2024 US Elections Donald Trump Odds Improve After Impeachment Acquittal

profile image of Nikki.Adams
2024 US Elections Donald Trump Odds Improve After Impeachment Acquittal
House impeachment lead manager. Raskin speaks to the press after the Senate voted to acquit former US President Donald Trump. Photo by ALEX EDELMAN / AFP

2024 US Election markets see Trump climb back into contention following the Democrats’ failure to get the two-thirds majority needed for conviction. Merely a week ago, just before former President Donald Trump’s second impeachment trial vote for “incitement of insurrection” got underway, his odds for the 2024 Presidential race plummeted down to +3300 (or thereabouts) with several top-rated sportsbooks. But now, as a defiant Trump finds himself acquitted of the charge, his odds skyrocket back into contention across the board.

2024 US Election Betting Odds

Depending on the sportsbook in question, Trump’s odds have improved to differing degrees on the heels of the Senate acquitting Trump of inciting the deadly Capitol attack. As well, how he stacks up against the field variers across political odds board.

For instance, Trump is priced at +1200 to become the 47th president of the United States with BetOnline Sportsbook. As well, he’s priced at +650 to win the Republican nomination – the third overall best-bet after top fave, Mike Pence at +200, and second-best bet, Nikki Haley at +500.

Bovada Sportsbook (visit our Bovada Review), meanwhile, tips Trump as the top fave to clinch the Republican nomination at +400, just ahead of Mike Pence at +500 and Nikki Haley at +600. In the broad spectrum of the 2024 US Elections, Bovada prices Trump at +800 to win – third in line after Kamala Harris at +450 and Joe Biden at +550.

Trump Acquitted In 57-43 Senate Vote

The ebb and flow of any betting market is fascinating, prone to sudden change on a dime. So, given the charged atmosphere following the shocking attack on Capitol Hill and the threat of a second impeachment hanging over Trump as a result, it wasn’t surprising to see political betting markets respond in kind, diminishing Trump’s chances for a second term in office rapidly. It was a fitting reflection of the uncertainty that surrounded Trump’s future and legacy last week, as the fallout from the attack on the Capitol gained steam.

That was then. This Saturday, the Senate voted to acquit the former “Make America Great Again” president of inciting the deadly insurrection that occurred on January 6. Although the Democrats managed to get seven Republicans onside, most sidestepped the Democrats’ bid to impeach Trump resulting in a 57-43 vote that was 10 votes shy of the two-thirds majority threshold required. The Seven Republicans to vote with the Democrats were: Senators Sasse, Romney, Burr, Collins, Murkowski, Toomey and Cassidy.

Press conference after the conclusion of former President Donald Trump’s second impeachment trial. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP

Mr Trump’s defence team argued that Trump wasn’t to blame for the attack. That his speech at the rally that preceded the attack was nothing but ordinary “political rhetoric” that was constitutionally protected free speech. Separately, they launched a blistering attack on Democrats, calling the proceedings an “unjust, unconstitutional witch-hunt” that was an extension of a “long-standing political vendetta against Mr. Trump by the opposition party.”

After the trial results were revealed, Mr Trump issued a statement saying it was “a sad commentary on our times” that the Democrats had been given a “free pass to transform justice into a tool of political vengeance, and persecute, blacklist, cancel and suppress all people and viewpoints with whom or which they disagree”.

Trump added: “I always have, and always will, be a champion for the unwavering rule of law, the heroes of law enforcement, and the right of Americans to peacefully and honourably debate the issues of the day without malice and without hate.”

Biden and Harris Top Betting For 2024

In US politics incumbency has a significant advantage in the presidential race. Only three presidents since WWII have failed to win a second term: Jimmy Carter, George H. W. Bush and Donald Trump Sr.

Thus, incumbent president Joe Biden and vice president Kamala Harris are quite appropriately two of the top bets for the 2024 US Elections. However, it’s worth noting that Harris emerges as the slight favorite over Biden and the rest of the field, a happenstance that is likely down to Biden’s age more than anything else right now.

Speculation is rife whether Biden will run or, even, will be fit enough to run again in 2024. Biden is the oldest American president ever at 78 years of age. Should he run in 2024, he’ll be 82 years of age, in a position to set a new record as the oldest sitting president if he wins a second term.

Trump’s 2024 Bid is Alive

Almost 75 million people voted for Trump just a few short months ago — the highest number ever for a sitting president. It was a historic election on both sides of the political aisle for the sheer numbers that voted for both parties at the time and that equates to voting capital that can’t be overlooked in four years. Especially where Trump is concerned now that his chance to run for a third time receives a massive boost by the political odds.

U.S. 2024 Presidential Election Odds

Odds to Win the 2024 Presidential Election, courtesy of BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

  • Kamala Harris +400
  • Joe Biden +500
  • Donald Trump Sr. +1200
  • Mike Pence +1200
  • Nikki Haley +1400
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +2500
  • Ron DeSantis +2500
  • Michelle Obama +3300
  • Donald Trump Jr. +4000
  • Josh Hawley +4000
  • Pete Buttigieg +4000
  • Tom Cotton +4000
  • Andrew Yang +5000
  • Bernie Sanders +5000
  • Candace Owens +5000
  • Charlie Baker +5000
  • Chris Christie +5000
  • Dan Crenshaw +5000
  • Deval Patrick +5000
  • Elizabeth Warren +5000
  • Mike Pompeo +5000
  • Tulsi Gabbard +5000