 skaters and two goaltenders for each game. 

๐Ÿ’ NHL betting odds pages

Here are our futures pages breaking down the best NHL odds to help with your NHL picks.

๐Ÿฅ… Best Olympic hockey betting sites

Looking to bet on the 2026 Winter Olympics? Here are our best hockey betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos.

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