UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill Main Event Odds and Picks

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill Main Event Odds and Picks
Michelle Waterson. Ethan Miller/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining fight between Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill. Here’s a complete preview, including updated odds and our betting pick.

Michelle Waterson vs. Angela Hill

Saturday, September 12, 2020 – 11:59 PM EDT at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas

In the main event of the evening, Michelle Waterson faces Angela Hill. UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. There will not be fans in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, let’s attempt to find some value for our UFC picks on Saturday’s main event.

Michelle Waterson. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

Michelle Waterson

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Michelle Waterson was born in Colorado Springs, Colorado and is half Caucasian and half Thai. She spent the first two years of her life in Germany before moving back to the States and settling in Aurora, Colorado. Now she lives and train in New Mexico.

Waterson has many memories with her older brother and younger sister. It was his brother who got her into martial arts. She earned a black belt in American Free Style Karate when she was 10 years old and has also trained in Wushu, Muay Thai, Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, boxing and wrestling.

Nicknamed "The Karate Hottie," she started modeling in 2004 after graduating high school. Waterson did a bikini contest at a car show and traveled all around the United States as a spokesmodel of International Allstars.

She won her first professional fight via unanimous decision against Andrea Miller at ROF 28 - Evolution on February 16th, 2007. Waterson is a former Invicta FC atomweight champion and has wins against Paige VanZant, Cortney Casey, Felice Herrig and Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

"The Karate Hottie" is coming off back-to-back decision losses against Joanna Jedrzejczyk and Carla Esparza. It was a controversial win by Esparza because of weird scoring.

  • Born: January 6th, 1986
  • Age: 34
  • Country: United States
  • Height: 5’3″
  • Weight: 115 lbs
  • Reach: 62″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: Jackson Wink MMA
  • Class: Strawweight
  • Record: 17-8


Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
3 wins by KO/TKO3.31 Landed50% Accuracy
9 wins by Submission3.79 Absorbed67% Defended
5 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Black belt in American Freestyle Karate
  • Her punches are effective
  • Very smart and well-coached fighter
  • Solid on the ground both offensively and defensively

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Has lost her last two fights

Angela Hill. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

Angela Hill

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Born and raised in Maryland, Angela Hill has a Bachelor of Fine Arts (BFA) degree at The Cooper Union school of art and she worked as an animator in animation studios and as a bartender.

Hill went 16-0 as a professional kickboxer (16-0) and she eventually got interested in mixed martial arts. She is a big fan of video games and cosplay. Before fights at Invicta FC and UFC, Hill has cosplayed as Dhalsim and Sagat from Street Fighter, Afro Samurai, a Fallout Vault Dweller and as one of The Warriors, to name a few.

"Overkill" began her professional MMA career with a TKO against Stephanie Skinner at USFFC 18 - Metal and Mayhem on April 26th, 2014. Hill signed with Invicta FC on November 17th, 2015 and knocked out Alida Gray in her debut at Invicta FC 15 on January 16th, 2016. She faced undefeated strawweight champion Lívia Renata Souza at Invicta FC 17 on May 7th, 2016 and became the new Invicta FC strawweight champion after a split decision win.

Angela Hill had consecutive wins against Ariane Carnelossi, Hannah Cifers and Konklak Suphisara before a split decision loss against Claudia Gadelha at UFC on ESPN 8 on May 16th. Hill's 15 fights at strawweight are the most in the division in UFC history. This will be her fourth fight of the year.

  • Born: January 12th, 1985
  • Age: 35
  • Country: United States
  • Height: 5’3″
  • Weight: 115 lbs
  • Reach: 64″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: Alliance MMA
  • Class: Strawweight
  • Record: 12-8


Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
5 wins by KO/TKO5.76 Landed37% Accuracy
0 wins by Submission5.17 Absorbed72% Defended
7 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Former World Kickboxing Association champion
  • Has never been stopped from strikes in her career
  • Work ethic, striking and toughness

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Absorbs too many significant strikes per minute
  • Grappling


Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill are eager to bounce back, which will give us a can't-miss fight. “I think what it comes down to is I’m excited to go out there and fight,” Waterson told MMA Junkie. “I’m kinda done with trying to strategize and this and that. I’m excited to fight. I’m excited to punch her in the face, put some damage on her.”

I like Waterson's mindset and this is precisely why I like her to beat the UFC odds. She wants to think less and fight more, not worrying about the outcome. Waterson has more all-around ability and if she does not hold back she can get back on track. Hill has been inside the octagon more often than Waterson over the last year but "The Karate Hottie" has more paths to victory.

My Pick: Michelle Waterson +105 at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Michelle Waterson +105
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