Portugal vs. France EURO 2020 Analysis and Betting Picks

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Portugal vs. France EURO 2020 Analysis and Betting Picks
Portugal's forward Cristiano Ronaldo (L) and France's forward Kylian Mbappe (R). Photo by Matthias Hangst and Alexander HASSENSTEIN / AFP

The Euro 2020 International soccer competition returns to action for the final matchday of Group F; soccer odds are now available for us to dive into some Euro betting picks. Portugal and France will go head-to-head Friday afternoon. Let us delve into the most favorable betting picks and soccer analysis to deliver our free advice for online bettors.

Euro 2020 Group F – Matchday 4

Portugal vs. France

Wednesday, June 23, 2021 – 03:00 PM EDT at Puskas Arena

  • France has avoided defeat in their previous 18 fixtures in all competitions.
  • France hasn't lost in 22 of their previous 25 away games in all competitions.
  • Portugal hasn't lost in 53 of their last 58 matches in all competitions.
  • France has won just 1 of their previous 6 away fixtures in the European Championship.
  • France's previous 7 away games in the Euros have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • In their previous 6 home games in the Euros, Portugal has just 1 win.
  • France is averaging 0.50 goals conceded during their last matches in all competitions.

The final round of group games is upon us for this year's Euro 2020, and with France sitting one point clear at the top of Group F, Portugal will be fighting to raise their finishing position.

The two powerhouses of European football will clash in Budapest on Wednesday night, with both teams in a great place to qualify into the final-16 knockout stage.


Ruben Dias and Diogo Jota found themselves on the scoresheet for Portugal's matchday 3 encounter with Germany; unfortunately, both men netting their own goals wasn't the half they wanted to score in - slumping Portugal's hopes qualifying early. A 4-2 defeat to third place Germany saw Portugal's seven-game undefeated come to an end.

Luckily, a 3-0 success in matchday 1 and a late brace from star man Cristiano Ronaldo leaves Portugal in the second position with one win and one draw, but a tough fixture against the undefeated French squad lies in wait.

Fernando Santos would be happy with a lacklustre 0-0 draw against France, but given the strong squad that failed to shut out Germanys attack, we have small doubt Santos's men have enough to shut out the French front line.

Portugal will enter their final fixture with five goals in two games, but the French defense will undoubtedly present some roadblocks they have yet to encounter. Pressure will be put on Ronaldo as per, but this is nothing the Juventus man cannot handle as he continues to deliver in attack for club and country.


Dropping points to Hungary in a 1-1 draw may have been the most surprising result of Group F's clashes, but with the open play in Portugal against Germany on display, France should like their chances to become winners of the group. With that said, Didier Deschamps men let off 15 shots in the Hungary fixture and held 67% possession; undoubtedly, the more talented team with a slight lack of finishing prowess shouldn't be held against them.

France defeated Portugal in the Nations League last time these two met, but revenge will still be fresh for the Frenchmen when the Portuguese beat them in the Euro 2016 final.

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Final Thoughts| Euro 2020 Betting Picks

Although goals aren't usually an issue for each country, we should be reminded that the previous four meetings between the two have produced under 1.5 goals. And surprisingly, in a one-on-one setting, Portugal has only managed to collect one win in 13 sessions.

France remains unbeaten in nine fixtures, collecting seven victories and two draws. The World Champions entered the tournament as favourites because of their elite squad and World Cup 2018 success. Still, with that 1-0 loss to Portugal in the Euro 2016 final lingering, perhaps another surprise result can be produced.

The surprise I anticipate is a 0-0 stalemate; after allowing four goals in their previous game versus Germany, I'd expect a tighter ship to sail in Wednesday's game. And France isn't known to go all out in attack, which could very well lead to a 0-0 disappointing encounter.

Portugal vs. France Score prediction: Portugal 0 – France 0

Portugal vs. France Betting Prediction: Under 2.25 goals -115 (1.85) with Pinnacle 1.15u wager returns 1 (visit our Pinnacle Review)

Under 2.25 goals -115 (1.85)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.