US Politics Prop Betting Odds to Remove Governor Newsom Climb

profile image of Nikki.Adams
US Politics Prop Betting Odds to Remove Governor Newsom Climb
California Governor Gavin Newsom addresses a press conference. Photo by Irfan Khan / POOL / AFP

Efforts to remove California Governor Gavin Newsom from office are fast approaching 1.5 million signatures according to the grassroots movement’s organizers, the threshold required to bring the question to a vote. And with signatures piling on in earnest, bookmakers weigh in on the question with special prop bets. BetOnline Sportsbook for example serves up political odds that conspicuously lean in favor—if ever so slightly – of the threshold being reached in time to bring the matter to a vote.

Politics Special Props at BetOnline Sportsbook

Enough Signatures for Vote on Recall of Gov. Newsom

Yes (-130)
No (-110)

Why are Californians Rushing to Sign Petition?

Californians are reaching breaking point as COVID-19 continues to ravage the Golden State, causing disruption in the economy, bringing in some of the strictest restrictions in the country and devastating lives across the state. If Governor Newsom was a polarizing figure before the pandemic descended on America’s west-coast state, he’s even more of a persona non grata now. Especially amongst conservatives that were at odds with his liberal policies from the get go. The global coronavirus pandemic – and California’s response to the overwhelming public health crisis – only highlighted their grievances and discontent.

The state-wide movement collecting signatures to oust the unpopular governor from office began in June 2020, and supporters have until March 17, 2021 after a judge ruled to allow the deadline to be extended from November 17 to collect approximately 1.5 million signatures needed to recall the election. The motion was agreed after supporters successfully argued that the pandemic – and pandemic induced mandates – hindered their efforts.

Thanks to the extension, organizers claim to have cracked 1 million signatures, underscoring the political betting market that tips his recall at -130 with BetOnline. Two months remain to collect roughly another 500,000 signatures.

California’s Democratic Party is in uproar, condemning the efforts to recall Governor Gavin Newsom as a “California Coup”. Even going so far as to compare the motivation behind these efforts to that of the misguided mob that charged Capitol Hill a week before the inauguration of president Joe Biden. The fact that the Democrats have reacted so strongly is one of the most illuminating developments in recent weeks, confirming the fact that they’re taking this movement more seriously now than previously.

When the movement began, it was considered a longshot bet from the outset. However, the progress of the largely volunteer group is now beginning to raise alarms within some circles and amongst California Democrats.

At the crux of the matter is California’s response to the coronavirus pandemic, which according to those petitioning his recall was/ continues to be inadequate. As well, they point to growing homelessness, tax increases, water rationing, education and other policies that are causing disenfranchisement and division within the state.

Newsom won the election in 2018 with 61.9% of the vote, replacing former Democratic California Governor, Jerry Brown, who served from 2011 to 2019. In California there have been 55 attempts to recall a sitting California governor since 1911. Only one recall campaign succeeded, which was in 2003 when former Democratic California Governor, Gray Davis, was recalled by voters. Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican candidate, was chosen as Gray’s replacement.

California COVID-19
A member of the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority offers a facemask to a homeless man. Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP

Gavin Newson Odds Expanded

Several sportsbooks list Gavin Newsom amongst the many potential candidates for the 2024 US Elections. Newsom is priced at +6600 with BetOnline and at +1500 with Bovada. Of course, should he be bundled out of his gubernatorial office, it’s likely that these political odds will be adjusted accordingly.

Separately, Bovada (visit our Bovada Review) has gone ahead and tipped Gavin Newsom as the second best-bet to win the 2022 California Gubernatorial Election, which is a market that stands in stark contrast to the current climate of discontent. That said, should Newson survive the recall attempt to win another election in California, then his odds for the 2024 US Elections may receive a slight boost as well.

Best Sportsbooks Banner

Odds to Win 2022 California Gubernatorial Election

Chamath Palihapitiya EVEN
Gavin Newsom +105
Dakota K. Vaughn +1600
Daniel Mercuri +1600
Errol Webber +1600
Major Williams +1600
Mike Grover Coltharp +1600
Nickolas Wildstar +1600
Patrick Barnes +1600