Why You Should Fade the Oilers vs. Rangers at MSG With NHL Picks

Bruce Webster

Tuesday, December 15, 2015 3:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 15, 2015 3:24 PM UTC

The 13-5 Oilers head to the Big Apple to face off against the 18-9 New York Rangers Tuesday Night.  With NY big time -191 odds favorites where does the value lie when making our NHL Picks?

Edmonton Oilers (13-5-2 SU, 20-10 PL, 17-11-2 OU) vs New York Rangers (18-9-2-2 SU, 16-15 PL, 11-16-4 OU)
When: 7:00, Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Where: Madison Square Garden in New York


Free NHL Pick: New York Rangers to Win
Best Odds Offered: -191 at Heritage

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Korpikoski’s Hat Trick Leads Oilers over Rangers
It really was a wild game as the Oilers won 7-5, with six of the goals in the game coming in the third period. Lauri Korpikoski started the scoring in the game at the 6:35 mark of the first period and then he ended the scoring with an empty net goal at the 19:22 mark of the third period. His third goal that he scored was also in the first period. He now has six goals on the year. Also coming up big for the Oilers was Taylor Hall, who scored twice and also had two assists, while rookie Leon Draisaitl had four assists in the win. The win completes a sweep of their five game homestand.

Despite allowing all five goals that the Rangers put up, Anders Nilsson took the win and is now 10-8 with a 2.65 GAA on the year and he won all five of the games on that homestand. He is slated to start in Boston on Monday night so getting the start in this one will be Cam Talbot, who is just 3-9 with a 3.17 GAA on the year. Talbot has never faced the Rangers in his career. The Oilers check in at 11th in the league in scoring, putting up 2.7 gpg and 13th in power play conversions (18.9%). On defense they do struggle, coming in ranked 27th in goals allowed (3.0 gpg) and 17th in penalty kill (80.2%).


Slumping Rangers Fall To Flames in OT
Last year the New York Rangers took home the President’s Cup, which is given to the team that has the most points in the league and they started off hot this year, but lately it has not been the case as they have won just two of their last 10 games. They are coming off a Western Canadian road trip, in which they lost all three games, including a 5-4 decision at Calgary on Saturday night. Antti Raanta took the loss i the game, allowing all five goals, after allowing a total of five goals in his previous three starts. Still he has now lost four games in a row. Getting the start tonight should be Henrik Lundqvist, who is looking for some revenge after being pulled in the 7-5 loss at Edmonton on Friday night. Lundqvist is now just 2-4 with a 2.56 GAA vs the Oilers in his career.

J.T Miller (5th) got the scoring start with a first period goal that put the Rangers up 1-0 and then with New York down 4-1 in the third period it was Tanner Glass (1st), Dan Boyle (2nd) and Mats Zuccarello (13th) that all score to tie the game, before Calgary eventually won the game in OT. New York checks in at 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 2.9 gpg, while also ranking 6th in power play conversions, converting on 21.7% of their chances. At the defensive end they have ranked 6th in goals allowed, giving up just 2.3 gpg and 6th in penalty kill, allowing teams to convert just 16% of their chances.      


Edmonton Trends:
13-43 in their last 56 road games
16-71 in their last 87 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600

New York Trends:
11-3 in their last 14 home games
42-17 in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400


Betting Analysis
This one has blowout potential written all over it. The Oilers have had good success at home this year, but the road has been a different animal for them, where they have grabbed just four wins all year. They have not been a good road team for a while and have been much worse if the home team is good. The Rangers come in slumping, but want revenge in this game and have been a very good home team this year. Cam Talbot is not a good goalie for the Oilers, while Lundqvist will be looking to bounce back from one of his worst starts of the year. All this should add up to an easy win by the Rangers, and your NHL Picks, vs an Oilers team that is playing on no rest. 

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