With one UFC event remaining this week in Jacksonville, Florida, this has been a successful week for the comeback of sports. The last co-main event of the week features a pair of women strawweight fighters.
Angela Hill will square up against perennially ranked contender Claudia Gadelha in the co-main event of the evening. Can Angela Hill crack into the top 15, or can Claudia Gadelha fight her way into the top 5, and take one step closer to another title shot? Let’s find out!
Claudia Gadelha vs. Angela Hill
Saturday, May 16, 2020 – 11:35 PM EDT
Early in life Claudia Gadelha was surrounded by bad influences. Her parents were already annoyed that she didn’t act like a prototypical female. She was obsessed with martial arts, and her mother didn’t think that was very lady like. At age 14 she started doing drugs with her friends and that was the final straw. Her parents moved her away from her bad influences, and settled in Natal. While in Natal she watched her first women’s MMA fight, and started taking classes at Kimura Nova. From that day on she never touched another drug again.
She began training in multiple forms of martial arts, and it wasn’t long until she moved back to Rio de Janeiro and started competing professionally in BJJ and MMA. In June of 2008 Gadelha made her MMA debut for the regional MMA promotion Force Fighting Championship. It took her all of 17 seconds to catch her opponent in a submission and win her debut. In early 2014, after amassing an (11-0) record Claudia signed with the Ultimate Fighting Championship.
Since joining the UFC. Claudia Gadelha is (6-4). He has had one title shot in her career, and is desperately trying to get back in the title discussion. It starts tomorrow night with Angela Hill. Can she build momentum off her last victory and continue up the ranks? Below is a look at Claudia Gadelha, by the numbers.
|Method of Victory||Significant Strikes||Takedowns|
|2 wins by TKO||3.17 Landed||47.14% Accuracy|
|8 wins by Decision||4.38 Absorbed||58.82% Defended|
|7 wins by Submission|
• Grappling (Claudia Gadelha is one of the best grapplers in women’s MMA. PERIOD).
• Takedowns (She is relentless with her takedown attempts because she knows her only route to victory in most cases, is taking the fight to the ground).
• Stamina (Over the last 18 months she has had an issue with her cardio. I don’t know if it’s the fact that she doesn’t care enough to get conditioned anymore or not. The bottom line is her cardio has not looked the same. Round two and three her wind diminishes drastically).
• Striking (Gadelha’s striking game is serviceable at best. There are strawweights in this division that put her standup to shame).
Initially, Angela Hill was not going to be a mixed martial artist. She wanted to be an artist and got her degree at the Copper Union school of art. She was actually working as an animator at an animation studio before taking the leap into MMA. She started training immediately and made her professional MMA debut in 2014.
It was not long before Hill got a call from the Ultimate Fighting Championship to be a contestant on the UFC reality television show The Ultimate Fighter. She would lose in the preliminary round to Carla Esparza via submission, but signed with the UFC anyway.
After fighting for the UFC promotion, Hill left the UFC and signed with Invicta FC in 2015. She would become the Invicta FC strawweight champion before going back to the UFC in 2017.
Since returning to the UFC, Angela Hill is (6-5) inside the Octagon. She still has not cracked the top 15, but with a win over top 10 staple Claudia Gadelha, Hill would position herself inside the top 15. Will she finally take the next step in her UFC career? We’ll know tomorrow night. Below is a look at Angela Hill, inside the numbers.
|Method of Victory||Significant Strikes||Takedowns|
|5 wins by TKO||5.74 Landed||37.5% Accuracy|
|7 wins by Decision||5.13 Absorbed||72% Defended|
|0 wins by Submission|
• Range Striker (Angela Hill is a solid range striker. She ha the footwork to dip in and out of the pocket, and the hand speed to throw combinations before leaving the pocket.
• Movement (Hill’s footwork reminds me of Rose Namajunas. It’s not quite as good, but she does dance around the cage like a gazelle. It’s hard for her opponents to corner her against the cage. She is good at escaping, and that helps her takedown defense as well).
• Power (She does not have any type of power even for the division. If she beats you it’s death by a thousand cuts. Great volume, zero power).
• Submission Grappling (She has no submission game or overall ground game to speak of. It’s nonexistent. That is an issue for her. Her paths to victory are usually very limited).
So, who wins this fight? This will be short. Claudia Gadelha has the best chance to win this fight. She has more paths to victory because her ground game is phenomenal, and her standup is serviceable. Hill does one thing well, and that is her standup game. If she is taken down, she is in for a really long fight.
The problem with betting MMA is this…. It matters who you think will in the fight, but it equally matters where the value is. The value is on Angela Hill. She should not be a (+175) underdog. This fight she should be more like (+120).
If you are betting this fight straight the value is on Angela Hill. If you are betting a parlay and want to get the price of Gadelha down, I suppose you can take it. The thing to remember is just because you throw Gadelha in a parlay and get the price down, it does not necessarily mean the value is now on Gadelha.
Sometimes you make bets you think you might lose but as a bettor, you follow the value.