Serie A is back with the Turin derby that never in last years was so levelled. Juventus must recover their form after collapsing at home versus Benevento, but Torino are in full spirit mode and even more motivated by a long draught in derby. It’s a round in which we must bet on safe odds, like those on AC Milan winning at home against Sampdoria, or Parma not losing in Benevento in a game with no tomorrow for them. Here’s a complete preview, updated soccer odds, and our top betting picks.
Torino vs. Juventus
Saturday, April 03, 2021 – 12:00 PM EDT at Stadio Grande Torino
The 202nd Derby della Mole, that got an unbalanced history leaning totally on Juventus side: 89 wins against Torino's 56, and 56 draws. The recent history has been a torture for Torino: 13 consecutive winless derbies, since 2015. But that's not even the worst, because before that historic comeback in 2015 the draught was even worse: 17 winless derbies across 20 years (Torino had spent several season in the second division).
So, enlarging the data, it makes only 1 win for Torino in the last 26 years and 31 games. So much for the Toro pride, that has written fantastic pages in this rivalry in spite of the Juve supremacy, but only until the mid-90s. It has to be stressed though that this is possibly the best moment in which Torino could face Juve. The Bianconeri went into the break with broken bones after being humiliated at home by Benevento, and it's not like they had time to prepare this game as their whole squad was away on international duties.
Instead, Torino could recover in style from their Covid crisis, by winning against Sassuolo scoring a 3 goals comeback in the last 15 minutes, and losing honorably to Sampdoria, a defeat that didn't leave any scare anyway cause Torino went into the break being still above the relegation zone, a psychologically sensitive situation, and having still one game in hand. But the mindset is everything, so on one side there is a Torino with nothing to lose and hyped by this feeling of a comeback, and on the other side there is a Juventus with everything to lose and that is expected to anything else than winning, and doing in that way would just accomplish their minimum task.
As if it wouldn't be enough, there is also Juventus vs. Napoli upcoming game for them on Wednesday, the game postponed in October, not only most tense than ever but also particularly crucial as Napoli and Juve recent form means that Juventini could even drop from Champions League spots in case of defeat! Possibly it's too hard for Torino to give Juve a second consecutive league defeat, but a draw is much more likely than indicated by the absolutely skyrocketing odds.
AC Milan vs. Sampdoria
Saturday, April 03, 2021 - 06:30 AM EDT at San Siro
The Rossoneri are marching on again, the way they fixed Fiorentina has shown that the worst is left behind. Sampdoria are always a reliable side but never pushed to achieve more. Their 10th position in the table is respectful at their level and leaves them free to express their football without any stress but possibly also not motivated enough to climb higher into a zone too much above their weight.
Benevento vs. Parma
Saturday, April 03, 2021 - 09:00 AM EDT at Stadio Vigorito
Two weeks to digest the historic win at Juventus can be enough for Benevento. But on the other side there is a wounded beast like Parma, that has dropped till -10 from Pippo Inzaghi's side, and in fact, by losing this could virtually end sadly their run for salvation. Possibly even a draw would not be good for Parma, but anyway, their late performances have always been consistently decent, so the odds on Parma to win are very interesting.