UFC 262: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler Main Event Picks

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UFC 262: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler Main Event Picks
Charles Oliveira of Brazil. Dylan Buell/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining UFC lightweight championship fight between Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler. Here’s a complete preview, including updated betting odds and sports betting online picks.

Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler

Saturday, May 15, 2021 – 11:05 PM EDT at Toyota Center

UFC Lightweight Championship Main Event Bout

The UFC lightweight title was vacated by retired champion Khabib Nurmagomedov and the company gave Oliveira and Chandler a shot, as Poirier preferred to complete a trilogy with Conor McGregor. UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler takes place in front of 17,000 fans at the Toyota Center in Houston. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, use our Odds Calculator to find some value for our UFC picks on this fight.

Charles Oliveira

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Born and raised in Sao Paulo, Brazil, it isn't surprising that Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ) was Oliveira’s first martial arts discipline before trying MMA. At age nine, Oliveira became a gym fiend and he hasn't looked back. Nicknamed 'do Bronx' because the gym where he first started was also called Bronx, Oliveira earned his black belt under Ericson Cardoso and Jorge Patino in 2010.

Oliveira has the most submission wins in UFC history (14) and is tied with Donald Cerrone for most finishes (16) but those records are not his endgame, he wants to hold UFC gold. The 31-year-old doesn't get paid by the hour, he has won his last eight fights and only his unanimous decision win against Tony Ferguson at UFC 256 on December 12th went the distance.

  • Born: October 17th, 1989
  • Age: 31
  • Country: Brazil
  • Height: 5’10″
  • Weight: 155 lbs
  • Reach: 74″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: Chute Boxe Diego Lima / Gold Team
  • Class: Lightweight
  • Record: 30-8-1


Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
8 wins by KO/TKO3.22 Landed44% Accuracy
19 wins by Submission2.94 Absorbed57% Defended
3 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Most submission wins in UFC history (14)
  • Tied for most finishes in UFC history (16) with Donald Cerrone
  • Incredible Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu offense
  • Vicious striking output

Octagon Weaknesses

  • Lost by KO/TKO against Donald Cerrone, Cub Swanson and Paul Felder

Michael Chandler

Introduction, Background and UFC Career

Born in High Ridge, Missouri, Michael Chandler began his MMA journey on the wrestling mats and he displayed so much skill and confidence that he skipped the mixed martial arts amateur scene and became a professional under Xtreme Couture. Many Strikeforce fighters joined the UFC between 2009 and 2011 but Chandler went to Bellator and reached the top many times. Over 10 years later, Michael Chandler was ready for a new challenge and now he is testing himself against the elite UFC lightweight division.

The NCAA Division I All-American and three-time Bellator lightweight champion made a statement in his UFC debut, beating Dan Hooker by TKO in the first round at UFC 257 on January 23rd. 'Iron' impressed so much that he is getting a title shot in his second UFC fight. He feels justified:

“The people that say yes, the people that are willing to step up, the people that are willing to put the work in and raise their hand when everybody else is covering their heads up, those people are usually rewarded for it and the UFC has done right by me so far,” Chandler told MMA Fighting.

  • Born: April 24th, 1986
  • Age: 35
  • Country: United States
  • Height: 5’3″
  • Weight: 155 lbs
  • Reach: 71″
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Association: Sanford MMA
  • Class: Lightweight
  • Record: 22-5


Method of VictorySignificant StrikesTakedowns
10 wins by KO/TKO4.29 Landed41% Accuracy
7 wins by Submission3.76 Absorbed80% Defended
5 wins by Decision

Octagon Strengths

  • Three-time Bellator lightweight champion
  • Bellator Season 4 Lightweight Tournament Champion
  • Most stoppage wins in Bellator history (13)
  • Most wins in Bellator lightweight division history (15)
  • NCAA Division I All-American

Octagon Weaknesses

  • His ultra aggressive style can be his biggest weakness


Chandler has knockout power in both hands and while he can use his wrestling offense to succeed, his best path to victory is via strikes. Can Oliveira become the first fighter to submit Chandler? I don't see it happening but that has to be Oliveira's game plan. I like Chandler's chances but I can see this fight finishing early. I'm taking the Under, both fighters' track record suggests that we won't see the championship rounds. Let's make some money for Triple Crown Betting!

UFC Pick: Under 2.5 Rounds (-150) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Under 2.5 Rounds(-150)
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