If the race to the White House wasn’t already fascinating, Kanye West made sure it was even more so by announcing his intention to run for president.
Odds for 2020 US Elections
US Elections odds received an injection of glitterati this week, following Kanye West announcing his intention to run for president via a rather ambiguous twitter post to his millions of followers. “I am running for president of the United States, “ said West in his tweet, that received over 100,000 comments, more than half a million retweets, and 1.2 million likes by Monday.
The upshot of this scintillating bombshell is varied. At face value, it seems the celebrity rap star joins a line-up of politicians that are shortlisted across sportsbooks to clinch the presidential race – albeit as a long-shot political pick, trading in quadruple to quintuple digits.
More broadly though – over and above the betting – West’s tweet simply adds another layer of drama and intrigue to what is already an extraordinary election year; one for the books. You can’t script this stuff, even if you tried.
BetOnline Sportsbook Odds to Win the Presidential Election
|Joe Biden -160|
|Donald Trump +130|
|Mike Pence +4000|
|Hillary Clinton +5000|
|Kanye West +10000|
|Michelle Obama +10000|
|Nikki Haley +12500|
|Elizabeth Warren +20000|
|Mark Cuban +25000|
Kanye West Odds For President
Seeing as West’s presidential ambition was made informally through social media, it’s hard to take it seriously. Simply put, betting on West winning the White House is – to put it mildly – a pipedream. The betting of which made all the more premature by the simple fact that currently nothing has been officially filed with the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) — the relevant governing body for US Elections.
And yet: the rapper’s announcement appears to have resonated with many of his followers, including some key movers and shakers in America; most notably, West is curiously being endorsed by Tesla’s billionaire owner Elon Musk. True story. The electric-car maker tweeted his response immediately: “You have my full support!”.
Kanye West Throws Down the Gauntlet. Or Does He?
West’s tweet, which was posted on the 4th of July – American Independence day – was viewed by hundreds of thousands and retweeted by half a million Twitter users, and it continues to be a trending topic of conversation. However, it’s not the first time Kanye West talks up his White House ambitions.
He famously declared his intention to run for president at the MTV Awards on 30 August 2015. After which, West teased on numerous other occasions his penchant to become America’s commander-in-chief, including floating the idea of a potential run in 2024, after meeting with Trump following the ‘America first’ president’s win in 2016; and calling himself “future president” in a tweet two years later.
In April of this year, West announced his support of Trump in an interview with GQ’s Will Welch, implying he would be voting Trump in November. “No, I’m definitely voting this time,” West said. “And we know who I’m voting on,” said West. Adding forcefully that he was not going to be told by the people around him and “the people that have their agenda that my career is going to be over.”
A Vote for West is a Vote for Trump?
Social media storm aside, there’s reason to look critically at the pro-Trump rapper’s supposed presidential bid. Perhaps, as a calculated move: on a personal level and, even, to Trump’s benefit, as far as helping Trump’s re-election bid goes. Is it a coincidence the tweet comes merely a few days after West appeared on a couple of new tracks, and, at the same time, hinted a new album – titled God’s Country – would be dropping?
Where Trump is concerned though, the implications are much more significant. A Kanye West presidential run could prove pivotal. A stroke of luck the incumbent so desperately needs to disrupt Biden’s current momentum, spurred on by catalyzing Black Lives Matter protest from state to state that have caused seismic shifts in the country’s political landscape.
Trump is trailing significantly behind presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in the presidential race, according to both polls and bookmakers. Biden has pulled ahead in the last month with a 14% national lead over Trump, based on the most recent set of polls, resulting in favorable odds across the board. Biden is priced as high as -175 to win the 2020 US Elections in November, a price available with Intertops. Meanwhile, Trump is drifting at odds of +120 to +150, depending on your choice of top-rated sportsbook.
If West runs, it would have to be as an Independent candidate, given Trump rides the Republican ticket and Joe Biden looks all but locked-in for the Democratic ticket. The deadline to add Independent candidates to the ballot is yet to pass with most states.
In 1992, Independent candidate Ross Perot, a Texan billionaire, effectively disrupted George H.W. Bush’s re-election bid by taking a whopping 18.8% of the popular vote. (Bush had 37.1% while Bill Clinton emerged with 42.9% of the popular vote). In 2000, Ralph Nader’s Green Party only managed to collect 3% of the popular vote but the 2,382, 955 actual votes were enough to effectively determine what was a closely fought race between George W. Bush and Al Gore (Bush Jr. beat Gore by 540,520 votes).
Basically, Trump can do with all the help he can get for what is going to have to involve – by the present odds on offer – an upset victory to win a second term in office, not unlike the upset in 2016 when he defeated Hillary Clinton and ascended to power.
West, along with his wife Kim Kardashian, together have millions of followers worldwide, and the power of their social influence and draw can’t be underestimated. It could potentially swing the US elections, one way or another.