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UFC Fight Night: Marvin Vettori vs. Kevin Holland Main Event Picks

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UFC Fight Night: Marvin Vettori vs. Kevin Holland Main Event Picks
Marvin Vettori of Italy. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining middleweight fight between Marvin Vettori and Kevin Holland. Here’s a complete preview, including updated UFC odds and free picks.

Marvin Vettori vs. Kevin Holland

Middleweight Bout – Main Event

Saturday, April 10, 2021 – 05:40 PM EDT at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas

In the main event of the evening, Marvin Vettori faces Kevin Holland. Darren Till was supposed to fight Vettori but he was forced out of the bout with a broken collarbone. Kevin Holland immediately volunteered to face Marvin Vettori on just a couple of weeks' notice. Days later all sides came to an agreement to make the fight happen.

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. A limited number of fans will be in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, let’s attempt to find some value for our UFC picks on Saturday’s main event.

Marvin Vettori of Italy. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP

Marvin Vettori

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Born and raised in Trento, Italy, Marvin Vettori found martial arts as a teenager as he watched the UFC on cable television. He was determined to make it in MMA, so he went to around five gyms to learn the skills needed to thrive in the sport. Vettori eventually settled in Huntington Beach, California and his hard work, toughness and skill are unmatched.

His 6-2-1 record in under four years with the UFC suggests that he might be a bit overlooked. After all, he suffered a very close split decision loss against Israel Adesanya at UFC on FOX 29 on April 14th, 2018 and followed it up with four straight wins. Vettori's last win came against Jack Hermansson via unanimous decision at UFC on ESPN 19 on December 5th.

  • Born: September 20th, 1993
  • Age: 27
  • Country: Italy
  • Height: 6’0″
  • Weight: 186 lbs
  • Reach: 74″
  • Stance: Southpaw
  • Association: Kings MMA
  • Class: Middleweight
  • Record: 16-4-1

Stats

Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
2 wins by KO/TKO4.78 Landed45% Accuracy
9 wins by Submission3.19 Absorbed78% Defended
5 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Has won his last four fights
  • Sound striking offense and awareness
  • Great cardio
  • Has a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Can be overly aggressive

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland Main Event Picks and Odds Analysis
Kevin Holland of the United States. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

Kevin Holland

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Kevin Holland was born in Riverside, California. He was raised in Rancho Cucamonga and Ontario and started his martial arts training at 16 years old. Holland was inspired by his hero Georges St-Pierre after watching him for the first time at UFC 100. After going 5–0 as an amateur MMA fighter, Holland became a pro in 2015 and fought at promotions like Xtreme Knockout, Legacy Fighting Championship, King of the Cage, Bellator MMA and Legacy Fighting Alliance. Holland compiled a 12–3 record before signing with the UFC in 2018. He is 8-3 in the UFC, with wins against John Phillips, Gerald Meerschaert, Anthony Hernandez, Darren Stewart, Charlie Ontiveros and Ronaldo Souza.

"Trailblazer" Holland has won five of his last six fights (four by KO or TKO). He submitted Charlie Ontiveros in the first round at UFC Fight Night 181 on October 31st and he stopped Ronaldo Souza in the first round at UFC 256 on December 12th. In his last fight, he suffered a tough unanimous decision loss against Derek Brunson at UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland on March 20th, which snapped his five-fight win streak.

Born: November 5th, 1992
Age: 28
Country: United States
Height: 6’3″
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 81″
Stance: Orthodox
Association: Phalanx MMA Academy
Class: Middleweight
Record: 21-6

Stats

Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
12 wins by KO/TKO4.14 Landed45% Accuracy
5 wins by Submission2.58 Absorbed51% Defended
4 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Has variety in his striking
  • Solid Muay Thai base
  • Has won his last five of his last six fights

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Can be hit on the counter

Prediction

Holland is used to quick turnarounds. He's competed a whopping six times from May 2020 to March 2021, going 5-1 and ending Vettori's momentum could help him get back on track. If Vettori wins, he will likely get into the Top 5, which could set up at least a title eliminator fight. There's a lot at stake for both fighters.

That said, Vettori is not the kind of opponent anyone wants to fight on short notice. Derek Brunson exposed holes in Holland's skillset. Brunson dominated Holland on the ground, taking him down with ease and Vettori is a far superior grappler. Brunson gassed out quickly against Holland but Vettori has better cardio, which is another issue for Holland. After all, he just fought three weeks ago, he might struggle if the bout goes to the later rounds.

Holland has the reach and striking advantage against Vettori but he had those edges over Brunson and he got outclassed. Styles make fights and this is just not a good matchup for Holland. Don't get me wrong, he can put up a fight against anyone but he has to improve his takedown defense and ground game to overcome Vettori. Holland's only path to victory is by early knockout but Vettori can do some serious damage on the ground as the fight progresses.

UFC Pick: Marvin Vettori by Points +175 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Marvin Vettori by Points+175
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