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UFC in Vegas 11: 'The Dogs and Their Odds' Free Betting Picks and Predictions

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UFC in Vegas 11: 'The Dogs and Their Odds' Free Betting Picks and Predictions

The Ultimate Fighting Championships (UFC) returns to Vegas this weekend for another star-studded lineup inside the UFC Apex. Read on for our underdog UFC betting picks and free predictions for UFC Vegas 11: Colby Covington vs. Tyron Woodley.

Jordan Espinosa vs. David Dvorak

UFC Flyweight bout

Saturday, September 19, 2020 – 07:35 PM EDT, live from the UFC Apex Centre in Las Vegas, Nevada

Jordan Espinosa

Age: 30
Nationality: USA
Record: 15-7-0
Height: 5ft 6”
Reach: 69.5"
Gym: Luttrell/Yee MMA
Notable Gym Members: Thomas Almeida & Claudia Gadelha
Current Streak: 1 win
Wins by KO/TKO: 2
Wins by Submission: 7
Decision wins: 3
Significant Strikes (UFC)
Landed Per Min: 5.49
Accuracy: 60%
Defense: 60%
Grappling (UFC)
Takedown Average: 1.19
Takedown Accuracy: 30%
Takedown Defended: 88%

The number 14th ranked flyweight overcame his two-fight losing streak in his previous bout, a dominant performance over Mark De La Rosa. Now he will take on the newcomer Dvorak who will make his second appearance inside a UFC octagon.

Jordan Espinosa will enter this weekend's clash versus David Dvorak with a significant experience advantage, on top of that, the level of competition has been incomparable. Sleek, striking skills and submission abilities, it is hard to envision the newcomer Dvorak finding colossal success after his lackluster performance against Bruno Silva.

David Dvorak

Age: 28
Nationality: Czechia
Record: 10-2-0
Height: 5ft 5."
Reach: 68.5"
Gym: Fightclub Brno
Notable Gym Members: N/A
Current Streak: 14 wins
Wins by KO/TKO: 8
Wins by Submission: 7
Decision wins: 3
Significant Strikes (UFC)
Landed Per Min: 4.47
Accuracy: 50%
Defence:53%
Grappling (UFC)
Takedown Average: 4.47
Takedown Accuracy: 50%
Takedown Defended: 53%

David Dvorak is currently riding a fourteen-fight win streak and has already accomplished his UFC debut win. As the level of competition rises for David, his win-streak becomes a higher risk.

Dvorak has shown skills in all assets of the game, and he's finished multiple opponents through his striking power and Jiu-Jitsu ability.

At the End of the Day

Espinosa was extremely unfortunate in his previous first-round submissions against Matt Schnell and Alex Perez. Espinosa will be more than aware of David's submission abilities while keeping the opportune moment for his submission offense.

Bookmakers are confused, and the betting public is confused but the odd's speak volumes. A fighter whose a legitimate prospect with a 14-fight win streak should be sat around -300; however, the odds are close to pick-em suggesting a padded record for David Dvorak.

I like the value on the more experienced fighter, but I would not be surprised to see Espinosa close as the favorite so be sure to do your odds shopping.

UFC Vegas 11 Free Betting Pick: Espinosa to win at +104 with Heritage (visit our Heritage Review)

Espinosa+104
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Jessica Rose Clark vs. Sarah Alpar

UFC Women's Bantamweight bout

Saturday, September 19, 2020 - 07:05 PM EDT, live from the UFC Apex Centre in Las Vegas, Nevada

Jessica Rose Clark

Age: 32
Nationality: Australia
Record: 9-6-0
Height: 5ft 5"
Reach: 64.5"
Gym: CSA Gym
Notable Gym Members: Alex Munoz
Current Streak: 2 losses
Wins by KO/TKO: 2
Wins by Submission: 2
Decision wins: 5
Significant Strikes (UFC)
Landed Per Min: 4.53
Accuracy: 47%
Defense: 60%
Grappling (UFC)
Takedown Average: 1.00
Takedown Accuracy: 50%
Takedown Defended: 62%

When taking a first glance at this week's available UFC odds, I thought Sportsbook Review had made a typing error because for some reason Jessica Rose Clark is a -200-favorite heading into this week's Fight Night event. This line does not sit well with me.

Jess is a well-diversified martial artist, but her abilities have not transitioned into performances. The Australian native will enter this weekend on a two-fight losing streak, aged 32 it is tough to dictate such a hefty price on her this weekend.

Sarah Alpar

Age: 29
Nationality: American
Record: 9-4-0
Height: 5ft 4”
Reach: 63"
Gym: American Elite MMA
Notable Gym Members: Julia Avila
Current Streak: 3 wins
Wins by KO/TKO: 2
Wins by Submission: 2
Decision wins: 5
Significant Strikes (UFC)
N/A UFC Debut
Grappling (UFC)
N/A UFC Debut

She came in as the underdog on 'Dana Whites Contender Series', and now Sarah Alpar will make her official UFC debut as an even bigger one!

The sportsbooks are brave this weekend, giving a +180 price-tag and revolting against the 4-fight win streak of the gritty underdog Sarah Alpar.

The Prediction

Jessica Rose Clark doesn't have the prettiest fight record, having never been finished inside the distance. If we're to focus on the best asset, then we'd be looking at her durability and toughness.

With that said, durability won't be enough to lock-in a -220 bet on Jessica Rose Clark. UFC odds have been sharp in recent months, but I sense an underdog could be barking this weekend. Remember to find the best odds using SBR Odds, finding value will dramatically affect your long-term betting investment.

UFC in Vegas 11 betting prediction: Sarah Alpar at +185 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Alpar+185
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