UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley Main Event Odds and Picks

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley Main Event Odds and Picks
Tyron Woodley. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining fight between Colby Covington and Tyron Woodley. Here’s a complete preview, including updated odds and our betting pick.

Colby Covington vs. Tyron Woodley

Saturday, September 19, 2020 – 11:59 PM EDT at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas

In the main event of the evening, Colby Covington faces Tyron Woodley. UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. There will not be fans in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, let’s attempt to find some value for our UFC picks on Saturday’s main event.

Colby Covington. Steve Marcus/Getty Images/AFP

Colby Covington

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

The self-proclaimed supervillain of the UFC, Colby Covington was born in Clovis, California and had a successful wrestling career Thurston High School in Springfield, Oregon, Iowa Central Community College, the University of Iowa and Oregon State University. Covington was 34-0 as a true freshman at Iowa Central Community College, winning the 165 lb national junior college wrestling title.

American Top Team owner Dan Lambert wanted to boost his gym's wrestling training in 2011 and Covington was recruited to help him. He then began pursuing a professional MMA career and moved to South Florida to train full-time. Covington went 5–0 before signing with the UFC in 2014.

His UFC debut was against Anying Wang on August 23rd, 2014 at UFC Fight Night 48 and he won via TKO via in the first round. Covington is 10-2 in the UFC and has wins against Demian Maia, Rafael dos Anjos and Robbie Lawler.

Covington beat dos Anjos on June 9th, 2018 at UFC 225 for the interim UFC welterweight championship via unanimous decision. Then, he was briefly linked to a title unification bout with then-champion Tyron Woodley at UFC 22 but he was unable to compete due to a recent nasal surgery. As a result, the UFC arranged a fight between Woodley and Darren Till and on July 24th Covington would be stripped of the interim UFC welterweight championship.

Colby Covington then faced Robbie Lawler at UFC on ESPN 5 on August 3rd 2019, winning a unanimous decision before losing against Kamaru Usman for the UFC welterweight championship at UFC 245 on December 14th. During the fight, he sustained a left mandibular fracture, was knocked down twice in the fifth round and eventually lost by TKO.

  • Born: February 22nd, 1988
  • Age: 32
  • Country: United States
  • Height: 5’11″
  • Weight: 169 lbs
  • Reach: 72″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: MMA Masters
  • Class: Welterweight
  • Record: 15-2


Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
2 wins by KO/TKO4.17 Landed51% Accuracy
5 wins by Submission3.02 Absorbed78% Defended
8 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • World-class wrestler
  • Has remarkable conditioning
  • Strong kicker

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Vulnerable to follow up strikes when throwing his punches

Tyron Woodley. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP

Tyron Woodley

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

A Missouri native, Tyron Woodley was raised by his mother and had a rough childhood but he avoided a life of crime by focusing on academic and athletic excellence. He was a two-time high school All-American while being a permanent fixture on the academic Honor Roll.

Woodley attended the University of Missouri and was a two-time All-American and the first Big 12 Champion in school history. After college, Woodley's MMA career took off with an impressive 7-0 record. He ended all his fights by either knockout or submission. The 2010 Rising Star of the Year at Strikeforce made his UFC debut against Jay Hieron at UFC 156 on February 2nd, 2013, winning by KO in the first round.

After defeating Robbie Lawler to win the coveted UFC welterweight championship at UFC 201 on July 30th, 2016, Woodley successfully defended the belt four times. He lost it against Kamaru Usman at UFC 235 on March 2nd, 2019 via unanimous decision and then Gilbert Burns beat him at UFC on ESPN 9 on May 30th, also via unanimous decision.

Born: April 17th, 1982
Age: 38
Country: United States
Height: 5’9″
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 74″
Stance: Orthodox
Association: ATT Evolution
Class: Welterweight
Record: 19-5-1


Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
7 wins by KO/TKO2.38 Landed39% Accuracy
5 wins by Submission2.65 Absorbed90% Defended
7 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Two-time high school wrestling All-American and two-time All-American and first Big 12 wrestling champion in Missouri University history
  • His boxing is among the best in the UFC
  • Excellent takedown defense
  • One of the most dominant welterweight champions in the history of combat sports

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Has lost his last two fights


Two wrestlers facing off will likely end up being a striking battle. Woodley's strength can be a difference-maker in the first rounds. Using his power to knock Covington out is the path to victory I see for him.

Covington has impressive durability and cardio, which is why Woodley has to dominate the early rounds and impress the judges. Covington, on the other hand, has to focus on his defense and on out striking Woodley.

Another key to victory for Covington is to evade Woodley's right. The X-factor here is the fact that Woodley is training with Jorge Masvidal at American Top Team. I'm looking at Over 4.5 rounds as my play.

My Pick: Over 4.5 rounds (-205) at Heritage (visit our Heritage Review)

Over 4.5 rounds(-205)
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