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USA's midfielder Weston McKennie celebrates his team's first goal scored against Iran.
USA's midfielder Weston McKennie celebrates his team's first goal scored against Iran. Photo by Patrick T. Fallon via AFP.

USA defied the odds and made it through to the knockout rounds of the World Cup, leaving Wales and Iran behind in Group B. How will the Americans fare against the Netherlands? Find out with our Netherlands-USA World Cup picks and predictions.

After a dismal few months in charge, USA head coach Gregg Berhalter managed to create a team capable of taking everyone by surprise in Qatar. In the group stage, USA held England to a 0-0 draw, so there is a reason for optimism as they get ready to face another European giant in Louis Van Gaal’s Netherlands.

If the Americans manage to get in-form Christian Pulisic back to full fitness and into the starting 11, they stand a real chance to progress into the quarterfinals.

Here are our picks for Saturday's World Cup match between the Netherlands and USA (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Netherlands vs. USA Game Info

Date: Saturday, Dec. 3, 11:00 a.m. ET
Coverage: Fox Sports 1, Telemundo,, Peacock
Location: Khalifa International Stadium, Al-Rayyan, Qatar
Weather: 85 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, 12-mph winds

Netherlands vs. USA Picks

  • Moneyline: Draw (+230 via FanDuel)
  • Over/Under: Under 2.5 (-170 via FanDuel)
  • Prop bet: USA to advance (+175 via DraftKings)

Netherlands vs. USA ML Pick

Draw (+230) ★★★

Netherlands won Group A fairly untroubled, topping the pack with seven points. Their game was solid but lacked any spark. And this will be massively needed heading into the round of 16. Van Gaal is the main asset that the Netherlands have, but it seems that this team - even coached by a top-class pro - can’t go beyond a certain level.

USA can really give the Netherlands a fight when the two meet at the Khalifa International Stadium on Saturday. Much will depend on Pulisic’s fitness. The Chelsea attacker got injured and needed hospital treatment during the clash vs. Iran, so it’s a race against the clock to get him to his best.

Netherlands vs. USA O/U Pick

Under 2.5 (-170) ★★★★ 

None of the six group matches these two teams were involved featured more than two goals. Could it be different this time? Of course, but the chances aren’t great.

Van Gaal knows that his Netherlands team is not at the offensive potential of the Dutch sides he coached in the past. Fueled by Cody Gakpo’s goals and Frenkie de Jong’s pragmatic creativity, the Netherlands aren’t an adventurous side anymore. Instead, they look at building attacks with a permanent focus on safety at the back, leaving Liverpool’s Virgil van Dijk at the helm of the defense.

FanDuel offers Under 2.5 goals at -170. If you think it’s going to be even tighter than this, go for Under 1.5 at +182.

Netherlands vs. USA Prop Pick

USA to advance (+175) ★★★

Some big "ifs" need to be ticked for USA to reach the quarterfinals, but this is really a possibility worth taking into consideration. USA have a lot of young, hungry players whom Tthe Netherlands should be paying big attention to.

USA coach Gregg Berhalter managed to leave all that happened before the World Cup outside the team’s locker room, and the mood inside the group is excellent following their qualification into the round of 16. The USMNT now look much closer to what people were expecting from a generation dubbed as “golden."

The Netherlands should expect quite a battle on Saturday.

Where to Bet on Netherlands-USA Picks

  Here are our best World Cup betting sites:  

Netherlands-USA picks made 12/2/2022 at 1:40 p.m. ET