'Under' to Cash at Bell Centre Between Sens & Canadiens

Dana Lane

Wednesday, November 29, 2017 6:54 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 29, 2017 6:54 PM UTC

The Montreal Canadiens have received a lift from the return of Carey Price, and let’s see if that continues when the Ottawa Senators make the trip to the Bell Centre on Wednesday night with a puck drop of 7:30 p.m. ET.

Free NHL Pick: Under 5.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens

No secret that the Habs are feeling better about their playoff chances since the return of Carey Price. I’m not sure what that says about the team, but it certainly says a lot about Price, who is clearly the most impactful player in the Montreal locker room. Since Price’s return he has allowed just one goal in two games, with both games going UNDER the total.

That’s not a new result for Claude Julien’s team, which has produced nine UNDERS with one PUSH in their last 11 games. They now face the Senators, who haven’t scored more than two goals in almost three weeks. Although Guy Boucher’s team has been an overall OVER play this season, their recent form of four of six UNDERS suggests that facing Price may not be the best formula for a high-scoring contest, especially now that we know that Price is truly 100%.

Let’s address the last couple of nights. Yes, we’ve lost two straight. That doesn’t sound bad because anyone who is being honest with clients will never give out guarantees as there isn’t any such thing. People who are real will always tell you that the key to winning is bankroll management and finding the best number, which is why I push the SBR odds page constantly. If you don’t know how much to play based on your bankroll, I’ll give you this suggestion: Never play an amount that will cause you to sweat out the result. Always be involved with a comfortable amount that won’t make a huge impact, win or lose. People who live by this don’t worry about two losses because they trust their skills, or mine, and know a winner is right around the corner.

There isn’t a magic formula, this is wagering on human beings and a piece of rubber. Players don’t feel the same on a day to day basis and the puck doesn’t always bounce our way, but to understand and accept this part of handicapping is to really understand the psychological part of betting. This part that means way more than what a team has done in their last 10 games. The good news is, at no time in history have we had an advantage to understand the mental aspect of players than we do now with social media, providing unprecedented coverage of every NHL team. This provides us with everything a bettor needs to know.

The last step into become a consistent winner is being able to filter the information and then spit it out to formulate an opinion. Success in wagering is nothing more than being able to read people and teams with injuries and current form sprinkled in. One popular example is the NHL "Dad’s trip." We just started talking about it last year at the office, but the inspiration that a team gets from having their fathers in the stands can’t quantified in statistical analysis.

On Tuesday night, the Dallas Stars held their "Dad’s trip" in Las Vegas and sure enough the Stars came away with a 3-0 win. I’m not ready to jump on this trip as the only reason to give out a game, but it is a component that you must be aware of. Nothing you can find in analytics. Handicappers who talk about this really understand how to win and how to manage their bankroll to absorb losses.

Two losses isn’t anything to worry about, because our next winner is right round the corner.

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