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Raiders vs. Steelers Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 16: Back Pittsburgh in Pickett’s Return

Kenny Ducey

Last Updated: December 24, 2022 5:30 AM EST • 2 min 19 sec read.

T.J. Watt of the Pittsburgh Steelers chases Andy Dalton of the New Orleans Saints at Acrisure Stadium on Nov. 13, 2022 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
T.J. Watt of the Pittsburgh Steelers chases Andy Dalton of the New Orleans Saints at Acrisure Stadium on Nov. 13, 2022 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images via AFP.

Historical rivals meet on Christmas Even when the Las Vegas Raiders take on the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. Both teams are 6-8 and cling to slim Wild Card playoff hopes. Read on for our top Raiders vs. Steelers NFL pick based on top odds.

The Steelers are set to bring back rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett in Week 16, and with emotions riding high the mix could result in a big moment for a team trying to power through a rebuild.

In their way are the Raiders, who won four of their last five including a thrilling walk-off win over the New England Patriots last week.

Here is our best Raiders vs. Steelers NFL Week 16 pick (odds via PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

  Check out our NFL Best Bets and all of our top NFL Picks for Week 16.  

Raiders vs. Steelers Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 24, 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV: NFL Network
  • Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
  • Weather: 9 degrees, 6% chance of precipitation, 20-mph WSW winds

Raiders vs. Steelers Odds

Raiders vs. Steelers Odds Analysis

While the Raiders opened as slight favorites at some books, the line has moved, favoring the Steelers by 1.5-2 points depending on where you wager. The Raiders are still drawing 57% of the cash and 55% of the tickets.

The total has dropped from 40 to 38.5 and the Under is still the popular bet, receiving 93% of the cash and 61% of the tickets.

Raiders vs. Steelers Pick

Steelers -2 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Emotions will be sky high Saturday evening. This is a nationally-televised game coming just days after the passing of Steelers legend Franco Harris – right before the 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception.

So, there'll surely be some extensive pre-game work honoring Harris, and Steelers faithful will show up in droves.

One man showing up is QB Pickett, who missed last week’s win with a concussion. He’s been practicing in full and definitely makes this offense better. It was a rocky beginning for the rookie, but he’s won three of his last four starts not including the loss to the Baltimore Ravens, where he was knocked out of the game after only one throw.

Pickett’s ability to get outside the pocket should drive the nail in the coffin for Vegas. The Raiders have the league's second-worst pass defense in DVOA and have only been saved by some good play off the edge from defensive ends Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones. On top of that, the Raiders are 22nd against the run and will collide into red-hot running back Najee Harris.

I simply like the Steelers’ offense more, and linebacker T.J. Watt should once again be the best defensive player on the field for the home team. Vegas is 2-6 on the road and will walk into an extra-hostile environment. This team will lose badly.

Raiders vs. Steelers Best Odds

DraftKings (-1.5, -110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
-1.5 (-110)-1.5 (-115)-2 (-110)-2 (-110)-1.5 (-112)

Each sportsbook aside from BetMGM and Caesars offers slightly different value here, and DraftKings stands out for giving users an extra half-point of cushion at the standard juice. It's a little surprising to see PointsBet at -112, but it wouldn't be surprising to see that number shrink to -107 before kickoff.

Raiders-Steelers pick made 12/22/2022 at 3:05 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Kenny Ducey
Kenny is a contributor for DraftKings and a former member of the Baseball Writers' Association of America. He's covered Tennis, Football, Basketball, and Baseball dating back to his time at Sports Illustrated. He's based out of New York, where sports have taken a turn for the worst, yet somehow his support for the Jets and Knicks has not wavered in the slightest.