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UFC 253: 'The Dogs and Their Odds' Free Betting Picks and Predictions

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UFC 253: 'The Dogs and Their Odds' Free Betting Picks and Predictions

The Ultimate Fighting Championships (UFC) heads back to Fight Island this weekend for the first pay-per-view event of Fall. Read on for our underdog betting picks and free UFC predictions for UFC 253: Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa.

Ludovit Klein vs. Shane Young

UFC Featherweight bout

Saturday, September 26, 2020 – 9:05 PM EDT, live from the Flash Forum, Fight Island in Abu Dhabi.

Shane Young

Age: 27
Nationality: New Zealand
Record: 13-4-0
Height: 5ft 8”
Reach: 72.5"
Gym: City Kickboxing
Notable Gym Members: Israel Adesanya, Alexander Volkanovski & Dan Hooker
Current Streak: 2 wins
Wins by KO/TKO: 6
Wins by Submission: 4
Decision wins: 3
Significant Strikes (UFC)
Landed Per Min: 6.10
Accuracy: 40%
Defense: 57%
Grappling (UFC)
Takedown Average: 0.76
Takedown Accuracy: 25%
Takedown Defended: 64%

If one team were going to make a statement this weekend in Abu Dhabi, then 'City Kickboxing' out of New Zealand could be those guys. Four of their team members will take the center of the octagon this weekend to capture that UFC glory.

First up, Shane Young will be looking to make a statement before his peers take center stage on the main fight-card of the evening. It's been just under two years since we last saw Shane Young. And I'm not entirely sure as to why we haven't, ring-rust, or octagon-rust should I say, it's a real problem that fighters can come across. Will the New-Zealand native prove his rust can be brushed off?

Ludovit Klein

Age: 25
Nationality: Slovakia
Record: 16-2-0
Height: 5ft 9."
Reach: n/a
Gym: SFG Trnava
Notable Gym Members: N/A
Current Streak: 7 wins
Wins by KO/TKO: 8
Wins by Submission: 7
Decision wins: 3
Significant Strikes (UFC)
N/A (UFC debut)
Grappling (UFC)
N/A (UFC debut)

UFC fanatics will be disappointed that Nate Landwehr was forced to drop out of his fight versus Shane Young, but said disappointment should not last too long. Once fans see the talent that follows behind Ludovit Klein - Nate will be an after-thought.

As the first Slovakian to debut in the UFC, I do not doubt that Klein wants to do his country proud. However, it won't be an easy task against the talented Shane Young who's full fight camp took place with the middleweight main-event star, Israel Adesanya.

At the End of the Day

It is clear as day, and the oddsmakers are revealing their hesitancy, a short-notice replacement making his UFC debut against a City Kickboxing prospect is only +115 at best? -105 at some of the best sports betting sites!

The price does not sit right with me and their great reasoning, Klein has displayed a high level of grappling and submission finishes early in his career, and in recent times he has shown the evolution of his striking offense. The dangerous southpaw has finished all but one of his fights and is riding a seven-fight win streak. He does not reveal many bad traits and hits like a truck.

The majority of debuting fighters matched with a formidable opponent on short notice would be a considerable underdog. Klein is not because his potential is high, and we should note he likes to train out of Tiger Muay Thai for his necessary fight preparations.

'Mr. Highlight' Ludovit Klein began boxing at the age of seventeen, and when looking at the entries to his takedowns, you would think he would have wrestled since that age too. I love the value we can find on the debutant but be sure to shop for your odds with Sportsbook Review because some books have Klein as low as -105.

UFC 253 Free Betting Pick: Ludovit Klein to win at +115 with BookMaker (visit our BookMaker Review)

Ludovit Klein+115
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Ketlen Viera vs. Sijara Eubanks

UFC Women's Bantamweight bout

Saturday, September 26, 2020 - 10:30 PM EDT, live from the Flash Forum, Fight Island in Abu Dhabi.

Ketlan Viera

Age: 29
Nationality: Brazil
Record: 10-1-0
Height: 5ft 8"
Reach: 68"
Gym: Nova Uniao
Notable Gym Members: Jose Aldo, Jussier Formiga & Alexandre Pantoja
Current Streak: 1 loss
Wins by KO/TKO: 2
Wins by Submission: 4
Decision wins: 4
Significant Strikes (UFC)
Landed Per Min: 2.74
Accuracy: 35%
Defense: 57%
Grappling (UFC)
Takedown Average: 2.03
Takedown Accuracy: 57%
Takedown Defended: 92%

Your first impressions on Ketlen Viera could be swayed with her 10-1 record. But the inactive bantamweight hasn't impressed me as much as her record may seem intense.

Her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu offense could fall short, versus the proficient striking from Eubanks. And without the ground game, I'm not sure Viera can offer much threat.

Sijara Eubanks

Age: 35
Nationality: American
Record: 6-4-0
Height: 5ft 4”
Reach: 63"
Gym: Nick Catone MMA
Notable Gym Members: Marlon Moraes, Zabit Magomedsharipov & Frankie Edgar
Current Streak: 2 wins
Wins by KO/TKO: 2
Wins by Submission: 0
Decision wins: 4
Significant Strikes (UFC)
Landed Per Min: 4.71
Accuracy: 42%
Defense: 60%
Grappling (UFC)
Takedown Average: 2.17
Takedown Accuracy: 48%
Takedown Defended: 61%

She came in as the underdog in her previous two fights and proved the nation wrong, can Sijara Eubanks strike her way to another victory this weekend on Fight Island.

The top sportsbooks brave it again, a ridiculous opening line on Eubanks at +250 was quickly hit with public money, and it's easy to see why. Viera's experience and in-octagon activity are not good enough to justify the opening price tag.

The Fight Prediction

If Viera cannot spam the takedown and keep Eubanks held to the ground for fifteen minutes, then we could be in for a striking mismatch. Viera's lack of activity is also a considerable concern, and after such long-periods away from the cage, she returned in December 2019 to receive a knockout blow from Irene Aldana.

Eubanks doesn't have the pretty 10-1 record. Still, she has been actively winning fights against the new generation of mixed martial artists. Riding on a 2-fight win streak with impressive performances, it's hard to ignore Eubanks as an underdog with a shot this weekend. Remember to find the best value using SBR's UFC odds, finding profit will dramatically affect your long-term betting investment.

UFC 253 betting prediction: Sijara Eubanks at +145 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Sijara Eubanks+145
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