Online sportsbooks release Kanye West political prop bets, after the rapper announced his intention to run for US president in 2020.
US Political Odds
Can the US Elections get any weirder? Well, yes. Apparently, they can, as all and sundry found out on the 4th of July, when Kanye West (as yet, unofficially) joined the elections fray.
Bookmakers – the very amenable lot they are – were only too happy to oblige immediately, giving the mercurial rapper his “fair” dues by listing “Yeezy” alongside a select group of presidential hopefuls with appropriate odds.
Sportsbook Review tips a “Yeezy Administration” to emerge out of the 2020 US Elections at +10000. Suffice it to say, he’s perceived to have a notional shot, if it’s a long shot.
And now, bookmakers take it a step further and roll out Kanye West-specific prop bets for political bettors to weigh in on.
Sportsbook Review has served up two prop bets of note: Will Kanye West win a state in the elections? And will Kanye West participate in a debate?
U.S. Political Betting Odds
(from Sportsbook Review)
Will Kanye West win a state in 2020 Election?
- No -2500
- Yes +800
Will Kayne West participate in Election debate?
- No -2000
- Yes +700
Now, it should come as no surprise to anyone – that is, anyone not sporting the last name West (or, for that matter Kardashian) – that the “No” bet with each proposition bet is the favored outcome.
Betting anything but “No” would be tantamount to a charitable donation to sportsbooks.
Of course, there are those that would argue otherwise. The thinking: if the 2016 US Elections were a timely reminder of just how unpredictable political betting really is – few seriously predicted Reality TV star, Donald Trump, would become the 45th president of the United States, but he did – then, every candidate deserves due consideration.
But this is Kanye West… Just because Trump did it, doesn’t mean Kanye West can do it too.
Putting aside facts: West hasn’t elaborated further about his intentions since dropping the dramatic tweet at the weekend, on Independence Day, no less. That he hasn’t formally filed to run in the 2020 US Elections. His actual prospects of carving out a meaningful slice of the elections – never mind, winning the presidential race – are far less than the political odds would have it. Historical trends stand against Kanye West, in more ways than one.
Has an independent candidate ever won in an election?
Remarkably, only one independent candidate has ever won the keys to the White House, and that candidate is – perhaps, somewhat fittingly, George Washington, the founding father of the United States. The nation’s first president.
Noteworthy independent candidates since the 1900s include John Anderson (1980), Ross Perot (1992 and 1996), Ralph Nader (2000) and Evan McMullan (2016). Of this group, Perot was the most successful in 1992 with 19% of the popular vote. However, Perot received no electoral college votes in the process.
Will Kanye West win a state?
Winning a state with the electoral college vote is no mean feat. Independent or third party candidates haven’t had much luck with that key element of the quirky American voting system. Over the course of 45 presidential elections since 1788, independent and third party candidates have otherwise barely struck an audible chord, winning 5% of the popular vote, all the while garnering electoral college votes just 12 times.
Thus, irrespective of how one rates Kanye West’s political prowess (good or bad), winning a state is established as an enormous challenge, one that even those qualified in the field of politics to win find difficult.
Recommended Political Pick:
Will Kanye West participate in a debate?
Musician, fashion designer, and part-time ranter, Kanye West does love a stage. The limelight. The attention trained on him and him alone, feeding what many of his critics call a messiah-complex.
If Yeezy wants to be literally the most important person in the world, the commander-in-chief of one of the world’s political powers, taking the stage for a debate must be de rigueur. Seeing West doesn’t shy away from the stage, betting on the “Yes” bet here – mind you, only if you have silly money to play with – might be worth a flutter for political picks. It’s a long shot, though, let’s face it.
Recommended political picks: Yes! Wait. No! Oh, go on then, Yes!
Granted one should never underestimate a candidate on superficial grounds, never dismiss them out of hand without proper consideration. Trump is proof positive of misguided underestimation, which proved ultimately foolhardy and enormously costly – mainly, for bettors, who backed Hillary Clinton, and sportsbooks, which significantly devalued Trump’s bid in 2016. But this is Kanye West…an entirely different prospect altogether. Just saying.