If it was surprising to think that AC Milan were Serie A leaders after Round 4, imagine how it is to still find them there, after playing AS Roma. It could be one of those cases when an underdog is becoming one of the favorites because the results are starting to make themselves believe in themselves. In such a situation, week by week is always a new challenge, so Udinese vs. Milan got many reasons to be an interesting matchup.
On the other side we have Atalanta, with many being already sure it would belong to the Scudetto pack. Within 2 weeks things change and they lost 2 games so we are questioning their ability to keep it up, and the trip to Crotone is way more dangerous than you can think.
Lower table encounters propose a Bologna vs. Cagliari that due to recent stats in the league could be much more entertaining than it seems, and overall Bologna are carrying very interesting odds. Anyway, there are some things to keep in consideration, never happened in the last two decades.
Serie A are offering more goals than any other European top 5 leagues, and most of all by miles. Have a look at this: in this start of the season Serie A goal average is 3.70 per game; Premier League’s is 3.35 per game; Bundesliga’s is 3.09; Ligue 1’s is 2.79; and finally and most surprisingly, La Liga is not only the lowest but pretty down at 2.14. That’s the trend at the moment and doesn’t mean it will last, but 5 or 6 games are already giving a certain outlook, so punters should probably reconsider some of their beliefs.
Udinese vs. AC Milan
Sunday, November 01, 2020 – 06:30 AM EST at Dacia Arena
AC Milan gave a great performance against AS Roma, showing their limits but also showing there's no surprise they are at the top. And if Gianluigi Donnarumma wouldn’t have tested positive a few hours before the game, probably they would be still with 5 wins out of 5. Ciprian Tatarusanu was dreadful, and he will be on goal against Udinese, a game to handle with care because Udinese aren’t brilliant but neither that lucky.
The best thing Milan offered though was their determination and maturity, which normally are the preferred skills to win dirty games like this one against Udinese. The Rossoneri tactical plan is clear, and Udinese are incredibly struggling to pull out a single goal, so maybe Tatarusanu’s help won’t be enough.
Bologna vs. Cagliari
Saturday, October 31, 2020 - 03:45 PM EDT at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
A bit of chronic bad luck, or bad skills, in front of goal, is penalizing Bologna week in week out, plus the Serie A record streak of 38 games with at least 1 goal conceded, a record tally updating every week.
This though will be put in front of Cagliari, a team eager to get what they have wasted in the last weeks. Cagliari are coming from two wins in a row, which happened only another time in the last 10 months, so they could play a bit more relaxed. Also, Bologna at home are proving to be even more effective than what would normally happen to every team.
Crotone vs. Atalanta
Saturday, October 31, 2020 - 10:00 AM EDT at Stadio Ezio Scida
Humbleness is the subtext key for Atalanta to perform and succeed. Maybe that’s what they missed against Napoli and Sampdoria, or maybe just overestimating the new rotations brought them a bit down to earth. At Crotone, the game can be very tough and intense.
Atalanta are in between Ajax and Liverpool fixtures, nonsense to think that this won’t take its tolls. Crotone play openly and will challenge Atalanta on the football side: which can give space for quick transitions, but also putting the defensive rotations under stress. High options on goals pouring in the second half when the fatigue will surge.
Free Soccer Pick: 2nd half goals over 1.5 at -175 (1.57)