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Argentina's forward Lionel Messi celebrates scoring the opening goal with his teammate Argentina's midfielder Angel Di Maria during the Qatar 2022 World Cup Group C football match at the Lusail Stadium in Lusail, north of Doha. Kirill Kudryavtsev / AFP.
Argentina's forward Lionel Messi celebrates scoring the opening goal with his teammate Argentina's midfielder Angel Di Maria during the Qatar 2022 World Cup Group C football match at the Lusail Stadium in Lusail, north of Doha. Kirill Kudryavtsev / AFP

Heavyweights France, Argentina, Mexico, and Poland get back into World Cup action Wednesday. Here are our World Cup best bets for the next group stage matches.

The highlight of Wednesday’s matches will be the clash between Leo Messi’s Argentina and Robert Lewandowski’s Poland, as their teams battle for qualification in Group C. 

Ahead of the final round of matches in Group D, France is through, while Denmark, Australia, and Tunisia will do everything in their power to accompany the 2018 world champions into the Round of 16.

Here are our best bets ahead of Wednesday’s World Cup matches (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale). 

Wednesday’s World Cup Matches and Odds

(odds via FanDuel)

  • Group C: Saudi Arabia (+380) vs. Mexico (-150)
  • Group C: Poland (+650) vs. Argentina (-220)
  • Group D: Tunisia (+650) vs. France (-220)
  • Group D: Australia (+550) vs. Denmark (-210)

Wednesday’s World Cup Best Bets

  • Moneyline: Argentina (-220 via FanDuel) ★★★
  • Spread: Denmark -1 (+150 via FanDuel) ★★★
  • Total: Tunisia-France Over 2.5 (-120 via DraftKings) ★★★
  • Upset: Saudi Arabia not to score against Mexico (+150 via DraftKings) ★★★
  • Prop bet: Leo Messi anytime goalscorer (+115 via FanDuel) ★★★
  • Parlay: Over 2.5 goals + Over 9.5 corners + Messi 2 or more shots on target (+595 via FanDuel) ★★★

World Cup Top Picks for Wednesday

Moneyline: Argentina (-220) ★★★

Argentina could advance with a draw in certain circumstances, but it’s unlikely that the South Americans will want to risk and not go all-in on victory when they face Poland. Poland currently lead Group C on four points, one more than Argentina and Saudi Arabia. After the shocking defeat to the Saudis (1-2), Argentina bounced back and beat Mexico 2-0. 

They are superior to Poland in individual quality, and they must show they can be a winning team when it matters most. Leo Messi led his colleagues to three points against Mexico and is motivated to do the same when he faces one of his most important rivals in European football, Barcelona’s Robert Lewandowski, whom he battled for the Ballon d’Or in 2021.

Spread: Denmark -1 (+150) ★★★

Without a win against Australia, Denmark is flying home. Christian Eriksen and his teammates have performed below expectations so far in this tournament, despite being close to getting a result against France, in their previous match. 

The 0-0 draw versus Tunisia in their opening match, though, spread an air of defeat among the Danish crew. Beating Australia, even under big pressure, shouldn’t be mission impossible for a team that beat France twice in the Nations League over the past months, after an impressive Euro 2020 run last year and an almost perfect run in the qualifiers for Qatar 2022.

Total: Tunisia-France Over 2.5 (-120) ★★★

France are already through, while Tunisia can only hope to qualify if they win. It’s expected that France manager Didier Deschamps will allow those who didn’t get enough game time against Denmark and Australia to express themselves on the pitch. With no pressure on their shoulders and with France being the favorite no matter what starting lineup Deschamps decides to start, the defending world champions will surely aim to create, explore, and score goals in the match against Tunisia.

As the North Africans desperately need the three points, they will surely open up at the back, creating even more context for France to hit the net. DraftKings have Over 3.5 goals at +205, while Over 4.5 is at +500.

Upset: Saudi Arabia not to score against Mexico (+150) ★★★

The Saudi Arabians were deadly against Argentina and looked solid for large parts of the match against Poland as well. Still, it’s hard to see them perform at a similar physical level for a third consecutive match in such a short period of time. Saudi Arabia had trouble scoring before the World Cup and, given their expected stamina issues, their attacking ideas could lack force as they did before.

Prop bet: Messi anytime goalscorer (+115) ★★★

Messi. It’s always Messi. The 35-year-old unlocked the match against Mexico, scoring Argentina’s first and assisting the second. Leo also netted against Saudi Arabia and could end his group-stage activity with another goal-scoring performance against Poland.

In theory, Poland are the most dangerous opponents for Argentina in Group C. But only in theory, because on the pitch their defenders fit the profile Messi loved to make suffer throughout his career: tall, rigid, easy to get past in one-on-ones.

Parlay: Over 2.5 goals + Over 9.5 corners + Messi 2 or more shots on target (+595)

Neither Argentina nor Poland are likely to sit tight at the back, so we could be up for one of the most spectacular matches at the World Cup. Given the tension and the context in which it’s taking place, with qualification on the table, this clash is expected to offer plenty when it comes to attacking stats.

Where to Bet on World Cup Picks

World Cup Betting Sites

World Cup odds and best bets from 11/29/2022 at 6:30 a.m. ET.