Portugal vs. France: Euro 2020 Analysis and Top Betting Picks

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Portugal vs. France: Euro 2020 Analysis and Top Betting Picks
France's forward Kylian Mbappe (L) and Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo. (Photo by FRANCK FIFE / AFP)

With France being already through to the knock-out stage, the burden of Budapest´s showdown with the World Champions is all on CR7 & Associates. If Portugal fails to beat France in the Euro2020 group stage matchday 3, everything will depend upon Hungary beating Germany. Will they take such a risk?

Portugal vs. France

Wednesday, June 23, 2021 – 03:00 PM EDT at Puskás Aréna

The Euro 2016 final relives at the Puskas Arena for what seems like a deathmatch in what was the ´death group´. France are only worried to finish top of the group: the Final 16 would give them a third classified from group A, B, or C which is a smoother surface to land on compared to the Winner of group D (England). Additionally, Deschamps will stress the chance for his squad to take revenge on the final output at the Stade de France 5 years ago.

After being battered by Germany (2-4) the Lusitanians need to beat France: a draw, even if Germany draw, would help Löw´s squad to qualify and send the titleholders home earlier on the schedule. A circumstance that happened 4 times in the history of the competitions to only 3 different nations: twice to same Germany (1984 and 2000) and once each to surprise packages Denmark (1996) and Greece (2008), a club CR7 doesn´t want to belong to. Portugal will need more than a speculative attitude to stop the terrible three loomings, Mbappé, Benzema, and Griezmann.


Fernando Santos 4-2-3-1 will get another acid test with Deschamps 4-3-3. He does not need to get any inspiration from Hungary on how to block Les Bleus: back in 2016, he got his master’s degree by playing most of the final without CR7 and leading the cockerels to the extra time. However, this time, a draw will not bring additional time to nurture the Portuguese ambitions: he needs to take more risks and play his stars with a more offensive approach. Anything less than that will make Portugal cannon fodder for France’s pieces of ordnance.


Bruno Fernandes needs to step up his game. Facing the World Champions at the European stage should be an extra motivation to finally find the back of the net in the tournament. It is something he is not prone at the national team level (just 4 goals scored in 30 caps) which becomes appalling if compared to his club’s performances in the Premier League and the continental club cups. In the backline, Pepe will have his headaches in controlling Mbappé and cards might fly in different colors.


The risk to go out as titleholders against the will to avenge 2016 final. These are essentially the motivations that will push each side on the neutral field of the Puskas Arena. The ground itself was the theatre of Hungarian fans' incredible support to the Magyars; once left free, we will need to understand who will manage to get more fans backing them up in a full-capacity stadium as a courtesy of Hungary’s relaxed rules on covid-19.


Portugal´s need to win might reflect in the approach to the game: speculating might not be enough. Even so, if France were to score first, at that point CR7 & Associates will need to risk something. This is why we might see goals coming from each side making the Both-To-Score option quite reasonable for your stake. If you think the goals will fly in and at Over 2,5 level, then the odd is really valuable for the bettor.

Free Soccer Pick: Both teams to score at -105 (1.95) with Bovada (Visit our Bovada Review)

BTTS (-105)
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