Wild vs. Flyers NHL Pick: Lean on Money Line Home Underdog

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, November 20, 2014 2:37 PM GMT

Do you want to know what this NHL handicapping expert feels about today’s game between Minnesota Wild and Philadelphia Flyers? There is valuable information leading to a nice Money Line pick.

Flyers get Wild at Home
The Flyers will host the Wild on Thursday at the Wells Fargo center in Philadelphia with the opening puck drop slated for 7:05 PM ET. According to the NHL betting odds at Pinnacle, the Wild is a -123 money line favorite, and the posted total is 5.5. These clubs split their two regular season meetings last season with both winning on home ice.

 

Jekyll and Hyde Start
The Minnesota Wild has begun the season by winning 7 of their first 8-games at home. Unfortunately for them, they’ve gone just 3-6 on the road. The Wild has been a fast starting team in their first 17-games, and have outscored the opposition in the first two periods of those contests by a cumulative 34-21 score. Minnesota enters today’s game winners of 3 in a row, and they will be playing on 3-days of rest. The penalty killing has been superb for the Wild to start the season. They’ve allowed their opponents to convert on only 10.7% of their man advantage opportunities. The power play has been the polar opposite, the Wild have converted on an awful 5-for-54 (9.3%) in that department. On a positive note, 3 of those 5 power play goals have come during the previous 5-games. Minnesota has gone over the total in just 2 of 9-games on the road to start the year.

 

Trying to Rebound off an Embarrassing Loss
The Flyers were a 2-0 loser to the New York Rangers last night at Madison Square Garden in New York. It’s bad enough losing a game to a division rival like the Rangers, but getting shutout in the process of doing so just added salt into an already open wound. After all, it was the Rangers who eliminated them in 7-games in last season’s Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. The loss also prompted a postgame tirade from General Manager Ron Hextall which didn’t lack for expletives. The Flyers are expected to insert Ray Emery in goal tonight, after Steve Mason was between the pipes last night. Emery has gone 2-1 in 3-starts at home, and has compiled a stellar .939 save percentage in those outings. Philadelphia has seen just 2 of 9-games at home this season stay under the total.

 

Final Analysis
I have a sneaky suspicion the Flyers will come up with a huge effort at home tonight, versus a quality team from the Western Conference. The Wild hasn’t been the same team on the road as they’ve been at home in the early part of this season. My wagering lean in this game will go to the money line home underdog, and that’s what I’ll use as one of my NHL picks for today.

Free NHL Pick: Flyers +110 over the Wild at 5Dimes