Chelsea vs. Leicester City Matchday 4 Premier League Picks: Will Blues Score Against League's Worst Defense?
Just two seasons removed from their Champions League win, Chelsea have had a rough start to the 2022-23 campaign, sitting at 1-1-1 and look to turn their season around on Saturday. Here are our top picks for Chelsea-Leicester City on Matchday 4 of the Premier League.
Both clubs find themselves in the bottom half of the table, with Leicester looking for their first win this season. Chelsea will want to move on after a sluggish start, and rediscover their top-four form.
Here are our Chelsea-Leicester City Premier League picks for Matchday 4 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Chelsea vs. Leicester City Game Info
Date: Saturday, Aug. 27, 10 a.m. ET
TV: fuboTV, NBC Sports
Location: Stamford Bridge, London, England
Weather: 73 degrees, 4% chance of precipitation, 17-mph winds
Chelsea vs. Leicester City Odds Analysis
Chelsea are the favorites across our top-rated sportsbooks, priced at -260 on FanDuel, -255 on DraftKings, and -250 on BetMGM. Leicester are big underdogs, with FanDuel placing them at +650, DraftKings at +700, and BetMGM at +650.
Chelsea vs. Leicester City Picks
Chelsea vs. Leicester City ATS Pick
Leicester City +1 (+125) ★★★★
Chelsea may have gotten away with a better record than Leicester so far, but the Foxes have the scoring threat from England international James Maddison, who has two goals and an assist this season, finding the net in each of his last two Premier League outings.
Leicester have also managed to get on the scoresheet in every game, scoring five goals in their three fixtures this season, while Chelsea have only three goals through three games and were blanked by Leeds United in their previous match.
Chelsea forwards Mason Mount, Kai Havertz, and Raheem Sterling have yet to get on the scoresheet, but Leicester have the worst defense in the league, conceding eight goals.
The Blues have home advantage, and head coach Thomas Tuchel will be adjusting his lineup after the embarrassment at Leeds, but the Foxes have enough talent to keep it close, as Jamie Vardy is hungry for his first goal this season.
Chelsea vs. Leicester City O/U Pick
Under 2.5 goals (+124) ★★★
Both teams are coming off a defeat in Matchday 3, with just one goal being scored between them. Neither side has scored more than two goals in a game this season.
As a squad, Leicester City have an expected goal rate of 1.5 so far this season, while Chelsea’s total is even lower at just 1, as only two of their goals have been non-penalty goals through three fixtures.
Despite this game being at Stamford Bridge, the Blues have scored just two goals at home and dropped to a 0.7 expected goal rate in their match at Leeds last weekend. Leicester’s expected goal rate through their first three games was never above 0.6.
As both teams struggle in attack this season, with neither able to get above the two-goal mark, the game is likely to end in a low-scoring result.
Chelsea vs. Leicester City Prop Pick
Pulisic anytime scorer (+170) ★★★★
Christian Pulisic has been known to come off the bench for Chelsea and score crucial goals. As more defenders than midfielders and strikers have scored for Chelsea this season, Tuchel will need a new approach to get his team on the board.
Scoring six goals during the 2021-22 campaign was Pulisic's second-best year in a Chelsea shirt as he appeared in 22 matches, coming off the bench in nine of them.
Playing a total of just 60 minutes through three fixtures this season, Pulisic is expected to see more time as Tuchel looks to change up his team, which has struggled going forward. Throughout Pulisic’s career at Chelsea, he notched at least four goals in each season, which Tuchel needs desperately at the moment.
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Chelsea-Leicester picks made 8/25/2022 at 12 p.m. ET.
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