Want Betting Advice on Sharks Games? Under! Under! Under!

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, December 7, 2017 5:33 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 7, 2017 5:33 PM UTC

There are no sure things in betting on the NHL, but one near-lock so far this season has been avoiding an ‘over’ bet in any game involving the San Jose Sharks.

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Last week, I wrote about how the Columbus Blue Jackets have proven you can win in the regular season without scoring much as they battle for the Metropolitan Division lead. That is still true.

But as of this writing, the Blue Jackets have had 12 of their games go ‘over’ the total this season. The San Jose Sharks are doing what Columbus is doing but to an NHL betting extreme when it comes to totals. San Jose isn’t quite as good as Columbus and isn’t going to win the Pacific Division – that likely will be the Los Angeles Kings, who are +900 on the NHL futures to take the Western Conference – but the Sharks are solidly over .500 despite ranking 29th in goals per game at 2.5 per.

What is a stunning statistic for the Sharks is that they have had just seven games go ‘over’ the total this season – every other club in the NHL has had at least 11. Also as of this writing, these are the only Sharks games to finish ‘over’ the total

  • Oct. 4: 5-3 home loss to Flyers (total 5.5)
  • Oct. 17: 5-2 home loss to Canadiens (total 5)
  • Oct. 21: 5-3 loss at Islanders (total 5.5)
  • Nov. 8: 5-1 home loss to Lightning (total 5.5)
  • Nov. 24: 5-4 OT loss at Golden Knights (total 5.5)
  • Dec. 2: 5-2 loss at Lightning (total 5.5)
  • Dec. 7: 5-4 OT home win vs. Hurricanes (total 5.5)

Obviously, San Jose’s success starts in net as it ranks second in GAA and on the penalty kill. It has a Top 10 netminder in Martin Jones (2.33 goals-against average, .923 save percentage). No team arguably has a better No. 2, however, than the Sharks’ Aaron Dell. He leads the league with a 1.93 GAA and .933 SV. In the NFL or college football, if you are playing two quarterbacks that means you really don’t have one good starter. In the NHL, having two great goalies is a huge advantage – at least in the regular season. You rarely see teams rotate guys in the Stanley Cup playoffs. But that’s a San Jose worry for later.

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We believe this is Joe Thornton. He is walking around downtown San Jose and doesn’t give ONE HELL.

Get the bobblehead in a ticket pack: https://t.co/71BrL1leOG pic.twitter.com/shNJTdKoTY

— San Jose Sharks (@SanJoseSharks) December 6, 2017

The Sharks probably don’t score enough to be a serious Western Conference contender; they are +1400 on Bovada’s futures odds to win the conference for a second time in three years. There’s a reason they have lost all but one of the games to go ‘over’ thus far.

San Jose ranks just 29th in goals per game (2.5 per game) and 24th on the power play (16.7 percent). Logan Couture is the only player on the team with more than eight goals or at least 20 points. Defenseman Brent Burns is the reigning Norris Trophy winner as he finished with 29 goals in 2016-17, 12 more than any other blueliner. Burns has found the net just twice this year. The Sharks’ inability to consistently turn quality scoring chances into goals has been the No. 1 problem. It’s not as if the Sharks aren’t generating shots. They rank Top 5 in shot attempt percentage and unblocked shot attempt percentage.

"We create as many chances as a lot of the teams in the league offensively," Coach Peter DeBoer said recently. "What we haven't done is finish."

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