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Browns vs. Texans Prediction, Pick & Odds: Stay in the Flames with Flacco?

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: December 24, 2023 11:55 AM EST • 2 min 37 sec read.

Joe Flacco #15 of the Cleveland Browns throws a pass as we look at our Browns vs. Texans prediction for Week 16
Joe Flacco #15 of the Cleveland Browns throws a pass for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns Stadium on December 17, 2023 in Cleveland, Ohio. Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images via AFP.

Our Cleveland Browns vs. Houston Texans prediction is based on the best NFL odds at the best NFL prop betting sites, and we believe that Joe Flacco has another prolific passing performance in him.

The Cleveland Browns, positioned at 9-5, enter Week 16 buoyed by back-to-back wins orchestrated by veteran quarterback Joe Flacco. Focused on maintaining their momentum, they set their sights on a pivotal away game against the Houston Texans, aiming to further extend their winning streak. A victory in this matchup holds significant weight for the Browns as it would solidify their standing in the competitive race for a spot in the AFC playoffs.

Can the Texans (8-6) earn an important home win to help their postseason hopes with rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud sidelined once again?

In addition to our NFL Week 16 predictions and NFL Week 16 player props, here are our best Browns vs. Texans prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Browns vs. Texans prediction

Joe Flacco Over 246.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

We’re still wondering when the sportsbooks are going to catch up to the style of play Flacco wants to deploy. The gunslinger has been given a surprise opportunity to extend his NFL career - and if this is the swan song for the 38-year-old, he has every intention of going out with a bang.

Flacco has passed for 300-plus yards in each of his last two games and has cleared this line of 246.5 passing yards in all three of his starts this season. While his prop has been pushed higher and higher each week, it’s still not to a level at which I’m considering fading it.

Particularly against the beatable Houston passing defense in a dome, we feel Flacco has another opportunity to pile up yardage - regardless of his efficiency or the number of interceptions he throws. The Texans have allowed an average of 239.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

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Browns vs. Texans best odds

FanDuel (-114)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Flacco Over 254.5 passing yardsFlacco Over 246.5 passing yardsFlacco Over 251.5 passing yardsFlacco Over 251.5 passing yardsFlacco Over 251.5 passing yards
-115-114-115-113-110

For as long as FanDuel remains the outlier on this prop, that will be the obvious best spot among our best NFL prop betting sites to place this wager. As of this writing, FanDuel lists the Flacco passing prop at 246.5 yards with -114 odds on the Over.

BetMGM, Caesars, and bet365 each list the line at 251.5 yards with bet365 offering the most favorable odds of the group at -110. With other options on the board, wise bettors will avoid the inflated 254.5-yard line at DraftKings.

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Browns vs. Texans odds

Browns vs. Texans odds analysis

The Texans opened as a 1.5-point favorite in their home stadium, but with news that Stroud was ruled out due to a concussion, the line has flipped to favor the Browns by between two and three points across our best sports betting apps. 

The total opened at 41.5 and has fallen to between 40 and 40.5 across our best sportsbooks. Roughly 70% of wagers have come in on the Under.

Browns vs. Texans game info

  • When: Sunday, Dec. 24, at 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
  • How to watch: CBS
  • Weather: Indoors

Browns-Texans prediction made Friday at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Check out our best NFL betting sites:

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Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Since graduating from the University of Missouri in 2016, Brenden Schaeffer has covered the St. Louis Cardinals and Blues hockey as a writer for KMOV in St. Louis. He also co-hosts 'The Big Show' on KTGR radio in Columbia, Missouri. The show airs in afternoon drive, weekdays from 4-6 p.m. Brenden has contributed to SBR since 2021, providing insights on NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NBA. You can download his daily baseball podcast, B-Schaeff Daily, on Spotify or Apple podcasts, and you can find Brenden across social media @bschaeffer12.