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UFC 263: Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori 2 Main Event Picks

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UFC 263: Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori 2 Main Event Picks
Israel Adesanya. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining UFC middleweight championship fight between Israel Adesanya and Marvin Vettori. Here’s a complete preview, including updated betting odds and UFC Predictions.

Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori

Saturday, June 12, 2021 – 11:35 PM EDT at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona

UFC Middleweight Championship Main Event Bout

UFC 263: Israel Adesanya vs. Marvin Vettori 2 takes place at Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona. This is a rematch from their UFC on FOX 29 clash, which was won by Adesanya via split decision on April 14th, 2018. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available at sportsbooks, let's find some value for our UFC picks in this fight.

Israel Adesanya in Las Vegas, Nevada. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

Israel Adesanya

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

A former kickboxer, Israel Adesanya is a unique fighter who was born in Lagos, Nigeria and is based in New Zealand. The reigning UFC middleweight champion has been compared to Anderson Silva and Jon Jones. Adesanya trained taekwondo when he was young but his mother stopped taking him to class after he broke his arm. He eventually moved to New Zealand and started training in kickboxing when he was 18 years old. The Muay Thai movie Ong-Bak inspired him and he moved to China before returning to New Zealand. At the age of 21, he began to train at City Kickboxing with Kia Kara-France and Dan Hooker.

Adesanya's professional career began in 2012 and he fought in New Zealand, Australia and China, going 11-0 with 11 TKOs. The UFC signed him in December 2017 and he debuted at UFC 221, knocking out Rob Wilkinson in the second round. He is 9-1 in the UFC, with wins against Derek Brunson, Anderson Silva, Kelvin Gastelum, Robert Whittaker, Yoel Romero and Paulo Costa.

Adesanya faced Whittaker in a title unification bout on October 5th, 2019 at UFC 243 and he won the fight via knockout in the second round to become the undisputed UFC middleweight champion. Adesanya has beaten two of his last four opponents by KO/TKO. In his last fight, Adesanya moved up a weight class to face Jan Blachowicz with the UFC light heavyweight championship on the line but he lost via unanimous decision at UFC 259 on March 6th.

  • Born: July 22nd, 1989
  • Age: 31
  • Country: Nigeria
  • Height: 6’4″
  • Weight: 185 lbs
  • Reach: 80″
  • Stance: Switch
  • Association: City Kickboxing
  • Class: Middleweight
  • Record: 20-1

Stats

Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
15 wins by KO/TKO3.95 Landed0% Accuracy
0 wins by Submission2.63 Absorbed82% Defended
5 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Rangy, technical striker
  • Went 75-5 as a professional kickboxer and 5-1 as a professional boxer
  • Strong takedown defense

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Coming off his first career loss

UFC Fight Night: Marvin Vettori vs. Kevin Holland
Marvin Vettori of Italy. Christian Petersen/Getty Images/AFP

Marvin Vettori

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Born and raised in Trento, Italy, Marvin Vettori found martial arts as a teenager as he watched the UFC on cable television. He was determined to make it in MMA, so he went to around five gyms to learn the skills needed to thrive in the sport. Vettori eventually settled in Huntington Beach, California and his hard work, toughness and skill are unmatched.

His 7-2-1 record in under four years with the UFC suggests that he might be a bit overlooked. After all, he suffered a very close split decision loss against Israel Adesanya at UFC on FOX 29 on April 14th, 2018 and followed it up with five straight wins. Vettori's last win came against Kevin Holland via unanimous decision at UFC on ABC 2 on April 10th.

  • Born: September 20th, 1993
  • Age: 27
  • Country: Italy
  • Height: 6’0″
  • Weight: 186 lbs
  • Reach: 74″
  • Stance: Southpaw
  • Association: Kings MMA
  • Class: Middleweight
  • Record: 17-4-1

Stats

Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
2 wins by KO/TKO4.14 Landed53% Accuracy
9 wins by Submission2.90 Absorbed78% Defended
6 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Has won his last five fights
  • Sound striking offense and awareness
  • Great cardio
  • Has a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Can be overly aggressive

Prediction

Vettori has improved his skillset since his first fight with Adesanya but can he win a striking battle against him? While he does own a great jab, heavy leg kicks and cardio, a stand up war is not the path to victory. Takedown offense with his improving wrestling is the way, especially after seeing how Blachowicz compromised Adesanya's takedown defense (though the middleweight champion failing to upgrade his actual fight weight played a part on that). Will Vettori's wrestling be enough to convince the judges? I can see Adesanya's faints forcing Vettori to open himself up, leading to a win by points.

UFC Pick: Israel Adesanya by Points +150 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Israel Adesanya by Points+150
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