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Gabriel Martinelli (11) of Arsenal scores a goal and celebrates 4-2 during the English championship Premier League football match between Arsenal and Leicester City on Aug. 13.
Gabriel Martinelli (11) of Arsenal scores a goal and celebrates 4-2 during the English championship Premier League football match between Arsenal and Leicester City on Aug. 13. Photo by Nigel Keene / ProSportsImages / DPPI via AFP

Arsenal are the only team in the league with four wins in four games, while Aston Villa are struggling to look put together. Here are the insights for Arsenal versus Aston Villa on Matchday 5 of the Premier League.

Arsenal have shocked everybody with their perfect start, and they are looking to keep it that way against Aston Villa.

Here are our Arsenal-Aston Villa Premier League picks for Matchday 5 (odds via PointsBet, FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Game Info

Date/Time: Wednesday, Aug. 31, 2:30 p.m. ET
TV: fuboTV, NBC Sports
Location: Emirates Stadium, London, England
Weather: 24 degrees C, 0% chance of precipitation, 12-mph winds

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Odds Analysis

Across sportsbooks, Arsenal are the favorites, priced at -220 on FanDuel and DraftKings, and -221 on PointsBet. The clear underdog in this matchup, FanDuel placed Aston Villa at +600 while PointsBet valued them at +575. 

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Picks

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa ATS Pick 

Arsenal -1.5 (+124) ★★★★

After their worst start in 67 years to kick off the 2021 season, Arsenal’s 2022 couldn’t be going any better as they are the only team left in the Premier League with four wins in four games.

As for Aston Villa, they sit 15th in the league with just three points this season – their only win coming against an equally struggling Everton side – and have a -4 goal differential this season, scoring just three goals in four games.

Arsenal have been resilient, even when down to a team like Fulham and managed to pull out a win. And Fulham’s attack, led by Aleksandar Mitrovic, has much more power than what Villa has been able to produce.

With the likes of Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli, and Martin Odegaard all already netting at least two goals each this season, while Villa has question marks surrounding their defense, a home win by a large margin looks in the cards for Arsenal who have won by two goals or more three times this season.

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa O/U Pick 

Over 3.5 goals (+196) ★★★

With 11 goals for already this season and a squad expected goal rate of 7.8, Arsenal are looking to take advantage of a Villa side that has already conceded seven goals this season – including two to Bournemouth – and have another performance like they did against Leicester City.

Villa can take advantage of one of Arsenal’s weaknesses in that they tend to concede and do not tally clean sheets as often as they would like. Ollie Watkins or Danny Ings can take advantage of gaps in the Gunners back line to net one of their own.

While Villa are unlikely to even make Arsenal nervous on their home field, they have an opportunity to pressure Aaron Ramsdale in net. Arsenal won both of their meetings in 2021, one of the games being a 3-1 defeat. With Arsenal’s improved attack, even more goals are likely to be scored.

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Prop Pick

Gabriel Martinelli anytime scorer (+190) ★★★

In 2021, Mikel Arteta faced a problem where he didn’t truly have a reliable player to score for him, and now, he has so many players finding the back of the net, he doesn’t know what to do.

Gabriel Jesus was the signing of the summer and put on a show in Arsenal’s win against Leicester, while Odegaard has been the heart of the team as the captain and has scored in each of Arsenal’s last two matches.

But quietly in the background, Martinelli has also netted two goals of his own, including the first goal of the season away at Palace.

Taking advantage of a Villa team that has a lacklustre defense, Martinelli is overdue for a goal and Arteta will be using his high-powered attack to batter Steven Gerrard’s side in this match.

Where to Bet on Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook
PointsBet
BetMGM

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Arsenal-Aston Villa picks made 8/30/2022 at 11:25 a.m. ET