Charles Schwab Challenge Odds & Picks to Win 2025: Outright Bets for Colonial

Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, hosts this week's PGA Tour event, and Scottie Scheffler is the heavy betting favorite by the Charles Schwab Challenge odds following his resounding PGA Championship victory.

Now, Scheffler leads a PGA Tour field of 135 to Colonial with +250 odds to win this week, representing an implied probability of 28.57%. Davis Riley (+5500) returns as the defending winner of the Charles Schwab Challenge.

📊 PGA Tour odds this week: 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge

Our live Charles Schwab Challenge odds will update in real time based on the odds from our best sports betting sites.

💰 Who'll win the Truist Championship?

Tommy Fleetwood

Best odds: +2500 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $250) | Implied win probability: 3.85%

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Fleetwood tied for 41st in the PGA Championship following finishes of seventh in the RBC Heritage and T-4 in the Truist Championship - both Signature Events. He now competes against the weakest field he's played in this season.

Fleetwood has played at Colonial Country Club just twice, with a T-35 in 2022 and a missed cut the following year. However, he enters this year's event as a perfect course fit while leading this field in strokes gained: around-the-green across his last 16 measured rounds. His 0.52 SG: approach over that time also rank near the top of the field.

Colonial is a relatively short course, so Fleetwood shouldn't be punished for his lack of driving distance. He ranks 19th on the PGA Tour this season in proximity to the pin on approach shots from 125-150 yards, and that's this week's key distance.

Andrew Novak

Best odds: +6500 via Caesars (bet $10 to win $650) | Implied win probability: 1.52%

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Novak comes off a missed cut in the PGA Championship to make his third straight appearance in the Charles Schwab Challenge. He finished T-40 two years ago before a missed cut last year.

He was playing his best golf prior to the second major of the year. He finished T-3 in the Valero Texas Open, runner-up in the RBC Heritage, and T-17 in the Truist Championship, along with a win in the Zurich Classic alongside Ben Griffin. Novak's averaging 0.70 SG: around-the-green and 0.50 SG: approach across his last 16 measured rounds.

🤖 Charles Schwab Challenge AI prediction

I asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best Charles Schwab Challenge pick to win. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor, and should be used only to gather additional information and insights.

🏆 Jordan Spieth (+2500 via BetMGM)

Here’s why Jordan Spieth (+2500) is ChatGPT's best value pick to win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge:

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🏌️‍♂️ Course history: Elite at Colonial

• Spieth has one win (2016) and three runner-up finishes (2015, 2017, 2021) at Colonial Country Club, one of his most successful courses
• He’s gained strokes on the field in every start at Colonial since 2014 - his worst finish in that span is T-32
• His all-time scoring average at Colonial is among the lowest in the field

📍 Course fit: Perfect match for his strengths

• Colonial is a par 70 layout that rewards precision, creativity, and short game - all classic Spieth traits
• He excels on Bermuda grass greens and has one of the best short games on tour when in form
• The Gil Hanse renovation emphasized shot-making and positioning, which plays into Spieth’s imagination and course management

🔥 Form and motivation

• Spieth has shown flashes of great form in 2025, including a top-5 at The CJ Cup Byron Nelson and a T-14 at the Masters
• As a Texas native, he always draws energy from the home crowd - and tends to peak during the Texas Swing

💰 Betting value

• At +2200 (DraftKings), Spieth offers much better value than the heavy favorite Scottie Scheffler (+250)
• For a player with his track record at this course, +2200 is a strong price that reflects recent inconsistency more than true win equity
• He’s a proven closer with 13 PGA Tour wins - including multiple in Texas

Final word

Spieth is arguably the best modern player at Colonial. While Scheffler is the best player in the world, Spieth’s course history, skill set, and odds make him the best value bet to win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge.

🏌️ Who's favored to win the Charles Schwab Challenge?

Scottie Scheffler

Best odds: +250 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $25) | Implied win probability: 28.57%

Scheffler just won the PGA Championship, his third career major, by five strokes over Bryson DeChambeau, Harris English, and Riley. He'll play at Colonial for the sixth straight year, with three straight top-three finishes, and a career average of 1.96 true strokes gained on the field per round (18 rounds).

Colonial demands strong iron play and emphasizes the short game. Both strengths of Scheffler's, he's the clear and rightful favorite. But with a winning $10 bet returning a profit of just $25, I'd steer clear of betting Scheffler in the outright winner market.

Look instead to prop bet markets, or pair Scheffler to win the Charles Schwab Challenge with your early U.S. Open bets in a parlay.

⛳ 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge tournament info

• Where: Colonial Country Club (Fort Worth, Texas)
• When: Thursday, May 22 - Sunday, May 25
• Field: 135
• Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+250 via DraftKings)
• Purse: $9.5 million
• FedEx Cup points: 500

💰 Charles Schwab Challenge betting history

Here are the recent winners of the Charles Schwab Challenge:

Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.

❓ How to bet on golf

When it comes to golf betting, it's essential to understand the various types of wagers available and how to assess player performance effectively.

• Outright winners
• Each-way bets (which encompass both a win and a top finish)
• Head-to-head matchups
• Proposition bets tailored to specific tournament events, like hole-in-one occurrences or player performances on designated holes

Once you've determined your preferred bet types, conduct thorough research on players, course conditions, recent form, and other pertinent factors that could influence outcomes.

Delve into player statistics, recent tournament performances, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that may impact a player's chances of success.

⛳ Golf betting odds pages

🏌️Here are the best golf betting sites for the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge

Looking to bet on the Charles Schwab Challenge? Here are the top-rated best golf betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos ahead of Thursday's first round at Colonial Country Club:

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• DraftKings Promo Code
• Hard Rock Bet Promo Code

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