Upset Alert: Take Sabres Extreme +400 With your NHL Picks Over a Definitely Beatable Bruins

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, March 17, 2015 2:16 PM GMT

Tuesday, Mar. 17, 2015 2:16 PM GMT

According to NHL odds makers, the Bruins are a -500 betting favorite tonight against Sabres! That's a lot of juice to lay. See who we like in this lopsided matchup as our betting pick.

Face-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at TD Garden Bank in Boston, Massachusetts. According to 5 Dimes Sportsbook, the Bruins are a whopping -500 NHL betting odds favorite and the total for the game is 5 goals. Is there any possible way to fade the Bruins as these are extreme odds?

 

Starting Goalies
Anders Lindback is the unconfirmed starting goalie in net for the Sabres and Niklas Svedberg has been listed as "probable" to be between the pipes for the favorite Bruins.

Thus far this season, Lindback is just getting his feet wet, still looking for that first elusive win. He's 0-3-2 with a 2.70 GAA. His SV% is quite respectable at .924, but being a goalie on a team that scores less than 2 goals per game, isn't a big help.

As for Svedberg, he's 7-5 with a 2.43 GAA this season. Svedberg hasn't played since March 8th. This was a game in which the Bruins defeated the Detroit Red Wings, 5-3 as Svedberg swept aside 36 out of 39 shots. From a goalie perspective and the fact that both of these teams lost to the Washington Capitals in their last game with Buffalo actually being much more effective, the Bruins could be a fade that's worthwhile at these odds even though we know that they're the far superior team.

 

No Respect
Buffalo came a shootout away from breaking their 6 game losing streak against Alex Ovechkin and the Caps, but couldn't seal the deal. This is a team that ranks near the bottom of the league in all statistical categories. They average just 1.8 goals per game and allow 3.3 goals. The Sabres are also last in the league in power play effectiveness offensively and killing the power play.

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Tyler Ennis
The Sabres leading scorer at 18 goals and 20 assists has played quite well as of late. He's coming off of the shootout loss against Washington in which he produced a goal and had 4 shots on net.

In his Month of March (6 games), Ennis has 3 goals and 2 assists. He's also played well against the Bruins in 3 games thus far this season with 1 goal and 2 assists. If Buffalo is to have any chance of defying the odds, Tyler Ennis will need to be heavily involved. I expect him to play well. He's been goal happy lately and Niklas Svedberg hasn't seen a ton of ice time in net as of late.

 

Power Outage?
The Boston Bruins are a good hockey club at 82 points, but they're far from world-beaters on the offensive end. They're coming off of a 2-0 loss to the Washington Capitals and this is a team that ranks 19th in the league in goals. Defense is the name of the game for Boston, but with Svedberg in net, I feel far from confident at these odds.

At 22 goals this season, Brad Marchand leads the Bruins in goals and although he's been very quiet as of late,he's had the Sabres number. In 3 games against the Sabres, Marchand has 2 goals and 2 assists. Expect a bounce back performance from the veteran left winger.

Another player that's had major success against Buffalo has been defenseman Dougie Hamilton. Hamilton, who has 6 points in his last 7 games, has 3 goals and 3 assists in just 3 games against Buffalo. Hamilton is solid on the power play and that could come into play in this game as the Bruins face a team that ranks last in power play goals allowed where efficiency is concerned. Someone will need to step up as Patrice Bergeron has been ineffective as of late.

 

Worth a Fade
I've done well this season in the NHL, therefore I'm will to take the Sabres at +400 as my NHL pick. The odds are just too extreme. For those of you that are down money or are conservative, don't place the bet. If you're up money, this is worth a small bet. The Sabres were a shootout goal away from beating the Caps at +268 and the Bruins are definitely beatable.

NHL Pick- Buffalo Sabres +400 at 5Dimes.

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