UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler First Look: Odds, betting picks and predictions

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UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler First Look: Odds, betting picks and predictions

The UFC is back in Texas to host their second fan attended event of 2021. The vacant UFC lightweight title is on the line. Here is our complete betting guide taking a first look at Michael Chandler versus Charles Oliveira. They will head-line the UFC 262 fight card, read on for the updated UFC odds and our free expert betting predictions.

Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler

UFC Lightweight Championship Main Event

Saturday, May 15, 2021 – 11:05 PM ET at Toyota Center

Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira (30-8-0)

The proud owner of fourteen submission victories and joint tied for most finishes in general (16), these record-breaking numbers aren’t the dream goals that “Do Bronx” is here to manifest. His sights have been set on UFC gold, and it’s going to take an elite defense to stop him.

Born and raised in Sao Paulo, Brazil, it is no surprise that Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu was Oliveira’s first martial arts discipline before competing in mixed martial arts. Since the age of nine, he has been a gym fiend, eventually earning his black belt under Ericson Cardoso and Jorge Patino in 2010.

Oliveira is shamefully underrated during a period of the company’s history where said-lightweight division is one of the toughest on the planet. Aside from his aristocratic jiu-jitsu offense, Oliveira has gained a vicious striking output during his UFC tenure, which in turn, is another asset of “Do Bronx” that is overlooked.

Charles Oliveira MMA Accomplishments

  • UFC Fight of the Night (Three times)
  • UFC Performance of the Night (Ten times)
  • UFC Submission of the Night (Three times)
  • Most submission wins in UFC history (14)
  • Most Performance of the Night awards in UFC history (10)
  • Tied for most finishes in UFC history (16) w. Donald Cerrone)
  • Second most Post Fight bonuses in UFC history (16)

Best Available Odds: -135 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

General view of the octagon. Alex Menendez/Getty Images/AFP

Michael Chandler (22-5-0)

NCAA Division I All-American, three-time Bellator Lightweight Champion and all-around tough guy. Michael Chandler did not require an extensive win record to claim his shot at UFC gold; upon his debut for the company, he impressed in such fashion that he is fast-tracked right into the spotlight.

A High Ridge, Missouri native, Chandler has the good ole southern strength running through his veins. He was an outstanding student with multiple accomplishments throughout his schooling years, beginning his martial arts journey on the wrestling mats. Chandler was so skilled and confident in his fighting ability that the MMA amateur scene held zero interest; he skipped straight into the professional world under Xtreme Couture.

In 2011 when the fight promotion Strikeforce saw the majority of talent join the UFC, Chandler opted for a career in Bellator, where he held high success ever since. But in 2020, it was time to test the waters where the worlds most elite MMA competition resides in the Ultimate Fighting Championship. A debut knockout of Dan Hooker at the beginning of 2021 has now gifted the talented wrestler with a title opportunity.

Michael Chandler MMA Accomplishments

  • UFC Performance of the Night (One time)
  • Bellator Lightweight World Champion (Three times)
  • Bellator Season 4 Lightweight Tournament Champion
  • Most stoppage wins in Bellator history (13)
  • Most wins in Bellator Lightweight division history (15)
  • NCAA Division I All-American
  • NCAA Big 12 Conference Championship Runner-up

Best Available Odds: +115 with BetOnline

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Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

How Can Chandler Win?

The wrestling path for Chandler is obvious, but Oliveira will not be scared to allow this route. The Brazilian will have an array of submission holds at his disposal, but can he become the first fighter in Michael Chandler’s twenty-seven fight pro career to submit him? I’m hesitant in believing so.

Chandler is such a brute force; his coaches and training partners will vouch for his power inside the octagon. Strength and conditioning have been crucial in his success, and outside of his wrestling chops, the knockout power in both hands is evident.

I personally believe Chandler can find success on his feet or through his wrestling offense, but the more practical method would be to knock his opponent out. Cub Swanson, Paul Felder, and Donald Cerrone have all found success in finishing “Do Bronx” via strikes, and I have no reason to believe why Chandler cannot emulate a similar path to victory.

How Can Oliveira Win?

The owner of more submission wins in UFC history than anyone; the clear and obvious game plan for Oliveira will be to grab a neck, pull an arm or find an unorthodox submission hold that Chandler won’t be prepared for.

The most idealistic blueprint for Oliveira is to finish this fight early, and we’ve often seen his submission finishing rate decline once fights surpass the 3rd round. And given the fact Chandler has never been stopped by a submission hold and fought of guillotine chokes by the likes of Patricio Pitbull, the Brazilians opportune chance will most likely come early in the fight.

Oliveira vs. Chandler Betting Odds Advice

The top sportsbooks' current odds are just as unsure as the betting public are; the overall consensus seems to be unanimous in the fact we have no idea.

With that said, I will side with Chandler holding the advantage, but that does not mean I am going to have confidence in placing a wager on him.

The most favored outcome in this bout should sit with the under; we are slightly early for the over/under odds, so be sure to check back during the week. Both men hold records in the number of fights they have finished; I can't envision these two monsters of the cage taking this fight into championship rounds.

UFC 262 Pick: Under 3.5 rounds -Odds TBD (midweek, estimated -250) with BetOnline

Under 3.5Odds TBD
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*The pick reflects the line now the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, do not forget to refer to our live odds.